Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets: 2015 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-08, the New York Jets took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 28–23 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +2.55 total EPA, and +4.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, E. Decker (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.66 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-22.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (5:29) 5-B.Bortles sacked at NYJ 23 for -3 yards (97-C.Pace). FUMBLES (97-C.Pace) [97-C.Pace], RECOVERED by NYJ-97-C.Pace at NYJ 34. 97-C.Pace to NYJ 34 for no gain (78-J.Parnell).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 E. Decker · New York Jets · Receiving · +7.66 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Fitzpatrick · New York Jets · Passing · +7.02 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
3. 3 B. Walters · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.05 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Hurns · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.86 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Yeldon · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.56 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.52 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Bortles · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +2.55 total EPA · 50 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Cumberland · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.60 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.60 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — E. Decker (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q1 50:14)
• New York Jets — C. Ivory (Q1 45:47)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — A. Hurns (B. Bortles pass) (Q2 30:20)
• New York Jets — C. Ivory (Q3 17:06)
• New York Jets — B. Marshall (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q4 2:48)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Walters (B. Bortles pass) (Q4 2:21)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Myers (Q1 54:04)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Myers (Q3 19:36)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Myers (Q4 10:22)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 21–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 27 (Q1 54:04) — (9:04) 2-J.Myers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 7 (Q1 50:14) — (5:14) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 87-E.Decker for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 50:08) — 4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 45:47) — (:47) 33-C.Ivory left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 45:43) — 4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NYJ 35 (Q1 45:43) — 4-R.Quigley kicks 69 yards from NYJ 35 to JAX -4. 41-N.Marshall to JAX 19 for 23 yards (45-R.Miles; 54-J.Lattimore)..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NYJ 30 (Q2 30:20) — (:20) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 88-A.Hurns for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 30:14) — 2-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 20 (Q3 19:36) — (4:36) 2-J.Myers 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q3 17:06) — (2:06) 33-C.Ivory up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 17:02) — 4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–7. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 17 (Q4 10:22) — (10:22) 2-J.Myers 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 20 (Q4 2:48); New York Jets added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 2:41) — 4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NYJ 20 (Q4 2:21) — (2:21) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 81-B.Walters for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 2:16) — 2-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 5:29) — (5:29) 5-B.Bortles sacked at NYJ 23 for -3 yards (97-C.Pace). FUMBLES (97-C.Pace) [97-C.Pace], RECOVERED by NYJ-97-C.Pace at NYJ 34. 97-C.Pace to NYJ 34 for no gain (78-J.Parnell). [WPA -22.9% · EPA -5.35]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 6:29) — (6:29) (Shotgun) 24-T.Yeldon right end to NYJ 10 for 45 yards (21-M.Gilchrist). [WPA +20.6% · EPA +2.71]
• New York Jets (Q1 52:14) — (7:14) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 30-Z.Stacy to JAX 37 for 16 yards (50-T.Smith). [WPA +13.2% · EPA +2.56]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:20) — (:20) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 88-A.Hurns for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.7% · EPA +4.41]
• New York Jets (Q1 47:27) — (2:27) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 87-E.Decker to JAX 10 for 15 yards (22-A.Colvin). [WPA +10.3% · EPA +2.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 5:29) — (5:29) 5-B.Bortles sacked at NYJ 23 for -3 yards (97-C.Pace). FUMBLES (97-C.Pace) [97-C.Pace], RECOVERED by NYJ-97-C.Pace at NYJ 34. 97-C.Pace to NYJ 34 for no gain (78-J.Parnell). [WPA -22.9% · EPA -5.35]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:20) — (:20) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 88-A.Hurns for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.7% · EPA +4.41]
• New York Jets (Q4 3:47) — (3:47) 4-R.Quigley punts 38 yards to JAX 22, Center-46-T.Purdum. 41-N.Marshall MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by NYJ-47-K.Davis at JAX 25. 47-K.Davis to JAX 25 for no gain (41-N.Marshall). [WPA +10.2% · EPA +4.35]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 12:21) — (12:21) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 15-A.Robinson to NYJ 44 for 44 yards (20-M.Williams). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +4.04]

Quarterback report card

B.Bortles led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 50 dropbacks · 48.0% completion · +4.3% CPOE · +0.05 EPA/play · +2.55 total EPA
• R.Fitzpatrick (New York Jets) · 38 dropbacks · 55.3% completion · +0.2% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +7.02 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars -0.01, New York Jets +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 13 drives, -0.59 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 15 drives, +1.70 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• E. Decker (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Bortles (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 54:04 · NYJ 27 · Score 3-0
   (9:04) 2-J.Myers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
2. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 50:14 · JAX 7 · Score 3-6
   (5:14) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 87-E.Decker for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 50:08 · JAX 15 · Score 3-7
   4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk.
4. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 45:47 · JAX 1 · Score 3-13
   (:47) 33-C.Ivory left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 45:43 · JAX 15 · Score 3-14
   4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk.
6. New York Jets TD (+7) — Q1 45:43 · NYJ 35 · Score 3-14
   4-R.Quigley kicks 69 yards from NYJ 35 to JAX -4. 41-N.Marshall to JAX 19 for 23 yards (45-R.Miles; 54-J.Lattimore).
7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 30:20 · NYJ 30 · Score 9-14
   (:20) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 88-A.Hurns for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 30:14 · NYJ 15 · Score 10-14
   2-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 19:36 · NYJ 20 · Score 13-14
   (4:36) 2-J.Myers 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
10. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 17:06 · JAX 1 · Score 13-20
    (2:06) 33-C.Ivory up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
11. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 17:02 · JAX 15 · Score 13-21
    4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 10:22 · NYJ 17 · Score 16-21
    (10:22) 2-J.Myers 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
13. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 2:48 · JAX 20 · Score 16-27
    (2:48) 79-B.Qvale reported in as eligible. 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left to 15-B.Marshall for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass compl
14. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 2:41 · JAX 15 · Score 16-28
    4-R.Quigley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-2-N.Folk.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:21 · NYJ 20 · Score 22-28
    (2:21) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 81-B.Walters for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 2:16 · NYJ 15 · Score 23-28
    2-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.