Game story
In Week 16 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-12-27, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 35–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -3.35 total EPA, and +12.4% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, T. Brady (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +24.23 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-15.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (9:46) 63-D.Connolly and 64-M.LeVoir reported in as eligible. 39-L.Maroney right guard to JAX 1 for no gain (98-J.Henderson). FUMBLES (98-J.Henderson), RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Smith at JAX 1. New Englan
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q4 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +24.23 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
- 2 W. Welker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +10.93 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
- 3 R. Moss · New England Patriots · Receiving · +6.30 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
- 4 M. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.96 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
- 5 C. Baker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.51 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.76 EPA/play
- 6 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.46 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
- 7 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +2.40 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
- 8 J. Edelman · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.28 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
T. Brady — NE · Passing
T. Brady posted the highest total EPA (+24.23) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 26 counted snaps, they averaged +0.93 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.84 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (:25) 78-J.Black reported in as eligible. 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 31-B.Meriweather at NE 17. 31-B.Meriweather to JAX 27 for 56 yards (9-D.Garrard, 44-B.Bolen).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- New England Patriots — R. Moss (T. Brady pass)
- New England Patriots — C. Baker (T. Brady pass)
- New England Patriots — S. Morris
- New England Patriots — R. Moss (T. Brady pass)
- New England Patriots — R. Moss (T. Brady pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Garrard
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q1 47:52); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 47:48) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson..
The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 21–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 26 (Q2 45:00); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 44:54) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 35:07) — (5:07) 63-D.Connolly and 64-M.LeVoir reported in as eligible. 34-S.Morris left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 35:04) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q2 30:50); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:45) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson..
The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 17 (Q4 15:00); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 14:54) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NE 2 (Q4 12:48) — (12:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 12:41) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- New England Patriots (Q1 54:46) — (9:46) 63-D.Connolly and 64-M.LeVoir reported in as eligible. 39-L.Maroney right guard to JAX 1 for no gain (98-J.Henderson). FUMBLES (98-J.Henderson), RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Smith at JAX 1. New Englan
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 45:25) — (:25) 78-J.Black reported in as eligible. 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 31-B.Meriweather at NE 17. 31-B.Meriweather to JAX 27 for 56 yards (9-D.Garrard, 44-B.Bole
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 49:53) — (4:53) 32-M.Jones-Drew right guard to JAX 35 for no gain (36-J.Sanders).
- New England Patriots (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 86-C.Baker for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady now has 4,024 passing yards this season, 3rd 4,000-yard season of his career (most in Patriots history)
- New England Patriots (Q1 56:52) — (11:52) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to JAX 26 for 15 yards (21-D.Cox).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 45:25) — (:25) 78-J.Black reported in as eligible. 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 31-B.Meriweather at NE 17. 31-B.Meriweather to JAX 27 for 56 yards (9-D.Garrard, 44-B.Bole
- New England Patriots (Q1 54:46) — (9:46) 63-D.Connolly and 64-M.LeVoir reported in as eligible. 39-L.Maroney right guard to JAX 1 for no gain (98-J.Henderson). FUMBLES (98-J.Henderson), RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Smith at JAX 1. New Englan
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 21:34) — (6:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 11-M.Sims-Walker INTERCEPTED by 29-S.Springs at NE 2. 29-S.Springs to NE 10 for 8 yards (11-M.Sims-Walker).
- New England Patriots (Q2 37:01) — (7:01) 63-D.Connolly reported in as eligible. 34-S.Morris right guard to JAX 11 for 55 yards (25-R.Nelson).
Quarterback report card
D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 29 dropbacks · 65.5% completion · +12.4% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -3.35 total EPA
- T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 26 dropbacks · 88.5% completion · +22.8% CPOE · +0.93 EPA/play · +24.23 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Jacksonville Jaguars | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.071 | +0.311 |
| Offensive success rate | 50.0% | 59.5% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.116 | +0.932 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.064 | +0.009 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.311 | +0.071 |
| Defensive success rate | 40.5% | 50.0% |
By the numbers
New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.31 vs -0.07), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 9 drives, -4.57 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
- New England Patriots: 8 drives, +23.00 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- T. Brady (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- D. Garrard (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- T. Brady (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 47:52 · JAX 2 · Score 0-6
(2:52) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 81-R.Moss for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady 25th TD of season, 5th season with 25+ TD passes, tying Drew Bree - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 47:48 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · JAX 26 · Score 0-13
(15:00) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 86-C.Baker for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 12-Brady now has 4,024 passing yards this season, 3rd 4,000-yard season of his caree - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 44:54 · JAX 2 · Score 0-14
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 35:07 · JAX 1 · Score 0-20
(5:07) 63-D.Connolly and 64-M.LeVoir reported in as eligible. 34-S.Morris left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 35:04 · JAX 2 · Score 0-21
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 30:50 · JAX 6 · Score 0-27
(:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 81-R.Moss for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss 35th career game with 2+ TD receptions, 2nd all-time (Je - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 30:45 · JAX 2 · Score 0-28
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · JAX 17 · Score 0-34
(15:00) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-R.Moss for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss 9th career 3 TD game. Jacksonville challenged the runner broke the plane rul - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 14:54 · JAX 2 · Score 0-35
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 12:48 · NE 2 · Score 6-35
(12:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 12:41 · NE 2 · Score 7-35
10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
The New England Patriots beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 35-7 in Week 16, 2009 on 2009-12-27.
What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 7, New England Patriots 35 (JAX 7-35 NE) in Week 16, 2009 on 2009-12-27.
What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, New England Patriots 7; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, New England Patriots 21; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, New England Patriots 7; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, New England Patriots 35.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
New England Patriots touchdown — R. Moss (T. Brady pass) (Q1 47:52) New England Patriots touchdown — C. Baker (T. Brady pass) (Q2 45:00) New England Patriots touchdown — S. Morris (Q2 35:07) New England Patriots touchdown — R. Moss (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:50) New England Patriots touchdown — R. Moss (T. Brady pass) (Q4 15:00) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — D. Garrard (Q4 12:48) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars), 65.5% completion, +12.4% CPOE, -0.12 EPA per dropback, -3.35 total passing EPA. T. Brady (New England Patriots), 88.5% completion, +22.8% CPOE, +0.93 EPA per dropback, +24.23 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
T. Brady (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +24.23 on passing plays. across 26 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.84 EPA): (:25) 78-J.Black reported in as eligible. 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 31-B.Meriweather at NE 17. 31-B.Meriweather to JAX 27 for 56 yards (9-. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.9%.
Season records after this game
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 7-7 Now 7-8 L
New England Patriots
Entered 9-5 Now 10-5 W
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