FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 7, 2006 · 10 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New England Patriots: 2005 Week 18 Recap

Patriots defeat Jaguars 28–3 in Week 18

Blake Watson led Fantasy Impact as Patriots prevailed in a 3–28 Week 18 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 3 12–5
Final 3–28
New England Patriots 28 11–6 Winner
Winner
New England Patriots
Final score
3–28
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 3–7 New England Patriots
Top passer
B. Leftwich
FantasyHQ MVP
Blake Watson
Game date
January 7, 2006

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Marcus Jones
    Marcus Jones 6 REC · 94 YDS +8.4 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Wilford 4 REC · 53 YDS +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Ryan Williams
    Ryan Williams 4 REC · 56 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • Blake Watson
    Blake Watson 5 REC · 91 YDS · 1 TD +11.6 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Brady 15/35 · 198 YDS · 3 TD +7.3 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Branch 2 REC · 36 YDS +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New England Patriots defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 28–3 in Week 18 of the 2005 NFL season on 2006-01-07, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+11.1% win probability) came in the opening quarter when New England Patriots swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2005 NFL season on 2006-01-07, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 28–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -8.14 total EPA.

On the individual side, B. Watson (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.62 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (9:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to JAX 30 for 20 yards (43-G.Sensabaugh).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
Jacksonville Jaguars300003
New England Patriots71470028

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Watson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +11.62 total EPA · 5 snaps · +2.32 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +8.41 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +7.35 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  4. 4 E. Wilford · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.78 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Branch · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
  6. 6 R. Williams · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.50 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Brown · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.12 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Faulk · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.53 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Watson — NE · Receiving

B. Watson posted the highest total EPA (+11.62) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +2.32 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.92 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 27. 22-A.Samuel for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 2nd longest INT return in Patriots playoff history (87-yard return by Harrison in 2

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New England Patriots — T. Brown (T. Brady pass) (Q2 42:14)
  • New England Patriots — D. Givens (T. Brady pass) (Q3 22:17)
  • New England Patriots — B. Watson (T. Brady pass) (Q3 18:19)
  • New England Patriots — A. Samuel (Q4 15:00)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 31:08)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 11 (Q2 42:14) — (12:14) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 42:08) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NE 18 (Q2 31:08) — (1:08) 10-J.Scobee 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. ball scraped the inside of the right upright.

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 14–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q3 22:17); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 22:13) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 63 (Q3 18:19); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 18:03) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NE 32 (Q4 15:00); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 14:46) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New England Patriots (Q1 54:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch to JAX 30 for 20 yards (43-G.Sensabaugh). [WPA +11.1% · EPA +2.86]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 39:04) — (9:04) (Shotgun) 34-A.Pearman left end to NE 40 for 4 yards (26-E.Wilson). FUMBLES (26-E.Wilson), RECOVERED by NE-93-R.Seymour at NE 40. 93-R.Seymour to NE 40 for no gain (74-M.Williams). [WPA -10.6% · EPA -4.22]
  • New England Patriots (Q3 18:19) — (3:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 84-B.Watson for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Longest pass play in Patriots postseason history (previous record was a 60-yard pass Brady-Branch in 2004 AFC Championship Game [WPA +9.4% · EPA +6.91]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 42:14) — (12:14) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.0% · EPA +3.12]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 47:28) — (2:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at JAX 30 for -3 yards (54-M.Peterson). [WPA -6.8% · EPA -1.77]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 27. 22-A.Samuel for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 2nd longest INT return in Patriots playoff history (87-yard ret [WPA -1.8% · EPA -7.92]
  • New England Patriots (Q3 18:19) — (3:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 84-B.Watson for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Longest pass play in Patriots postseason history (previous record was a 60-yard pass Brady-Branch in 2004 AFC Championship Game [WPA +9.4% · EPA +6.91]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 6:52) — (6:52) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 18-M.Jones to NE 23 for 41 yards (26-E.Wilson, 50-M.Vrabel). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +4.60]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 39:04) — (9:04) (Shotgun) 34-A.Pearman left end to NE 40 for 4 yards (26-E.Wilson). FUMBLES (26-E.Wilson), RECOVERED by NE-93-R.Seymour at NE 40. 93-R.Seymour to NE 40 for no gain (74-M.Williams). [WPA -10.6% · EPA -4.22]

Quarterback report card

B.Leftwich led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 39 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · -0.21 EPA/play · -8.14 total EPA
  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 35 dropbacks · 42.9% completion · +0.21 EPA/play · +7.35 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatJacksonville JaguarsNew England Patriots
Offensive EPA/play-0.256+0.043
Offensive success rate39.0%40.8%
Pass EPA/play-0.189+0.210
Rush EPA/play-0.681-0.062
Defensive EPA/play-0.043+0.256
Defensive success rate59.2%61.0%

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.26), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -21.03 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • New England Patriots: 12 drives, +3.29 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • B. Watson (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 42:14 · JAX 11 · Score 0-6
    (12:14) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 42:08 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 31:08 · NE 18 · Score 3-7
    (1:08) 10-J.Scobee 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. ball scraped the inside of the right upright
  4. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 22:17 · JAX 3 · Score 3-13
    (7:17) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TD reception in 6 straight playoff games for 87-Givens. 2nd in NFL history (Stallworth-8)
  5. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 22:13 · JAX 2 · Score 3-14
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  6. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 18:19 · JAX 63 · Score 3-20
    (3:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 84-B.Watson for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Longest pass play in Patriots postseason history (previous record was a 60-yard pass Br
  7. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 18:03 · JAX 2 · Score 3-21
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  8. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · NE 32 · Score 3-27
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 27. 22-A.Samuel for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 2nd longest INT return
  9. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 14:46 · JAX 2 · Score 3-28
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?

The New England Patriots beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 28-3 in Week 18, 2005 on 2006-01-07.

What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?

The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 3, New England Patriots 28 (JAX 3-28 NE) in Week 18, 2005 on 2006-01-07.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?

Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, New England Patriots 7; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, New England Patriots 14; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, New England Patriots 7; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, New England Patriots 28.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?

New England Patriots touchdown — T. Brown (T. Brady pass) (Q2 42:14) New England Patriots touchdown — D. Givens (T. Brady pass) (Q3 22:17) New England Patriots touchdown — B. Watson (T. Brady pass) (Q3 18:19) New England Patriots touchdown — A. Samuel (Q4 15:00) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q2 31:08, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?

B. Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars), 46.2% completion, -0.21 EPA per dropback, -8.14 total passing EPA. T. Brady (New England Patriots), 42.9% completion, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +7.35 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?

B. Watson (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +11.62 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.92 EPA): (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 27. 22-A.Samuel for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 2nd longest INT return in Patriots playoff . The biggest win-probability swing was +11.1%.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 12-4 Now 12-5 L

New England Patriots

Entered 10-6 Now 11-6 W