Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New England Patriots: 2003 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-12-14, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 27–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -5.10 total EPA.

On the individual side, K. Johnson (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.47 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+9.8% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (9:57) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to NE 9 for 67 yards (37-R.Harrison).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 K. Johnson · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +10.47 total EPA · 5 snaps · +2.09 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Givens · New England Patriots · Receiving · +8.10 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.62 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +7.63 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Brown · New England Patriots · Receiving · +7.40 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.85 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Graham · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.44 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Smith · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.36 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.18 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Branch · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.27 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Edwards · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.08 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — D. Graham (T. Brady pass) (Q1 55:08)
• New England Patriots — T. Brown (T. Brady pass) (Q4 11:02)
• New England Patriots — A. Smith (Q4 4:23)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — K. Johnson (B. Leftwich pass) (Q4 3:28)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — S. Marler (Q1 52:23)
• New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q2 44:16)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — S. Marler (Q2 37:20)
• New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q2 32:34)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 27 (Q1 55:08) — (10:08) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 55:02) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NE 5 (Q1 52:23) — (7:23) 6-S.Marler 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 6–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the JAX 4 (Q2 44:16) — (14:16) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NE 5 (Q2 37:20) — (7:20) 6-S.Marler 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the JAX 13 (Q2 32:34) — (2:34) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 14–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 10 (Q4 11:02) — (11:02) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 10:57) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 4:23); New England Patriots added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 4:18) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NE 27 (Q4 3:28); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 3:22) — 6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 54:57) — (9:57) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to NE 9 for 67 yards (37-R.Harrison). [WPA +9.8% · EPA +4.78]
• New England Patriots (Q1 55:43) — (10:43) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to JAX 27 for 3 yards (27-R.Mathis, 35-D.Cooper). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +2.38]
• New England Patriots (Q1 49:51) — (4:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to JAX 35 for 18 yards (25-F.Bryant). [WPA +9.3% · EPA +2.61]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:26) — (:26) 6-S.Marler 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals. [WPA -9.1% · EPA -2.61]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Poole at NE 48. 38-T.Poole to JAX 35 for 17 yards (65-C.Naeole). [WPA -8.3% · EPA -4.30]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 5:56) — (5:56) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 86-T.Edwards INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Poole at JAX 47. 38-T.Poole to JAX 3 for 44 yards (22-L.Toefield). Penalty on JAX-74-M.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, [WPA -3.3% · EPA -7.04]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 54:57) — (9:57) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to NE 9 for 67 yards (37-R.Harrison). [WPA +9.8% · EPA +4.78]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 3:28) — (3:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 83-K.Johnson for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NE-38-T.Poole, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +0.1% · EPA +4.45]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Poole at NE 48. 38-T.Poole to JAX 35 for 17 yards (65-C.Naeole). [WPA -8.3% · EPA -4.30]

Quarterback report card

B.Leftwich led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 41 dropbacks · 51.2% completion · -0.12 EPA/play · -5.10 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 37 dropbacks · 59.5% completion · +0.21 EPA/play · +7.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.08), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, -6.47 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 12 drives, +5.28 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• K. Johnson (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 55:08 · JAX 27 · Score 0-6
   (10:08) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 55:02 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 52:23 · NE 5 · Score 3-7
   (7:23) 6-S.Marler 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals.
4. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 44:16 · JAX 4 · Score 3-10
   (14:16) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 37:20 · NE 5 · Score 6-10
   (7:20) 6-S.Marler 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals.
6. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 32:34 · JAX 13 · Score 6-13
   (2:34) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.
7. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 11:02 · JAX 10 · Score 6-19
   (11:02) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 10:57 · JAX 2 · Score 6-20
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.
9. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 4:23 · JAX 1 · Score 6-26
   (4:23) NE 93-Seymour eligible. 32-A.Smith up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NE-93-R.Seymour, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
10. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 4:18 · JAX 2 · Score 6-27
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-49-S.McDermott, Holder-13-K.Walter.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 3:28 · NE 27 · Score 12-27
    (3:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 83-K.Johnson for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NE-38-T.Poole, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 3:22 · NE 2 · Score 13-27
    6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals.