FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 1 · September 9, 2012 · 12 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2012 Week 1 Recap

Vikings defeat Jaguars 26–23 in Week 1

Blaine Gabbert led Fantasy Impact as Vikings prevailed in a 23–26 Week 1 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 23 0–1
Final 23–26
Minnesota Vikings 26 1–0 Winner
Winner
Minnesota Vikings
Final score
23–26
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 9–7 Minnesota Vikings
Top passer
Blaine Gabbert
FantasyHQ MVP
Blaine Gabbert
Game date
September 9, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Blaine Gabbert
    Blaine Gabbert 23/46 · 250 YDS · 2 TD +14.6 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Shorts 4 REC · 74 YDS · 1 TD +6.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Marcedes Lewis
    Marcedes Lewis 5 REC · 52 YDS · 1 TD +6.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • K.Rudolph 5 REC · 67 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Aromashodu 3 REC · 61 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Pressley Harvin
    Pressley Harvin 6 REC · 84 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 26–23 in Week 1 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-09-09, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+46.2% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 1 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-09-09, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 26–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +14.55 total EPA, and -5.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+46.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (:27) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Jacksonville Jaguars36311023
Minnesota Vikings0779326

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Gabbert · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +14.55 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Shorts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +6.61 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +6.44 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.29 EPA/play
  4. 4 K. Rudolph · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +4.51 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Aromashodu · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +3.24 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play
  6. 6 L. Robinson · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  7. 7 P. Harvin · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Peterson · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +2.50 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Gabbert — JAX · Passing

B. Gabbert posted the highest total EPA (+14.55) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 46 counted snaps, they averaged +0.32 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.86 EPA) came from Minnesota Vikings: (6:12) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 16 for -4 yards (96-T.Knighton). FUMBLES (96-T.Knighton), RECOVERED by JAX-99-C.Mosley at MIN 16. 99-C.Mosley to MIN 16 for no gain (Team).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Lewis (B. Gabbert pass) (Q2 35:27)
  • Minnesota Vikings — A. Peterson (Q2 30:45)
  • Minnesota Vikings — A. Peterson (Q3 24:46)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Shorts (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 0:27)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q1 47:56)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q3 19:44)
  • Minnesota Vikings — B. Walsh (Q4 14:12)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q4 9:40)
  • Minnesota Vikings — B. Walsh (Q4 5:38)
  • Minnesota Vikings — B. Walsh (Q4 0:04)
  • Minnesota Vikings — B. Walsh (OT 11:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the MIN 1 (Q1 47:56) — (2:56) 10-J.Scobee 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 7–6. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the MIN 1 (Q2 35:27) — (5:27) 68-G.Whimper reported in as eligible. 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 89-M.Lewis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q2 30:45) — (:45) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:41) — 3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 7–3. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q3 24:46) — (9:46) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 24:42) — 3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the MIN 8 (Q3 19:44) — (4:44) 10-J.Scobee 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 11–9. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the JAX 2 (Q4 14:12) — (14:12) 3-B.Walsh 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the MIN 29 (Q4 9:40) — (9:40) 10-J.Scobee 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the JAX 23 (Q4 5:38) — (5:38) 3-B.Walsh 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the MIN 39 (Q4 0:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the MIN 2 (Q4 0:20) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-B.Gabbert pass to 14-J.Blackmon is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the JAX 37 (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 3-B.Walsh 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe..

Overtime: Minnesota Vikings won the period 3–0. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the JAX 20 (OT 11:11) — (11:11) 3-B.Walsh 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +46.2% · EPA +5.24]
  • Minnesota Vikings (OT 11:11) — (11:11) 3-B.Walsh 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe. [WPA -44.5% · EPA +0.49]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 10:12) — (10:12) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass incomplete deep right to 81-L.Robinson. [WPA -35.5% · EPA +0.78]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 3-B.Walsh 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe. [WPA +26.6% · EPA +1.28]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 26:41) — (11:41) 11-B.Gabbert FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 44, RECOVERED by MIN-93-K.Williams at JAX 44. 93-K.Williams to JAX 44 for no gain (63-B.Meester). [WPA -19.0% · EPA -5.20]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 21:12) — (6:12) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 16 for -4 yards (96-T.Knighton). FUMBLES (96-T.Knighton), RECOVERED by JAX-99-C.Mosley at MIN 16. 99-C.Mosley to MIN 16 for no gain (Team). [WPA -16.7% · EPA -5.86]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +46.2% · EPA +5.24]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 26:41) — (11:41) 11-B.Gabbert FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 44, RECOVERED by MIN-93-K.Williams at JAX 44. 93-K.Williams to JAX 44 for no gain (63-B.Meester). [WPA -19.0% · EPA -5.20]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 15:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass deep left to 82-K.Rudolph to JAX 3 for 29 yards (22-K.Rutland). [WPA +9.9% · EPA +3.22]

Quarterback report card

B.Gabbert led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 46 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -5.1% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +14.55 total EPA
  • C.Ponder (Minnesota Vikings) · 31 dropbacks · 64.5% completion · +7.6% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.61 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatJacksonville JaguarsMinnesota Vikings
Offensive EPA/play+0.049+0.051
Offensive success rate44.8%52.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.316+0.020
Rush EPA/play-0.230+0.036
Defensive EPA/play-0.051-0.049
Defensive success rate47.4%55.2%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars +0.05, Minnesota Vikings +0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, +4.68 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 13 drives, +4.00 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Gabbert (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • C. Ponder (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 47:56 · MIN 1 · Score 3-0
    (2:56) 10-J.Scobee 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 35:27 · MIN 1 · Score 9-0
    (5:27) 68-G.Whimper reported in as eligible. 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 89-M.Lewis for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 30:45 · JAX 3 · Score 9-6
    (:45) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 30:41 · JAX 2 · Score 9-7
    3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
  5. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 24:46 · JAX 2 · Score 9-13
    (9:46) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 24:42 · JAX 2 · Score 9-14
    3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 19:44 · MIN 8 · Score 12-14
    (4:44) 10-J.Scobee 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
  8. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 14:12 · JAX 2 · Score 12-17
    (14:12) 3-B.Walsh 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 9:40 · MIN 29 · Score 15-17
    (9:40) 10-J.Scobee 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
  10. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 5:38 · JAX 23 · Score 15-20
    (5:38) 3-B.Walsh 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
  11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 0:27 · MIN 39 · Score 21-20
    (:27) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q4 0:20 · MIN 2 · Score 23-20
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-B.Gabbert pass to 14-J.Blackmon is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  13. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 0:04 · JAX 37 · Score 23-23
    (:04) 3-B.Walsh 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.
  14. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — OT 11:11 · JAX 20 · Score 23-26
    (11:11) 3-B.Walsh 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Loeffler, Holder-5-C.Kluwe.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 26-23 in Week 1, 2012 on 2012-09-09.

What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings?

The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 23, Minnesota Vikings 26 (JAX 23-26 MIN) in Week 1, 2012 on 2012-09-09.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings?

Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Minnesota Vikings 0; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 6, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 11, Minnesota Vikings 9; Q5: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Minnesota Vikings 3; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 23, Minnesota Vikings 26.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — M. Lewis (B. Gabbert pass) (Q2 35:27) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — A. Peterson (Q2 30:45) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — A. Peterson (Q3 24:46) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Shorts (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 0:27) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q1 47:56, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q3 19:44, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — B. Walsh (Q4 14:12, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q4 9:40, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — B. Walsh (Q4 5:38, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — B. Walsh (Q4 0:04, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — B. Walsh (OT 11:11, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings?

B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars), 50.0% completion, -5.1% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +14.55 total passing EPA. C. Ponder (Minnesota Vikings), 64.5% completion, +7.6% CPOE, +0.02 EPA per dropback, +0.61 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings?

B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +14.55 on passing plays. across 46 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.86 EPA): (6:12) 7-C.Ponder sacked at MIN 16 for -4 yards (96-T.Knighton). FUMBLES (96-T.Knighton), RECOVERED by JAX-99-C.Mosley at MIN 16. 99-C.Mosley to MIN 16 for no gain (Team).. The biggest win-probability swing was +46.2%.

Was Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Minnesota Vikings won 26-23 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Now 0-1 L

Minnesota Vikings

Now 1-0 W