FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 13 · December 5, 2021 · 11 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2021 Week 13 Recap

Rams defeat Jaguars 37–7 in Week 13

Matthew Stafford led Fantasy Impact as Rams prevailed in a 7–37 Week 13 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 7 2–10
Final 7–37
Los Angeles Rams 37 8–4 Winner
Winner
Los Angeles Rams
Final score
7–37
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 7–16 Los Angeles Rams
Top passer
Matthew Stafford
FantasyHQ MVP
Matthew Stafford
Game date
December 5, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Laquon Treadwell
    Laquon Treadwell 4 REC · 62 YDS +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Jaydon Mickens
    Jaydon Mickens 2 REC · 10 YDS +1.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Marcus Jones
    Marcus Jones 2 REC · 11 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Matthew Stafford
    Matthew Stafford 26/41 · 290 YDS · 3 TD +13.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Cooper Kupp
    Cooper Kupp 8 REC · 129 YDS · 1 TD +11.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Sony Michel
    Sony Michel 24 CAR · 121 YDS · 1 TD +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 37–7 in Week 13 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-05, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-10.5% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 13 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-05, the Los Angeles Rams took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 37–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) paced the passing game, with +13.20 total EPA, and +1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.20 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (11:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 34 for 1 yard (99-A.Donald). FUMBLES (99-A.Donald), RECOVERED by LA-5-J.Ramsey at JAX 35. 5-J.Ramsey to JAX 27 for 8 yards (16-T.Lawrenc

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Jacksonville Jaguars070007
Los Angeles Rams106147037

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Stafford · Los Angeles Rams · Passing · +13.20 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Kupp · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +11.65 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
  3. 3 L. Treadwell · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.67 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
  4. 4 S. Michel · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +2.33 total EPA · 24 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Higbee · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +2.16 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Stafford · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +1.57 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play
  7. 7 V. Jefferson · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +1.44 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Mickens · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.34 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Stafford — LA · Passing

M. Stafford posted the highest total EPA (+13.20) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Rams's efficiency. Across 41 counted snaps, they averaged +0.32 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.64 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (11:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 34 for 1 yard (99-A.Donald). FUMBLES (99-A.Donald), RECOVERED by LA-5-J.Ramsey at JAX 35. 5-J.Ramsey to JAX 27 for 8 yards (16-T.Lawrence).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Rams — S. Michel (Q1 55:31)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Hyde (Q2 43:28)
  • Los Angeles Rams — C. Kupp (M. Stafford pass) (Q3 26:49)
  • Los Angeles Rams — V. Jefferson (M. Stafford pass) (Q3 18:33)
  • Los Angeles Rams — O. Beckham (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 10:56)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — M. Gay (Q1 57:24)
  • Los Angeles Rams — M. Gay (Q2 37:46)
  • Los Angeles Rams — M. Gay (Q2 30:23)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 10–0. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the JAX 22 (Q1 57:24) — (12:24) 8-M.Gay 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q1 55:31) — (10:31) 25-S.Michel up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 55:25) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–6. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q2 43:28) — (13:28) 90-M.Brown and 76-W.Richardson reported in as eligible. 24-C.Hyde right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 43:23) — 15-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the JAX 26 (Q2 37:46) — (7:46) 8-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the JAX 19 (Q2 30:23) — (:23) 8-M.Gay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The third quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 14–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the JAX 29 (Q3 26:49) — (11:49) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 10-C.Kupp for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 26:43) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q3 18:33) — (3:33) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 12-V.Jefferson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 18:27) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 7–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 10:56) — (10:56) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 3-O.Beckham for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-21-N.Lawson was injured during the play.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 10:52) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:54) — (11:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 34 for 1 yard (99-A.Donald). FUMBLES (99-A.Donald), RECOVERED by LA-5-J.Ramsey at JAX 35. 5-J.Ramsey to JAX 27 for 8 yards (16-T.Lawrenc [WPA -10.5% · EPA -5.64]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 60:00) — 15-M.Wright kicks 64 yards from JAX 35 to LA 1. 19-B.Powell to JAX 34 for 65 yards (27-C.Claybrooks). [WPA +8.6% · EPA +2.27]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 46:34) — (1:34) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-M.Jones to LA 30 for 6 yards (4-J.Fuller). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.72]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 39:58) — (9:58) 9-M.Stafford up the middle to JAX 33 for 2 yards (90-M.Brown; 54-D.Wilson). [WPA +6.9% · EPA +1.57]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 42:35) — (12:35) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 18-B.Skowronek to JAX 44 for 35 yards (42-A.Wingard). [WPA +6.0% · EPA +2.48]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:54) — (11:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 34 for 1 yard (99-A.Donald). FUMBLES (99-A.Donald), RECOVERED by LA-5-J.Ramsey at JAX 35. 5-J.Ramsey to JAX 27 for 8 yards (16-T.Lawrenc [WPA -10.5% · EPA -5.64]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 16:31) — (1:31) (Shotgun) 24-C.Hyde up the middle to JAX 46 for 2 yards (94-A.Robinson). FUMBLES (94-A.Robinson), RECOVERED by LA-24-T.Rapp at LA 45. 24-T.Rapp to LA 45 for no gain (80-J.O'Shaughnessy). [WPA -0.6% · EPA -5.48]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 23:39) — (8:39) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy (5-J.Ramsey). [WPA -1.8% · EPA -3.85]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 49:15) — (4:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 18-L.Treadwell to LA 44 for 28 yards (4-J.Fuller). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +3.19]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Rams, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) · 41 dropbacks · 63.4% completion · +1.9% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +13.20 total EPA
  • T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 36 dropbacks · 44.4% completion · -19.7% CPOE · +0.00 EPA/play · +0.15 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatJacksonville JaguarsLos Angeles Rams
Offensive EPA/play-0.232+0.227
Offensive success rate35.1%53.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.004+0.322
Rush EPA/play-0.840+0.104
Defensive EPA/play-0.227+0.232
Defensive success rate46.3%64.9%

By the numbers

Los Angeles Rams held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.23 vs -0.23), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -17.17 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Rams: 10 drives, +18.64 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Rams leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Lawrence (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q1 57:24 · JAX 22 · Score 0-3
    (12:24) 8-M.Gay 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  2. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 55:31 · JAX 5 · Score 0-9
    (10:31) 25-S.Michel up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 55:25 · JAX 15 · Score 0-10
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 43:28 · LA 1 · Score 6-10
    (13:28) 90-M.Brown and 76-W.Richardson reported in as eligible. 24-C.Hyde right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 43:23 · LA 15 · Score 7-10
    15-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  6. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 37:46 · JAX 26 · Score 7-13
    (7:46) 8-M.Gay 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  7. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 30:23 · JAX 19 · Score 7-16
    (:23) 8-M.Gay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  8. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q3 26:49 · JAX 29 · Score 7-22
    (11:49) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 10-C.Kupp for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q3 26:43 · JAX 15 · Score 7-23
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  10. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q3 18:33 · JAX 2 · Score 7-29
    (3:33) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 12-V.Jefferson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q3 18:27 · JAX 15 · Score 7-30
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  12. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 10:56 · JAX 1 · Score 7-36
    (10:56) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 3-O.Beckham for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-21-N.Lawson was injured during the play.
  13. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q4 10:52 · JAX 15 · Score 7-37
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams?

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 37-7 in Week 13, 2021 on 2021-12-05.

What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams?

The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Los Angeles Rams 37 (JAX 7-37 LA) in Week 13, 2021 on 2021-12-05.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams?

Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Los Angeles Rams 10; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Los Angeles Rams 6; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Los Angeles Rams 14; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Los Angeles Rams 7; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Los Angeles Rams 37.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams?

Los Angeles Rams touchdown — S. Michel (Q1 55:31) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Hyde (Q2 43:28) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — C. Kupp (M. Stafford pass) (Q3 26:49) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — V. Jefferson (M. Stafford pass) (Q3 18:33) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — O. Beckham (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 10:56) Los Angeles Rams field goal — M. Gay (Q1 57:24, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — M. Gay (Q2 37:46, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — M. Gay (Q2 30:23, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams?

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams), 63.4% completion, +1.9% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +13.20 total passing EPA. T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 44.4% completion, -19.7% CPOE, +0.00 EPA per dropback, +0.15 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams?

M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) led the game in total EPA with +13.20 on passing plays. across 41 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.64 EPA): (11:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 34 for 1 yard (99-A.Donald). FUMBLES (99-A.Donald), RECOVERED by LA-5-J.Ramsey at JAX 35. 5-J.Ramsey to JAX 27 for 8. The biggest win-probability swing was -10.5%.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 2-9 Now 2-10 L

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 7-4 Now 8-4 W