Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-11-13, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 27–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 26 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +5.19 total EPA, and +6.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +24.15 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (9:04) (Shotgun) 10-I.Pacheco up the middle to JAX 9 for 4 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins), RECOVERED by JAX-33-D.Lloyd at JAX 7. 33-D.Lloyd to JAX 24 for 17 yards (9-J.Smith-Schuster; 15-P

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +24.15 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
2. 2 Z. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +9.92 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +8.10 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Kirk · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +7.87 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +5.19 total EPA · 51 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
6. 6 K. Toney · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.74 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Valdes-Scantling · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.56 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
8. 8 N. Gray · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.76 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.38 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — K. Toney (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 48:39)
• Kansas City Chiefs — M. Valdes-Scantling (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 40:01)
• Kansas City Chiefs — N. Gray (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 30:51)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q2 30:15)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (P. Mahomes pass) (Q3 15:41)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q4 5:32)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson (Q3 20:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q1 48:39) — (3:39) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 19-K.Toney for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 48:32) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 19–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the JAX 18 (Q2 40:01) — (10:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 11-M.Valdes-Scantling for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 39:55) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the JAX 13 (Q2 30:51) — (:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 83-N.Gray for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the JAX 15 (Q2 30:46) — 7-H.Butker extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the KC 3 (Q2 30:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 30:11) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the KC 17 (Q3 20:50) — (5:50) 10-R.Patterson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the JAX 7 (Q3 15:41) — (:41) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 15:38) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the KC 19 (Q4 5:32) — (5:32) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 5:26) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:04) — (9:04) (Shotgun) 10-I.Pacheco up the middle to JAX 9 for 4 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins), RECOVERED by JAX-33-D.Lloyd at JAX 7. 33-D.Lloyd to JAX 24 for 17 yards (9-J.Smith-Schuster; 15-P [WPA -16.2% · EPA -5.85]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 50:42) — (5:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at JAX 21 for 46 yards (2-R.Jenkins). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +2.88]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 59:59) — (14:59) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne left guard to KC 47 for 7 yards (32-N.Bolton). [WPA +8.8% · EPA +0.44]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:46) — (9:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 9-J.Smith-Schuster to JAX 13 for 25 yards (37-T.Herndon). [WPA +8.5% · EPA +2.96]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 43:44) — (13:44) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 1-T.Etienne to KC 31 for 24 yards (22-J.Thornhill; 20-J.Reid). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +3.19]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:04) — (9:04) (Shotgun) 10-I.Pacheco up the middle to JAX 9 for 4 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins), RECOVERED by JAX-33-D.Lloyd at JAX 7. 33-D.Lloyd to JAX 24 for 17 yards (9-J.Smith-Schuster; 15-P [WPA -16.2% · EPA -5.85]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 8:07) — (8:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 1-J.McKinnon INTERCEPTED by 5-A.Cisco [52-D.Hamilton] at JAX 38. 5-A.Cisco pushed ob at JAX 46 for 8 yards (11-M.Valdes-Scantling). [WPA -1.9% · EPA -4.43]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 60:00) — 10-R.Patterson kicks onside 11 yards from JAX 35 to JAX 46. RECOVERED by JAX-10-R.Patterson. [WPA -0.2% · EPA -3.70]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:23) — (11:23) 10-R.Patterson 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. [WPA -4.5% · EPA -3.39]

Quarterback report card

T.Lawrence led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 51 dropbacks · 56.9% completion · +6.5% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +5.19 total EPA
• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 41 dropbacks · 63.4% completion · +6.9% CPOE · +0.59 EPA/play · +24.15 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.04), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -3.45 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, +6.95 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• P. Mahomes (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 48:39 · JAX 6 · Score 0-6
   (3:39) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 19-K.Toney for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 48:32 · JAX 15 · Score 0-7
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 40:01 · JAX 18 · Score 0-13
   (10:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 11-M.Valdes-Scantling for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 39:55 · JAX 15 · Score 0-14
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 30:51 · JAX 13 · Score 0-20
   (:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 83-N.Gray for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 30:46 · JAX 15 · Score 0-20
   7-H.Butker extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 30:15 · KC 3 · Score 6-20
   (:15) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 30:11 · KC 15 · Score 7-20
   10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 20:50 · KC 17 · Score 10-20
   (5:50) 10-R.Patterson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 15:41 · JAX 7 · Score 10-26
    (:41) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 15:38 · JAX 15 · Score 10-27
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 5:32 · KC 19 · Score 16-27
    (5:32) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 13-C.Kirk for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 5:26 · KC 15 · Score 17-27
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.