Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2010 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-19, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 34–24 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +2.86 total EPA, and +7.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Brown (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.03 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (4:06) 1-P.McAfee punts 41 yards to JAX 22, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-M.Thomas for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND-23-A.Afalava was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. IND-38-M.Newton was injured

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Brown · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +7.03 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Collie · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.66 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
3. 3 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +5.97 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.81 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
6. 6 P. Garcon · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.96 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +2.86 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
8. 8 B. White · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.76 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — A. Collie (P. Manning pass) (Q1 56:28)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Collie (P. Manning pass) (Q2 39:55)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Thomas (Q2 34:06)
• Indianapolis Colts — D. Brown (Q3 27:28)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Sims-Walker (D. Garrard pass) (Q3 18:59)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Sims-Walker (D. Garrard pass) (Q4 1:59)
• Indianapolis Colts — T. Hagler (Q4 1:54)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 44:18)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 23:52)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 10:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 7 (Q1 56:28) — (11:28) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 17-A.Collie for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 56:21) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–7. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 4 (Q2 44:18) — (14:18) 10-J.Scobee 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 27 (Q2 39:55) — (9:55) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 17-A.Collie for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 39:51) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the JAX 63 (Q2 34:06); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 33:51) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 43 (Q3 27:28) — (12:28) (Run formation) 31-D.Brown left end for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 27:19) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 16 (Q3 23:52) — (8:52) 4-A.Vinatieri 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 6 (Q3 18:59) — (3:59) (Run formation) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 11-M.Sims-Walker for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 18:54) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 19 (Q4 10:02) — (10:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 1:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 11-M.Sims-Walker for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 1:54); Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 35 (Q4 1:54) — 10-J.Scobee kicks onside 6 yards from JAX 35 to JAX 41. 56-T.Hagler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 1:47) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:06) — (4:06) 1-P.McAfee punts 41 yards to JAX 22, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-M.Thomas for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND-23-A.Afalava was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. IND-38-M.Newton was injured [WPA -17.2% · EPA -6.63]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Run formation) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 83-J.Hill INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 13. 41-A.Bethea to IND 44 for 31 yards (86-Z.Miller). [WPA -12.9% · EPA -5.64]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:18) — (12:18) (Shotgun) 31-D.Brown up the middle to JAX 7 for 49 yards (37-S.Considine). JAX-22-D.Carey was injured during the play. [WPA +11.7% · EPA +3.29]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 50:01) — (5:01) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 83-J.Hill to IND 26 for 14 yards (20-J.Tryon, 43-A.Francisco). [WPA +10.6% · EPA +4.01]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 27:28) — (12:28) (Run formation) 31-D.Brown left end for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +4.67]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:06) — (4:06) 1-P.McAfee punts 41 yards to JAX 22, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-M.Thomas for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND-23-A.Afalava was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. IND-38-M.Newton was injured [WPA -17.2% · EPA -6.63]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:54) — 10-J.Scobee kicks onside 6 yards from JAX 35 to JAX 41. 56-T.Hagler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.4% · EPA +6.45]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Run formation) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 83-J.Hill INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 13. 41-A.Bethea to IND 44 for 31 yards (86-Z.Miller). [WPA -12.9% · EPA -5.64]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 25:17) — (10:17) 1-P.McAfee punts 43 yards to JAX 26, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-M.Thomas MUFFS catch, touched at JAX 26, RECOVERED by IND-53-K.Conner at JAX 26. 53-K.Conner to JAX 21 for 5 yards (41-T.Brackenridge) [WPA +7.2% · EPA +5.52]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 43 dropbacks · 55.8% completion · +7.9% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.86 total EPA
• P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 40 dropbacks · 72.5% completion · +9.9% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +5.97 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.12 vs +0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, +10.21 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, +1.03 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Brown (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Garrard (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• P. Manning (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 56:28 · JAX 7 · Score 0-6
   (11:28) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 17-A.Collie for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 56:21 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 44:18 · IND 4 · Score 3-7
   (14:18) 10-J.Scobee 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
4. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 39:55 · JAX 27 · Score 3-13
   (9:55) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 17-A.Collie for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 39:51 · JAX 2 · Score 3-14
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 34:06 · JAX 63 · Score 9-14
   (4:06) 1-P.McAfee punts 41 yards to JAX 22, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-M.Thomas for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. IND-23-A.Afalava was injured during the play. His return is Q
7. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 33:51 · IND 2 · Score 10-14
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 27:28 · JAX 43 · Score 10-20
   (12:28) (Run formation) 31-D.Brown left end for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 27:19 · JAX 2 · Score 10-21
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
10. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 23:52 · JAX 16 · Score 10-24
    (8:52) 4-A.Vinatieri 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 18:59 · IND 6 · Score 16-24
    (3:59) (Run formation) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 11-M.Sims-Walker for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 18:54 · IND 2 · Score 17-24
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
13. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 10:02 · JAX 19 · Score 17-27
    (10:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 1:59 · IND 1 · Score 23-27
    (1:59) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 11-M.Sims-Walker for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 1:54 · IND 2 · Score 24-27
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. PENALTY on IND, Defensive 12 On-field, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
16. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 1:54 · JAX 35 · Score 24-33
    10-J.Scobee kicks onside 6 yards from JAX 35 to JAX 41. 56-T.Hagler for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 1:47 · JAX 2 · Score 24-34
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.