FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · September 29, 2024 · 11 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: 2024 Week 4 Recap

Texans defeat Jaguars 24–20 in Week 4

C.J. Stroud led Fantasy Impact as Texans prevailed in a 20–24 Week 4 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 20 0–4
Final 20–24
Houston Texans 24 3–1 Winner
Winner
Houston Texans
Final score
20–24
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 13–20 Houston Texans
Top passer
C.J. Stroud
FantasyHQ MVP
C.J. Stroud
Game date
September 29, 2024

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Tank Bigsby
    Tank Bigsby 7 CAR · 90 YDS +5.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Brandon Thomas
    Brandon Thomas 6 REC · 86 YDS · 1 TD +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Christian Kirk
    Christian Kirk 7 REC · 49 YDS · 1 TD +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • C.J. Stroud
    C.J. Stroud 27/50 · 351 YDS · 2 TD +13.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Nico Collins
    Nico Collins 12 REC · 151 YDS · 1 TD +9.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Dare Ogunbowale
    Dare Ogunbowale 4 REC · 47 YDS · 1 TD +8.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Houston Texans defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 24–20 in Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-09-29, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+31.9% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-09-29, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 24–20 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Stroud (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with +13.88 total EPA, and +1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Stroud (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.88 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+31.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (:22) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Jacksonville Jaguars10370020
Houston Texans713013024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Stroud · Houston Texans · Passing · +13.88 total EPA · 50 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  2. 2 N. Collins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +9.17 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Ogunbowale · Houston Texans · Receiving · +8.09 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.02 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Bigsby · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +5.49 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.42 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Stover · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.69 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.69 EPA/play
  7. 7 S. Diggs · Houston Texans · Passing · +1.85 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.85 EPA/play
  8. 8 C. Kirk · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.18 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Stroud — HOU · Passing

C. Stroud posted the highest total EPA (+13.88) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Houston Texans's efficiency. Across 50 counted snaps, they averaged +0.28 EPA per play.

The signature play (+7.05 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (12:56) 9-L.Cooke punts 45 yards to HOU 10, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 82-S.Sims MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Thomas at HOU 2.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Thomas (T. Lawrence pass) (Q1 57:48)
  • Houston Texans — S. Diggs (Q1 52:29)
  • Houston Texans — N. Collins (C. Stroud pass) (Q2 37:23)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 21:21)
  • Houston Texans — D. Ogunbowale (C. Stroud pass) (Q4 0:22)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Little (Q1 47:45)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Little (Q2 33:54)
  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 30:05)
  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 30:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 2 (Q1 57:48) — (12:48) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 7-B.Thomas for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q1 57:44) — 39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q1 52:29) — (7:29) (Shotgun) 1-S.Diggs scrambles left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 52:23) — 15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 23 (Q1 47:45) — (2:45) 39-C.Little 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 13–3. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q2 37:23) — (7:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 37:19) — 15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 34 (Q2 33:54) — (3:54) 39-C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 11 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 15-K.Fairbairn 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the HOU 35 (Q2 30:03) — 15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 30..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 8 (Q3 21:21) — (6:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q3 21:16) — 39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 13–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 0:22) — (:22) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 15 (Q4 0:18) — 15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Houston Texans (Q4 0:22) — (:22) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +31.9% · EPA +2.00]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 57:56) — (12:56) 9-L.Cooke punts 45 yards to HOU 10, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 82-S.Sims MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Thomas at HOU 2. [WPA +23.7% · EPA +7.05]
  • Houston Texans (Q4 11:21) — (11:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale to JAX 36 for 31 yards (22-J.Jones). [WPA +18.2% · EPA +3.71]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 16:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 4-T.Bigsby right guard pushed ob at HOU 4 for 58 yards (21-C.Bullock). [WPA +15.0% · EPA +4.95]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to HOU 1 for no gain (91-F.Fatukasi; 97-M.Edwards). [WPA -14.7% · EPA -4.38]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 57:56) — (12:56) 9-L.Cooke punts 45 yards to HOU 10, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 82-S.Sims MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Thomas at HOU 2. [WPA +23.7% · EPA +7.05]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 16:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 4-T.Bigsby right guard pushed ob at HOU 4 for 58 yards (21-C.Bullock). [WPA +15.0% · EPA +4.95]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to HOU 1 for no gain (91-F.Fatukasi; 97-M.Edwards). [WPA -14.7% · EPA -4.38]
  • Houston Texans (Q4 11:21) — (11:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale to JAX 36 for 31 yards (22-J.Jones). [WPA +18.2% · EPA +3.71]

Quarterback report card

C.Stroud led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Stroud (Houston Texans) · 50 dropbacks · 54.0% completion · +1.6% CPOE · +0.28 EPA/play · +13.88 total EPA
  • T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 35 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · -7.8% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.24 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatJacksonville JaguarsHouston Texans
Offensive EPA/play+0.114+0.098
Offensive success rate46.1%48.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.035+0.309
Rush EPA/play+0.022-0.329
Defensive EPA/play-0.098-0.114
Defensive success rate51.6%53.9%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars +0.11, Houston Texans +0.10) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Houston Texans: 10 drives, +8.95 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, +8.68 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • C. Stroud (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Lawrence (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 57:48 · HOU 2 · Score 6-0
    (12:48) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 7-B.Thomas for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 57:44 · HOU 15 · Score 7-0
    39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  3. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 52:29 · JAX 6 · Score 7-6
    (7:29) (Shotgun) 1-S.Diggs scrambles left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 52:23 · JAX 15 · Score 7-7
    15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 47:45 · HOU 23 · Score 10-7
    (2:45) 39-C.Little 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  6. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 37:23 · JAX 3 · Score 10-13
    (7:23) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 12-N.Collins for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 37:19 · JAX 15 · Score 10-14
    15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
  8. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 33:54 · HOU 34 · Score 13-14
    (3:54) 39-C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  9. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · JAX 11 · Score 13-17
    (:05) 15-K.Fairbairn 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
  10. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · HOU 35 · Score 13-17
    15-K.Fairbairn kicks 65 yards from HOU 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 30.
  11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 21:21 · HOU 8 · Score 19-17
    (6:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 21:16 · HOU 15 · Score 20-17
    39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  13. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 0:22 · JAX 1 · Score 20-23
    (:22) 7-C.Stroud pass short right to 33-D.Ogunbowale for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Houston Texans TD (+7) — Q4 0:18 · JAX 15 · Score 20-24
    15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

The Houston Texans beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-20 in Week 4, 2024 on 2024-09-29.

What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 20, Houston Texans 24 (JAX 20-24 HOU) in Week 4, 2024 on 2024-09-29.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 10, Houston Texans 7; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Houston Texans 13; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Houston Texans 0; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Houston Texans 13; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 20, Houston Texans 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — B. Thomas (T. Lawrence pass) (Q1 57:48) Houston Texans touchdown — S. Diggs (Q1 52:29) Houston Texans touchdown — N. Collins (C. Stroud pass) (Q2 37:23) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 21:21) Houston Texans touchdown — D. Ogunbowale (C. Stroud pass) (Q4 0:22) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — C. Little (Q1 47:45, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — C. Little (Q2 33:54, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q2 30:05, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

C. Stroud (Houston Texans), 54.0% completion, +1.6% CPOE, +0.28 EPA per dropback, +13.88 total passing EPA. T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 51.4% completion, -7.8% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -1.24 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

C. Stroud (Houston Texans) led the game in total EPA with +13.88 on passing plays. across 50 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+7.05 EPA): (12:56) 9-L.Cooke punts 45 yards to HOU 10, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 82-S.Sims MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Thomas at HOU 2.. The biggest win-probability swing was +31.9%.

Was Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans a close game?

Yes — the margin was 4 points. Houston Texans won 24-20 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 0-3 Now 0-4 L

Houston Texans

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W