Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: 2020 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-11, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 30–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +4.34 total EPA, and +2.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Watson (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.90 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.1% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (7:11) 4-D.Watson pass deep left intended for 15-W.Fuller INTERCEPTED by 26-J.Wilson (35-S.Jones IV) at JAX 25. 26-J.Wilson to HOU 27 for 48 yards (4-D.Watson).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Watson · Houston Texans · Passing · +13.90 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Cooks · Houston Texans · Receiving · +11.67 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Johnson · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +6.02 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Fells · Houston Texans · Receiving · +5.34 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.67 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Conley · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.47 EPA/play
6. 6 G.Minshew II · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +4.34 total EPA · 57 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
7. 7 L.Shenault Jr. · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.49 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Cobb · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.92 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — G. Minshew (Q2 36:39)
• Houston Texans — D. Fells (D. Watson pass) (Q2 34:41)
• Houston Texans — W. Fuller (D. Watson pass) (Q4 14:24)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Johnson (Q4 10:23)
• Houston Texans — B. Cooks (D. Watson pass) (Q4 4:46)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 44:11)
• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q3 26:38)
• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q4 7:32)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–7. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 18 (Q2 44:11) — (14:11) 7-K.Fairbairn 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 13 (Q2 36:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short right to 84-K.Cole Sr. for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 36:33) — 3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 44 (Q2 34:41) — (4:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 87-D.Fells for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 34:32) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 3–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 15 (Q3 26:38) — (11:38) 7-K.Fairbairn 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 17–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 19 (Q4 14:24) — (14:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 15-W.Fuller for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 14:16) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 4 (Q4 10:23) — (10:23) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short right to 19-C.Johnson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 10:18) — 3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 28 (Q4 7:32) — (7:32) 7-K.Fairbairn 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 28 (Q4 4:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 13-B.Cooks for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 4:39) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Houston Texans (Q3 22:11) — (7:11) 4-D.Watson pass deep left intended for 15-W.Fuller INTERCEPTED by 26-J.Wilson (35-S.Jones IV) at JAX 25. 26-J.Wilson to HOU 27 for 48 yards (4-D.Watson). [WPA -17.1% · EPA -6.61]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:37) — (:37) 3-S.Hauschka 24 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. [WPA -15.7% · EPA -3.32]
• Houston Texans (Q2 30:34) — (:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle intended for 15-W.Fuller INTERCEPTED by 35-S.Jones IV [94-D.Smoot] at HOU 36. 35-S.Jones IV to HOU 36 for no gain (15-W.Fuller). [WPA -14.5% · EPA -2.80]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 18:21) — (3:21) Direct snap to 30-J.Robinson. 30-J.Robinson sacked at HOU 14 for -6 yards. FUMBLES, touched at HOU 12, RECOVERED by HOU-99-J.Watt at HOU 10. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -4.41]
• Houston Texans (Q2 34:41) — (4:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 87-D.Fells for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.4% · EPA +3.85]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q3 22:11) — (7:11) 4-D.Watson pass deep left intended for 15-W.Fuller INTERCEPTED by 26-J.Wilson (35-S.Jones IV) at JAX 25. 26-J.Wilson to HOU 27 for 48 yards (4-D.Watson). [WPA -17.1% · EPA -6.61]
• Houston Texans (Q4 4:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 13-B.Cooks for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +4.2% · EPA +4.97]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 6:27) — (6:27) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II sacked at JAX 40 for -2 yards (54-J.Martin). FUMBLES (54-J.Martin) [54-J.Martin], RECOVERED by HOU-59-W.Mercilus at JAX 40. 59-W.Mercilus to JAX 40 for no gain (88-T.E [WPA -4.1% · EPA -4.42]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 18:21) — (3:21) Direct snap to 30-J.Robinson. 30-J.Robinson sacked at HOU 14 for -6 yards. FUMBLES, touched at HOU 12, RECOVERED by HOU-99-J.Watt at HOU 10. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -4.41]

Quarterback report card

G.Minshew II led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 57 dropbacks · 54.4% completion · +2.1% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +4.34 total EPA
• D.Watson (Houston Texans) · 38 dropbacks · 65.8% completion · +4.7% CPOE · +0.37 EPA/play · +13.90 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Houston Texans held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs -0.09), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Houston Texans: 10 drives, +11.08 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, -8.33 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Watson (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Watson (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 44:11 · JAX 18 · Score 0-3
   (14:11) 7-K.Fairbairn 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 36:39 · HOU 13 · Score 6-3
   (6:39) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short right to 84-K.Cole Sr. for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 36:33 · HOU 15 · Score 7-3
   3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
4. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 34:41 · JAX 44 · Score 7-9
   (4:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 87-D.Fells for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 34:32 · JAX 15 · Score 7-10
   7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
6. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 26:38 · JAX 15 · Score 7-13
   (11:38) 7-K.Fairbairn 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
7. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 14:24 · JAX 19 · Score 7-19
   (14:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 15-W.Fuller for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 14:16 · JAX 15 · Score 7-20
   7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 10:23 · HOU 4 · Score 13-20
   (10:23) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short right to 19-C.Johnson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 10:18 · HOU 15 · Score 14-20
    3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
11. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q4 7:32 · JAX 28 · Score 14-23
    (7:32) 7-K.Fairbairn 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
12. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 4:46 · JAX 28 · Score 14-29
    (4:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 13-B.Cooks for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 4:39 · JAX 15 · Score 14-30
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.