Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: 2006 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-10-22, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 27–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with +5.65 total EPA, and +4.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Johnson (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.57 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-24.0% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (:35) 28-F.Taylor left guard to HOU 27 for 1 yard (98-A.Peek). FUMBLES (98-A.Peek), RECOVERED by HOU-90-M.Williams at HOU 22. 90-M.Williams to HOU 22 for no gain (80-K.Brady).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +9.57 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Carr · Houston Texans · Passing · +5.65 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
3. 3 K. Walter · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.92 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.72 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
5. 5 O. Daniels · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Cook · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.01 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
7. 7 F. Taylor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.33 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.33 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Williams · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +1.08 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Houston Texans — A. Johnson (D. Carr pass) (Q2 42:24)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones-Drew (Q3 24:29)
• Houston Texans — W. Lundy (Q4 11:36)
• Houston Texans — O. Daniels (D. Carr pass) (Q4 10:02)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q2 31:14)
• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q4 3:16)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 35 (Q2 42:24) — (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass deep left to 80-A.Johnson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 42:16) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 25 (Q2 31:14) — (1:14) 3-K.Brown 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 1 (Q3 24:29) — (9:29) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 24:20) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 24–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q4 11:36) — (11:36) 33-W.Lundy up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 11:32) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 14 (Q4 10:02) — (10:02) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 81-O.Daniels for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 9:57) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the HOU 80 (Q4 9:57) — (9:57) 7-B.Leftwich pass short right to 87-G.Wrighster to JAX 23 for 3 yards (23-D.Robinson).; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 3 (Q4 3:16) — (3:16) 3-K.Brown 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 15:35) — (:35) 28-F.Taylor left guard to HOU 27 for 1 yard (98-A.Peek). FUMBLES (98-A.Peek), RECOVERED by HOU-90-M.Williams at HOU 22. 90-M.Williams to HOU 22 for no gain (80-K.Brady). [WPA -24.0% · EPA -4.95]
• Houston Texans (Q2 42:24) — (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass deep left to 80-A.Johnson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +4.44]
• Houston Texans (Q1 48:54) — (3:54) 3-K.Brown 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. [WPA -7.7% · EPA -3.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 18:02) — (3:02) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to HOU 39 for 15 yards (24-C.Brown). [WPA +7.4% · EPA +1.52]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 16:18) — (1:18) 32-M.Jones-Drew left guard to HOU 28 for 2 yards (30-J.Simmons). [WPA +7.3% · EPA +0.62]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 15:35) — (:35) 28-F.Taylor left guard to HOU 27 for 1 yard (98-A.Peek). FUMBLES (98-A.Peek), RECOVERED by HOU-90-M.Williams at HOU 22. 90-M.Williams to HOU 22 for no gain (80-K.Brady). [WPA -24.0% · EPA -4.95]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 11:32) — (11:32) 7-B.Leftwich pass short left to 19-E.Wilford to JAX 35 for 15 yards (38-D.Faggins). FUMBLES (38-D.Faggins), RECOVERED by HOU-56-M.Greenwood at JAX 41. 56-M.Greenwood to JAX 26 for 15 yards (36 [WPA -6.2% · EPA -4.85]
• Houston Texans (Q2 42:24) — (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass deep left to 80-A.Johnson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +4.44]
• Houston Texans (Q4 0:34) — (:34) 8-D.Carr kneels to JAX 12 for -1 yards. [EPA -3.80]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Houston Texans) · 36 dropbacks · 69.4% completion · +4.4% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +5.65 total EPA
• B.Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 33 dropbacks · 42.4% completion · -9.2% CPOE · -0.48 EPA/play · -15.99 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Houston Texans held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.01 vs -0.29), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Houston Texans: 13 drives, -0.56 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, -21.82 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Johnson (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Carr (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• B. Leftwich (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 42:24 · JAX 35 · Score 0-6
   (12:24) 8-D.Carr pass deep left to 80-A.Johnson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 42:16 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
3. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 31:14 · JAX 25 · Score 0-10
   (1:14) 3-K.Brown 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 24:29 · HOU 1 · Score 6-10
   (9:29) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 24:20 · HOU 2 · Score 7-10
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
6. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 11:36 · JAX 2 · Score 7-16
   (11:36) 33-W.Lundy up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 11:32 · JAX 2 · Score 7-17
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
8. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 10:02 · JAX 14 · Score 7-23
   (10:02) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 81-O.Daniels for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 9:57 · JAX 2 · Score 7-24
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
10. Houston Texans TD (+7) — Q4 9:57 · HOU 80 · Score 7-24
    (9:57) 7-B.Leftwich pass short right to 87-G.Wrighster to JAX 23 for 3 yards (23-D.Robinson).
11. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q4 3:16 · JAX 3 · Score 7-27
    (3:16) 3-K.Brown 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.