Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Carolina Panthers: 2019 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-10-06, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 34–27 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +3.34 total EPA, and +0.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Chark (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.06 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (13:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at CAR 41 for -7 yards (97-M.Addison). FUMBLES (97-M.Addison), RECOVERED by CAR-53-B.Burns at CAR 44. 53-B.Burns for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Chark · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +13.06 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Moore · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +5.38 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
3. 3 C. McCaffrey · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Bonnafon · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +4.74 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
5. 5 C. McCaffrey · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +4.50 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
6. 6 G.Minshew II · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +3.34 total EPA · 56 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
7. 7 J. O'Shaughnessy · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.08 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Allen · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +2.63 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (Q1 54:29)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Chark (G. Minshew pass) (Q1 52:34)
• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (K. Allen pass) (Q1 46:42)
• Carolina Panthers — B. Burns (Q2 43:43)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Chark (G. Minshew pass) (Q2 36:13)
• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (Q3 29:01)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Fournette (Q3 25:30)
• Carolina Panthers — R. Bonnafon (Q4 3:46)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 31:01)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q4 5:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q1 54:29) — (9:29) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 54:23) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the CAR 37 (Q1 52:34) — (7:34) 15-G.Minshew pass deep left to 17-D.Chark for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 52:27) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the JAX 18 (Q1 46:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short middle to 22-C.McCaffrey for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 46:35) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 34 (Q2 43:43); Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 43:32) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the CAR 11 (Q2 36:13); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q2 36:07) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the CAR 17 (Q2 31:01) — (1:01) 4-J.Lambo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the JAX 84 (Q3 29:01) — (14:01) 22-C.McCaffrey left guard for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 28:49) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q3 25:30) — (10:30) 27-L.Fournette up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-55-B.Irvin, Defensive Offside, declined.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 25:27) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 6–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the CAR 20 (Q4 5:57) — (5:57) 4-J.Lambo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the JAX 59 (Q4 3:46) — (3:46) 39-R.Bonnafon up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 43:43) — (13:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at CAR 41 for -7 yards (97-M.Addison). FUMBLES (97-M.Addison), RECOVERED by CAR-53-B.Burns at CAR 44. 53-B.Burns for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -16.8% · EPA -9.36]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 3:46) — (3:46) 39-R.Bonnafon up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.7% · EPA +5.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:00) — (:00) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass incomplete deep right (59-L.Kuechly). [WPA -16.2% · EPA -2.08]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 29:01) — (14:01) 22-C.McCaffrey left guard for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.1% · EPA +6.17]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:33) — (2:33) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at CAR 47 for -8 yards (53-B.Burns). FUMBLES (53-B.Burns) [53-B.Burns], RECOVERED by CAR-98-M.Haynes at CAR 45. 98-M.Haynes to JAX 40 for 15 yards (23-R.Armstead). [WPA -14.0% · EPA -4.53]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 43:43) — (13:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at CAR 41 for -7 yards (97-M.Addison). FUMBLES (97-M.Addison), RECOVERED by CAR-53-B.Burns at CAR 44. 53-B.Burns for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -16.8% · EPA -9.36]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 29:01) — (14:01) 22-C.McCaffrey left guard for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.1% · EPA +6.17]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 3:46) — (3:46) 39-R.Bonnafon up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.7% · EPA +5.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 48:31) — (3:31) 15-G.Minshew FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 18, RECOVERED by CAR-25-E.Reid at JAX 24. 25-E.Reid to JAX 24 for no gain (27-L.Fournette). [WPA -14.0% · EPA -5.12]

Quarterback report card

G.Minshew II led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 56 dropbacks · 46.4% completion · +0.2% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +3.34 total EPA
• K.Allen (Carolina Panthers) · 36 dropbacks · 47.2% completion · -7.1% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Carolina Panthers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Carolina Panthers: 13 drives, +4.87 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 14 drives, -0.64 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Chark (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• K. Allen (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 54:29 · JAX 5 · Score 0-6
   (9:29) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 54:23 · JAX 15 · Score 0-7
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 52:34 · CAR 37 · Score 6-7
   (7:34) 15-G.Minshew pass deep left to 17-D.Chark for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 52:27 · CAR 15 · Score 7-7
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 46:42 · JAX 18 · Score 7-13
   (1:42) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short middle to 22-C.McCaffrey for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 46:35 · JAX 15 · Score 7-14
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
7. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 43:43 · CAR 34 · Score 7-20
   (13:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at CAR 41 for -7 yards (97-M.Addison). FUMBLES (97-M.Addison), RECOVERED by CAR-53-B.Burns at CAR 44. 53-B.Burns for 56 ya
8. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 43:32 · JAX 15 · Score 7-21
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 36:13 · CAR 11 · Score 13-21
   (6:13) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short left to 17-D.Chark for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CAR-53-B.Burns, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced between
10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 36:07 · CAR 15 · Score 14-21
    4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 31:01 · CAR 17 · Score 17-21
    (1:01) 4-J.Lambo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
12. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 29:01 · JAX 84 · Score 17-27
    (14:01) 22-C.McCaffrey left guard for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 28:49 · JAX 15 · Score 17-28
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 25:30 · CAR 1 · Score 23-28
    (10:30) 27-L.Fournette up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-55-B.Irvin, Defensive Offside, declined.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 25:27 · CAR 15 · Score 24-28
    4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 5:57 · CAR 20 · Score 27-28
    (5:57) 4-J.Lambo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
17. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 3:46 · JAX 59 · Score 27-34
    (3:46) 39-R.Bonnafon up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.