FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 1 · September 12, 2004 · 10 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills: 2004 Week 1 Recap

Jaguars defeat Bills 13–10 in Week 1

Jonnu Smith led Fantasy Impact as Jaguars prevailed in a 13–10 Week 1 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 13 1–0 Winner
Final 13–10
Buffalo Bills 10 0–1
Winner
Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score
13–10
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 3–7 Buffalo Bills
Top passer
B. Leftwich
FantasyHQ MVP
Jonnu Smith
Game date
September 12, 2004

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Jonnu Smith
    Jonnu Smith 4 REC · 83 YDS +6.6 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Wilford 1 REC · 7 YDS · 1 TD +4.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Tru Edwards
    Tru Edwards 5 REC · 37 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • E.Moulds 8 REC · 75 YDS · 1 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Campbell 1 REC · 27 YDS +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Bledsoe 17/29 · 147 YDS · 1 TD +2.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Buffalo Bills 13–10 in Week 1 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-09-12, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+55.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 1 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-09-12, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 13–10 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -5.72 total EPA.

On the individual side, J. Smith (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.58 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+55.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Jacksonville Jaguars0337013
Buffalo Bills7003010

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Smith · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +6.58 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
  2. 2 E. Moulds · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.33 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
  3. 3 E. Wilford · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.29 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.29 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Campbell · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.83 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.83 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Bledsoe · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +2.48 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Edwards · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.47 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  7. 7 W. McGahee · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.82 EPA/play
  8. 8 G. Wrighster · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.87 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Smith — JAX · Receiving

J. Smith posted the highest total EPA (+6.58) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +1.64 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.48 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands,

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — E. Moulds (D. Bledsoe pass) (Q1 47:55)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — E. Wilford (B. Leftwich pass) (Q4 0:04)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:20)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q3 19:35)
  • Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q4 10:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 17 (Q1 47:55) — (2:55) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, left sideline.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 47:48) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the BUF 7 (Q2 30:20) — (:20) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the BUF 9 (Q3 19:35) — (4:35) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the JAX 7 (Q4 10:19) — (10:19) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 7 (Q4 0:04); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 0:00) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and [WPA +55.6% · EPA +4.29]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:18) — (1:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith to BUF 21 for 45 yards (22-N.Clements). Caught at BUF 22, left side. [WPA +38.2% · EPA +3.82]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 12:17) — (12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, I [WPA -21.4% · EPA -5.48]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 14:21) — (14:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 7 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). FUMBLES (51-A.Ayodele), RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at JAX 12. Caught over middle at JAX 7. [WPA -18.8% · EPA -3.99]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 21:24) — (6:24) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 19-E.Wilford (59-L.Fletcher). Receiver and coverage at BUF 11, right sideline. PENALTY on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at B [WPA +16.9% · EPA +3.27]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 12:17) — (12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on JAX-74-Ma.Williams, I [WPA -21.4% · EPA -5.48]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 21:57) — (6:57) 11-D.Bledsoe FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 48, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at 50. 20-D.Darius to 50 for no gain (83-L.Evans). Attempted backward pass to E.Moulds, never caught. [WPA -11.2% · EPA -4.39]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and [WPA +55.6% · EPA +4.29]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 14:21) — (14:21) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 7 for 6 yards (51-A.Ayodele). FUMBLES (51-A.Ayodele), RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at JAX 12. Caught over middle at JAX 7. [WPA -18.8% · EPA -3.99]

Quarterback report card

B.Leftwich led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 41 dropbacks · 43.9% completion · -0.14 EPA/play · -5.72 total EPA
  • D.Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills) · 29 dropbacks · 58.6% completion · +0.09 EPA/play · +2.48 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatJacksonville JaguarsBuffalo Bills
Offensive EPA/play-0.101-0.149
Offensive success rate39.3%37.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.149+0.085
Rush EPA/play-0.093-0.356
Defensive EPA/play+0.149+0.101
Defensive success rate62.7%60.7%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars -0.10, Buffalo Bills -0.15) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, -12.36 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -8.51 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Smith (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 47:55 · JAX 17 · Score 0-6
    (2:55) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, left sideline.
  2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 47:48 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:20 · BUF 7 · Score 3-7
    (:20) 10-J.Scobee 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 19:35 · BUF 9 · Score 6-7
    (4:35) 10-J.Scobee 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
  5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 10:19 · JAX 7 · Score 6-10
    (10:19) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 0:04 · BUF 7 · Score 12-10
    (:04) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 19-E.Wilford for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear of end zone, right side. Review ruled receiver forced out of bounds after catch.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 0:00 · BUF 2 · Score 13-10
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Buffalo Bills 13-10 in Week 1, 2004 on 2004-09-12.

What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Buffalo Bills 10 (JAX 13-10 BUF) in Week 1, 2004 on 2004-09-12.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Buffalo Bills 7; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Buffalo Bills 0; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Buffalo Bills 0; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Buffalo Bills 3; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Buffalo Bills 10.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — E. Moulds (D. Bledsoe pass) (Q1 47:55) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — E. Wilford (B. Leftwich pass) (Q4 0:04) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q2 30:20, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q3 19:35, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q4 10:19, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

B. Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars), 43.9% completion, -0.14 EPA per dropback, -5.72 total passing EPA. D. Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills), 58.6% completion, +0.09 EPA per dropback, +2.48 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills?

J. Smith (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +6.58 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.48 EPA): (12:17) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass intended for 82-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-I.Reese at JAX 36. 43-I.Reese to JAX 3 for 33 yards (82-J.Smith). Coverage on right side. Penalty on J. The biggest win-probability swing was +55.6%.

Was Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Jacksonville Jaguars won 13-10 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Now 1-0 W

Buffalo Bills

Now 0-1 L