Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2008 Week 17 Recap

Game story

In Week 17 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-12-28, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 27–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -8.21 total EPA, and -0.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Clayton (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.05 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (2:14) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL 15. 20-E.Reed to BAL 22 for 7 yards. Lateral to 92-H.Ngata to BAL 29 for 7 yards (79-T.Pashos)

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Clayton · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +10.05 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.51 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +9.10 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Mason · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +4.48 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Pearman · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.44 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.44 EPA/play
5. 5 W. McGahee · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +2.70 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Smith · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.27 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Walker · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.05 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.05 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Williams · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.00 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — A. Pearman (D. Garrard pass) (Q1 45:55)
• Baltimore Ravens — L. McClain (Q2 41:04)
• Baltimore Ravens — W. McGahee (Q2 34:58)
• Baltimore Ravens — L. McClain (Q2 30:49)

Field goals

• Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover (Q1 54:36)
• Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover (Q3 18:30)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Flacco (Q4 14:15)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the JAX 14 (Q1 54:36) — (9:36) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BAL 23 (Q1 45:55) — (:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 39-A.Pearman for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q1 45:48) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford..

The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 21–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q2 41:04) — (11:04) 33-L.McClain left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 40:58) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the JAX 13 (Q2 34:58) — (4:58) (Shotgun) 23-W.McGahee left guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 34:52) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 30:49) — (:49) 33-L.McClain left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:44) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the JAX 22 (Q3 18:30) — (3:30) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the JAX 37 (Q4 14:15) — (14:15) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete short middle to 85-D.Mason (20-P.Prioleau)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 32:14) — (2:14) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL 15. 20-E.Reed to BAL 22 for 7 yards. Lateral to 92-H.Ngata to BAL 29 for 7 yards (79-T.Pashos) [WPA -10.4% · EPA -4.17]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 45:55) — (:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 39-A.Pearman for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.5% · EPA +3.44]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q1 58:24) — (13:24) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 89-M.Clayton to JAX 20 for 48 yards (43-G.Sensabaugh). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +2.84]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q1 52:03) — (7:03) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch. [WPA -7.8% · EPA -2.70]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 41:04) — (11:04) 33-L.McClain left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.8% · EPA +1.85]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 5:56) — (5:56) (Shotgun) 32-M.Jones-Drew right guard to JAX 41 for 2 yards (57-B.Scott). FUMBLES (57-B.Scott), RECOVERED by BAL-52-R.Lewis at JAX 40. 52-R.Lewis to JAX 40 for no gain (63-B.Meester). [WPA -0.1% · EPA -4.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 32:14) — (2:14) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 11-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL 15. 20-E.Reed to BAL 22 for 7 yards. Lateral to 92-H.Ngata to BAL 29 for 7 yards (79-T.Pashos) [WPA -10.4% · EPA -4.17]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 30:56) — (:56) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 89-M.Clayton to JAX 1 for 47 yards (38-B.Witherspoon). Penalty on JAX-38-B.Witherspoon, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +3.0% · EPA +4.14]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 86-D.Northcutt INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL -7. 20-E.Reed to BAL 31 for 38 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by BAL-55-T.Suggs at BAL 30. 55-T.Sug [WPA -0.1% · EPA -4.08]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 33 dropbacks · 42.4% completion · -0.1% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -8.21 total EPA
• J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 25 dropbacks · 68.0% completion · +15.6% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +9.10 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Baltimore Ravens held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.23), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Baltimore Ravens: 11 drives, +4.34 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, -17.17 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Clayton (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Flacco (BAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q1 54:36 · JAX 14 · Score 0-3
   (9:36) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 45:55 · BAL 23 · Score 6-3
   (:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 39-A.Pearman for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 45:48 · BAL 2 · Score 7-3
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-6-S.Weatherford.
4. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 41:04 · JAX 5 · Score 7-9
   (11:04) 33-L.McClain left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 40:58 · JAX 2 · Score 7-10
   3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
6. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 34:58 · JAX 13 · Score 7-16
   (4:58) (Shotgun) 23-W.McGahee left guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 34:52 · JAX 2 · Score 7-17
   3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
8. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 30:49 · JAX 1 · Score 7-23
   (:49) 33-L.McClain left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 30:44 · JAX 2 · Score 7-24
   3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
10. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q3 18:30 · JAX 22 · Score 7-27
    (3:30) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
11. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 14:15 · JAX 37 · Score 7-27
    (14:15) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete short middle to 85-D.Mason (20-P.Prioleau).