Game story
In Week 16 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-22, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 24–12 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +10.83 total EPA, and +6.7% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.83 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-8.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: 7-Y.Koo kicks 67 yards from ATL 35 to JAX -2. 13-M.Walker to JAX 25 for 27 yards (40-K.Smith). FUMBLES (40-K.Smith), RECOVERED by ATL-23-B.Hill at JAX 25. 23-B.Hill to JAX 25 for no gain (23-R.Armstea
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +10.83 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
- 2 D. Freeman · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.60 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
- 3 C. Conley · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.25 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
- 4 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.24 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
- 5 B. Hill · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +3.30 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
- 6 L. Cooke · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +3.03 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.03 EPA/play
- 7 Co. Davis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.03 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.03 EPA/play
- 8 K. Cole · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.82 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.41 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Ryan — ATL · Passing
M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+10.83) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 47 counted snaps, they averaged +0.23 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.74 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: 7-Y.Koo kicks 67 yards from ATL 35 to JAX -2. 13-M.Walker to JAX 25 for 27 yards (40-K.Smith). FUMBLES (40-K.Smith), RECOVERED by ATL-23-B.Hill at JAX 25. 23-B.Hill to JAX 25 for no gain (23-R.Armstead).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Atlanta Falcons — D. Freeman
- Atlanta Falcons — D. Freeman (M. Ryan pass)
- Atlanta Falcons — Q. Ollison
- Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Conley
Field goals
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo
- Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 14–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 17 (Q1 56:34) — (11:34) 24-D.Freeman left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 56:27) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 8 (Q1 54:34) — (9:34) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 24-D.Freeman for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 54:28) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen..
The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ATL 22 (Q2 39:17) — (9:17) 4-J.Lambo 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the JAX 5 (Q2 30:14) — (:14) 7-Y.Koo 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen..
The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ATL 9 (Q3 17:32) — (2:32) 4-J.Lambo 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke..
The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–6. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q4 13:41) — (13:41) 30-Q.Ollison right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 13:36) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the ATL 42 (Q4 12:08) — (12:08) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep right to 18-C.Conley for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:27) — 7-Y.Koo kicks 67 yards from ATL 35 to JAX -2. 13-M.Walker to JAX 25 for 27 yards (40-K.Smith). FUMBLES (40-K.Smith), RECOVERED by ATL-23-B.Hill at JAX 25. 23-B.Hill to JAX 25 for no gain (23-R.Armstea
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 57:05) — (12:05) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 81-A.Hooper pushed ob at JAX 17 for 25 yards (58-A.Calitro).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 6:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short left to 18-C.Conley ran ob at ATL 34 for 14 yards.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 42:55) — (12:55) (Punt formation) 9-L.Cooke pass short right to 22-Co.Davis to JAX 45 for 7 yards (35-J.Carter).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 21:47) — (6:47) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 11-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 26-J.Wilson at JAX 25. 26-J.Wilson to JAX 29 for 4 yards (80-L.Stocker).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 56:27) — 7-Y.Koo kicks 67 yards from ATL 35 to JAX -2. 13-M.Walker to JAX 25 for 27 yards (40-K.Smith). FUMBLES (40-K.Smith), RECOVERED by ATL-23-B.Hill at JAX 25. 23-B.Hill to JAX 25 for no gain (23-R.Armstea
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 21:47) — (6:47) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 11-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 26-J.Wilson at JAX 25. 26-J.Wilson to JAX 29 for 4 yards (80-L.Stocker).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 12:08) — (12:08) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep right to 18-C.Conley for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 6:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short left to 18-C.Conley ran ob at ATL 34 for 14 yards.
Quarterback report card
M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 47 dropbacks · 68.1% completion · +6.7% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +10.83 total EPA
- G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 44 dropbacks · 29.5% completion · -22.9% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -5.56 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Jacksonville Jaguars | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.104 | +0.027 |
| Offensive success rate | 38.2% | 46.8% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.056 | +0.230 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.014 | +0.033 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.027 | +0.104 |
| Defensive success rate | 53.2% | 61.8% |
By the numbers
Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.10), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Atlanta Falcons: 11 drives, +2.50 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -7.88 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- G.Minshew II (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 56:34 · JAX 17 · Score 0-6
(11:34) 24-D.Freeman left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 56:27 · JAX 15 · Score 0-7
7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 54:34 · JAX 8 · Score 0-13
(9:34) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 24-D.Freeman for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 54:28 · JAX 15 · Score 0-14
7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 39:17 · ATL 22 · Score 3-14
(9:17) 4-J.Lambo 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 30:14 · JAX 5 · Score 3-17
(:14) 7-Y.Koo 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 17:32 · ATL 9 · Score 6-17
(2:32) 4-J.Lambo 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 13:41 · JAX 3 · Score 6-23
(13:41) 30-Q.Ollison right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 13:36 · JAX 15 · Score 6-24
7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 12:08 · ATL 42 · Score 12-24
(12:08) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep right to 18-C.Conley for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-12 in Week 16, 2019 on 2019-12-22.
What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?
The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 12, Atlanta Falcons 24 (JAX 12-24 ATL) in Week 16, 2019 on 2019-12-22.
What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?
Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Atlanta Falcons 14; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Atlanta Falcons 3; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 3, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Jacksonville Jaguars 6, Atlanta Falcons 7; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 12, Atlanta Falcons 24.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?
Atlanta Falcons touchdown — D. Freeman (Q1 56:34) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — D. Freeman (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 54:34) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — Q. Ollison (Q4 13:41) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Conley (Q4 12:08) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Lambo (Q2 39:17, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q2 30:14, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Lambo (Q3 17:32, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?
M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 68.1% completion, +6.7% CPOE, +0.23 EPA per dropback, +10.83 total passing EPA. G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars), 29.5% completion, -22.9% CPOE, -0.13 EPA per dropback, -5.56 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?
M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +10.83 on passing plays. across 47 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.74 EPA): 7-Y.Koo kicks 67 yards from ATL 35 to JAX -2. 13-M.Walker to JAX 25 for 27 yards (40-K.Smith). FUMBLES (40-K.Smith), RECOVERED by ATL-23-B.Hill at JAX 25. 23-B.Hill to JAX 25 for n. The biggest win-probability swing was -8.0%.
Season records after this game
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 5-9 Now 5-10 L
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 5-9 Now 6-9 W
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