FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 28, 2003 · 10 min read

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2003 Week 17 Recap

Falcons defeat Jaguars 21–14 in Week 17

M.Vick led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 14–21 Week 17 finish.

Jacksonville Jaguars 14 5–11
Final 14–21
Atlanta Falcons 21 5–11 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
14–21
Halftime
Jacksonville Jaguars 7–21 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
B. Leftwich
FantasyHQ MVP
M.Vick
Game date
December 28, 2003

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • F.Taylor 22 CAR · 121 YDS +5.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Tru Edwards
    Tru Edwards 2 REC · 27 YDS · 1 TD +3.1 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Toefield 3 REC · 31 YDS +2.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • M.Vick 12/25 · 178 YDS · 2 TD +8.7 Fantasy Impact
  • P.Price 4 REC · 74 YDS · 1 TD +7.0 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Finneran 2 REC · 46 YDS +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 21–14 in Week 17 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-12-28, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-13.7% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-12-28, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 21–14 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -0.19 total EPA.

On the individual side, M. Vick (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.66 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (:32) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
Jacksonville Jaguars7070014
Atlanta Falcons14770021

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Vick · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +8.66 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  2. 2 P. Price · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.02 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.76 EPA/play
  3. 3 F. Taylor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +5.10 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Finneran · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.59 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.29 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Edwards · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.08 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.54 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Crumpler · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
  7. 7 L. Toefield · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
  8. 8 B. Leftwich · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +2.70 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Vick — ATL · Passing

M. Vick posted the highest total EPA (+8.66) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 25 counted snaps, they averaged +0.35 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.75 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: 4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr. Unsportsmanlike Conduct called on ATL #65 K.Forney; will be assessed on ensuing kickoff. PENALTY on ATL-65-K.Forney, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Duckett (Q1 53:46)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Edwards (B. Leftwich pass) (Q1 48:46)
  • Atlanta Falcons — P. Price (M. Vick pass) (Q1 45:34)
  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Griffith (M. Vick pass) (Q2 30:11)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Toefield (Q3 18:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 14–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q1 53:46) — (8:46) 45-T.Duckett up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-98-J.Henderson, Encroachment, declined.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 53:41); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the ATL 15 (Q1 48:46) — (3:46) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 86-T.Edwards for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 48:41) — 6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 44 (Q1 45:34) — (:34) 7-M.Vick pass to 81-P.Price for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Handoff to ATL 45 Duckett, who pitched back to ATL 7 Vick before reaching line.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 45:23) — 4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 30:11) — (:11) 7-M.Vick pass to 33-J.Griffith for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:07) — 4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 30 (Q3 30:00) — 6-S.Marler kicks 64 yards from JAX 30 to ATL 6. 20-A.Rossum to ATL 24 for 18 yards (41-N.Sorensen).; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the ATL 4 (Q3 18:04) — (3:04) 22-L.Toefield right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 17:59) — 6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:32) — (:32) 7-B.Leftwich pass incomplete to 87-G.Wrighster. [WPA -13.7% · EPA -2.52]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 45:34) — (:34) 7-M.Vick pass to 81-P.Price for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Handoff to ATL 45 Duckett, who pitched back to ATL 7 Vick before reaching line. [WPA +11.8% · EPA +4.03]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:42) — (7:42) 6-S.Marler 30 yard field goal is BLOCKED (21-J.Bolden), Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals. [WPA -10.7% · EPA -3.78]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 12:27) — (12:27) 7-M.Vick pass INTERCEPTED by 51-A.Ayodele at JAX 36. 51-A.Ayodele ran ob at JAX 38 for 2 yards. [WPA -8.9% · EPA -4.37]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:00) — (1:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich right end pushed ob at ATL 22 for 18 yards (23-K.Mathis). [WPA +8.2% · EPA +1.62]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:41) — 4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr. Unsportsmanlike Conduct called on ATL #65 K.Forney; will be assessed on ensuing kickoff. PENALTY on ATL-65-K.Forney, Unsportsmanli [WPA +1.1% · EPA -4.75]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 12:27) — (12:27) 7-M.Vick pass INTERCEPTED by 51-A.Ayodele at JAX 36. 51-A.Ayodele ran ob at JAX 38 for 2 yards. [WPA -8.9% · EPA -4.37]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 45:34) — (:34) 7-M.Vick pass to 81-P.Price for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Handoff to ATL 45 Duckett, who pitched back to ATL 7 Vick before reaching line. [WPA +11.8% · EPA +4.03]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:42) — (7:42) 6-S.Marler 30 yard field goal is BLOCKED (21-J.Bolden), Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals. [WPA -10.7% · EPA -3.78]

Quarterback report card

B.Leftwich led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 33 dropbacks · 57.6% completion · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.19 total EPA
  • M.Vick (Atlanta Falcons) · 25 dropbacks · 48.0% completion · +0.35 EPA/play · +8.66 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatJacksonville JaguarsAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.019+0.019
Offensive success rate44.3%49.4%
Pass EPA/play+0.096+0.350
Rush EPA/play+0.134-0.003
Defensive EPA/play-0.019-0.019
Defensive success rate50.6%55.7%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars +0.02, Atlanta Falcons +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 9 drives, +1.43 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 9 drives, +1.51 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Vick (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 53:46 · JAX 2 · Score 0-6
    (8:46) 45-T.Duckett up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-98-J.Henderson, Encroachment, declined.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 53:41 · JAX 2 · Score 0-7
    4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr. Unsportsmanlike Conduct called on ATL #65 K.Forney; will be assessed on ensuing kickoff. P
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 48:46 · ATL 15 · Score 6-7
    (3:46) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 86-T.Edwards for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 48:41 · ATL 2 · Score 7-7
    6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals.
  5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 45:34 · JAX 44 · Score 7-13
    (:34) 7-M.Vick pass to 81-P.Price for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Handoff to ATL 45 Duckett, who pitched back to ATL 7 Vick before reaching line.
  6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 45:23 · JAX 2 · Score 7-14
    4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr.
  7. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 30:11 · JAX 1 · Score 7-20
    (:11) 7-M.Vick pass to 33-J.Griffith for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 30:07 · JAX 2 · Score 7-21
    4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+7) — Q3 30:00 · JAX 30 · Score 7-21
    6-S.Marler kicks 64 yards from JAX 30 to ATL 6. 20-A.Rossum to ATL 24 for 18 yards (41-N.Sorensen).
  10. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 18:04 · ATL 4 · Score 13-21
    (3:04) 22-L.Toefield right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 17:59 · ATL 2 · Score 14-21
    6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-M.Royals.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 21-14 in Week 17, 2003 on 2003-12-28.

What was the final score of Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Jacksonville Jaguars 14, Atlanta Falcons 21 (JAX 14-21 ATL) in Week 17, 2003 on 2003-12-28.

What was the score by quarter in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Atlanta Falcons 14; Q2: Jacksonville Jaguars 0, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q3: Jacksonville Jaguars 7, Atlanta Falcons 7; Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 14, Atlanta Falcons 21.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Duckett (Q1 53:46) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Edwards (B. Leftwich pass) (Q1 48:46) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — P. Price (M. Vick pass) (Q1 45:34) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Griffith (M. Vick pass) (Q2 30:11) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — L. Toefield (Q3 18:04) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?

B. Leftwich (Jacksonville Jaguars), 57.6% completion, -0.01 EPA per dropback, -0.19 total passing EPA. M. Vick (Atlanta Falcons), 48.0% completion, +0.35 EPA per dropback, +8.66 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Vick (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +8.66 on passing plays. across 25 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.75 EPA): 4-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Rackley, Holder-13-C.Mohr. Unsportsmanlike Conduct called on ATL #65 K.Forney; will be assessed on ensuing kickoff. PENALTY on ATL-65-K.F. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.7%.

Was Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Atlanta Falcons won 21-14 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 5-10 Now 5-11 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 4-11 Now 5-11 W