Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2017 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-11-26, the Arizona Cardinals took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 27–24 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 25 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Gabbert (Arizona Cardinals) paced the passing game, with -2.16 total EPA, and -6.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Seals-Jones (Arizona Cardinals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.00 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-23.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Arizona Cardinals changed the game: (12:19) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert sacked at ARI 10 for -5 yards (91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (91-Y.Ngakoue) [91-Y.Ngakoue], RECOVERED by JAX-93-C.Campbell at ARI 10. 93-C.Campbell for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Seals-Jones · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +7.00 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Bortles · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +6.61 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.10 EPA/play
3. 3 Ja. Brown · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +4.32 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.32 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Yeldon · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Niklas · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +1.58 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Lee · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Williams · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +0.18 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
8. 8 J. O'Shaughnessy · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.07 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.03 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Arizona Cardinals — R. Seals-Jones (B. Gabbert pass) (Q2 34:51)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Bortles (Q3 22:39)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Campbell (Q4 12:19)
• Arizona Cardinals — B. Gabbert (Q4 9:17)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Bortles (Q4 7:33)

Field goals

• Arizona Cardinals — P. Dawson (Q1 53:26)
• Arizona Cardinals — P. Dawson (Q2 39:05)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 30:20)
• Arizona Cardinals — P. Dawson (Q3 26:34)
• Arizona Cardinals — P. Dawson (Q4 0:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 3–0. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the JAX 16 (Q1 53:26) — (8:26) 4-P.Dawson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee..

The second quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 10–3. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the JAX 24 (Q2 39:05) — (9:05) 4-P.Dawson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the JAX 29 (Q2 34:51) — (4:51) 7-B.Gabbert pass short right to 86-R.Seals-Jones for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 34:44) — 4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ARI 25 (Q2 30:20) — (:20) 4-J.Lambo 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the JAX 30 (Q3 26:34) — (11:34) 4-P.Dawson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the ARI 1 (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) 69-T.Shatley reported in as eligible. 5-B.Bortles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q3 22:33) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 14–11. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the JAX 85 (Q4 12:19); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q4 12:10) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the JAX 52 (Q4 9:17) — (9:17) 7-B.Gabbert pass deep middle to 13-Ja.Brown for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals registered a safety from the JAX 2 (Q4 9:07) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-B.Gabbert pass to 11-L.Fitzgerald is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the ARI 17 (Q4 7:33) — (7:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q4 7:26) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the JAX 39 (Q4 0:11) — (:11) 4-P.Dawson 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 12:19) — (12:19) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert sacked at ARI 10 for -5 yards (91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (91-Y.Ngakoue) [91-Y.Ngakoue], RECOVERED by JAX-93-C.Campbell at ARI 10. 93-C.Campbell for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -23.1% · EPA -6.54]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 9:17) — (9:17) 7-B.Gabbert pass deep middle to 13-Ja.Brown for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.1% · EPA +4.32]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:12) — (11:12) 33-C.Ivory up the middle to ARI 36 for -2 yards (57-J.Bynes). Arizona challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 33-C.Ivory up the middle to ARI 36 for -2 yar [WPA -17.6% · EPA -6.10]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 12-D.Westbrook INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at ARI 40. 32-T.Mathieu pushed ob at ARI 41 for 1 yard (24-T.Yeldon). [WPA -14.9% · EPA -3.70]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 0:11) — (:11) 4-P.Dawson 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee. [WPA +13.6% · EPA +1.30]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 12:19) — (12:19) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert sacked at ARI 10 for -5 yards (91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (91-Y.Ngakoue) [91-Y.Ngakoue], RECOVERED by JAX-93-C.Campbell at ARI 10. 93-C.Campbell for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -23.1% · EPA -6.54]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:12) — (11:12) 33-C.Ivory up the middle to ARI 36 for -2 yards (57-J.Bynes). Arizona challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 33-C.Ivory up the middle to ARI 36 for -2 yar [WPA -17.6% · EPA -6.10]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 9:17) — (9:17) 7-B.Gabbert pass deep middle to 13-Ja.Brown for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.1% · EPA +4.32]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 12-D.Westbrook INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at ARI 40. 32-T.Mathieu pushed ob at ARI 41 for 1 yard (24-T.Yeldon). [WPA -14.9% · EPA -3.70]

Quarterback report card

B.Gabbert led all passers in efficiency for Arizona Cardinals, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Gabbert (Arizona Cardinals) · 46 dropbacks · 47.8% completion · -6.3% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -2.16 total EPA
• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 40 dropbacks · 47.5% completion · -9.8% CPOE · -0.11 EPA/play · -4.47 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars -0.10, Arizona Cardinals -0.07) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Arizona Cardinals: 16 drives, -6.26 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 16 drives, -8.91 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Arizona Cardinals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Seals-Jones (Arizona Cardinals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Gabbert (ARI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• B. Bortles (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q1 53:26 · JAX 16 · Score 0-3
   (8:26) 4-P.Dawson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.
2. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 39:05 · JAX 24 · Score 0-6
   (9:05) 4-P.Dawson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.
3. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 34:51 · JAX 29 · Score 0-12
   (4:51) 7-B.Gabbert pass short right to 86-R.Seals-Jones for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 34:44 · JAX 15 · Score 0-13
   4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:20 · ARI 25 · Score 3-13
   (:20) 4-J.Lambo 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
6. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q3 26:34 · JAX 30 · Score 3-16
   (11:34) 4-P.Dawson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 22:39 · ARI 1 · Score 9-16
   (7:39) 69-T.Shatley reported in as eligible. 5-B.Bortles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 22:33 · ARI 15 · Score 10-16
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 12:19 · JAX 85 · Score 16-16
   (12:19) (Shotgun) 7-B.Gabbert sacked at ARI 10 for -5 yards (91-Y.Ngakoue). FUMBLES (91-Y.Ngakoue) [91-Y.Ngakoue], RECOVERED by JAX-93-C.Campbell at ARI 10. 93-
10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 12:10 · ARI 15 · Score 17-16
    4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
11. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q4 9:17 · JAX 52 · Score 17-22
    (9:17) 7-B.Gabbert pass deep middle to 13-Ja.Brown for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Arizona Cardinals Safety (+2) — Q4 9:07 · JAX 2 · Score 17-24
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-B.Gabbert pass to 11-L.Fitzgerald is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 7:33 · ARI 17 · Score 23-24
    (7:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 7:26 · ARI 15 · Score 24-24
    4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
15. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q4 0:11 · JAX 39 · Score 24-27
    (:11) 4-P.Dawson 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Drescher, Holder-2-A.Lee.