FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · October 3, 2011 · 11 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2011 Week 4 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Colts 24–17 in Week 4

P.Garcon led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 17–24 Week 4 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 17 0–4
Final 17–24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 3–1 Winner
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
17–24
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 10–7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
J. Freeman
FantasyHQ MVP
P.Garcon
Game date
October 3, 2011

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • P.Garcon 2 REC · 146 YDS · 2 TD +9.2 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Painter 13/36 · 256 YDS · 2 TD +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Dean Clark
    Dean Clark 3 REC · 46 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • J.Freeman 25/49 · 287 YDS · 2 TD +7.8 Fantasy Impact
  • P.Parker 5 REC · 70 YDS · 1 TD +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Benn 1 REC · 43 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Indianapolis Colts 24–17 in Week 4 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-10-03, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+21.8% win probability) came in the third quarter when Indianapolis Colts swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-10-03, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 24–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +7.85 total EPA, and -0.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Garcon (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.23 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+21.8% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (7:22) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts3770017
Tampa Bay Buccaneers07107024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Garcon · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +9.23 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +7.85 total EPA · 49 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  3. 3 P. Parker · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.79 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Painter · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +5.43 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Benn · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.05 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.05 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.39 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Lumpkin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.79 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Garcon — IND · Receiving

P. Garcon posted the highest total EPA (+9.23) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +1.15 EPA per play.

The signature play (+7.09 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (9:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — P. Garcon (C. Painter pass) (Q2 39:01)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Freeman (Q2 34:00)
  • Indianapolis Colts — P. Garcon (C. Painter pass) (Q3 22:22)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Parker (J. Freeman pass) (Q3 15:22)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — L. Blount (Q4 3:26)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q1 55:31)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q3 24:48)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 27 (Q1 55:31) — (10:31) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 87 (Q2 39:01); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 38:47) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q2 34:00) — (4:00) 5-J.Freeman up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 33:54) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the IND 28 (Q3 24:48) — (9:48) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 59 (Q3 22:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 22:10) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 13 (Q3 15:22) — (:22) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 87-P.Parker for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 15:14) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 35 (Q4 3:26) — (3:26) 27-L.Blount up the middle for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 3:15) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 22:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.8% · EPA +5.50]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:26) — (3:26) 27-L.Blount up the middle for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.4% · EPA +4.33]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 39:01) — (9:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. [WPA +19.3% · EPA +7.09]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 15:22) — (:22) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 87-P.Parker for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.1% · EPA +3.15]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) 7-C.Painter sacked at IND 32 for -5 yards (71-M.Bennett). FUMBLES (71-M.Bennett), RECOVERED by TB-71-M.Bennett at IND 32. 71-M.Bennett to IND 32 for no gain (7-C.Painter). [WPA -14.8% · EPA -4.29]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 39:01) — (9:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. [WPA +19.3% · EPA +7.09]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 22:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.8% · EPA +5.50]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:26) — (3:26) 27-L.Blount up the middle for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.4% · EPA +4.33]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) 7-C.Painter sacked at IND 32 for -5 yards (71-M.Bennett). FUMBLES (71-M.Bennett), RECOVERED by TB-71-M.Bennett at IND 32. 71-M.Bennett to IND 32 for no gain (7-C.Painter). [WPA -14.8% · EPA -4.29]

Quarterback report card

J.Freeman led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 49 dropbacks · 51.0% completion · -0.1% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +7.85 total EPA
  • C.Painter (Indianapolis Colts) · 36 dropbacks · 36.1% completion · -15.5% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +5.43 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.007+0.060
Offensive success rate36.5%49.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.151+0.160
Rush EPA/play-0.151+0.070
Defensive EPA/play-0.060-0.007
Defensive success rate51.0%63.5%

By the numbers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs +0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 11 drives, +0.52 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, +6.09 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • P. Garcon (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Painter (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 55:31 · TB 27 · Score 3-0
    (10:31) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  2. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 39:01 · TB 87 · Score 9-0
    (9:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the pl
  3. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 38:47 · TB 2 · Score 10-0
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 34:00 · IND 1 · Score 10-6
    (4:00) 5-J.Freeman up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 33:54 · IND 2 · Score 10-7
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 24:48 · IND 28 · Score 10-10
    (9:48) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 22:22 · TB 59 · Score 16-10
    (7:22) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass short right to 85-P.Garcon for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 22:10 · TB 2 · Score 17-10
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:22 · IND 13 · Score 17-16
    (:22) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 87-P.Parker for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:14 · IND 2 · Score 17-17
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:26 · IND 35 · Score 17-23
    (3:26) 27-L.Blount up the middle for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:15 · IND 2 · Score 17-24
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Indianapolis Colts 24-17 in Week 4, 2011 on 2011-10-03.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 (IND 17-24 TB) in Week 4, 2011 on 2011-10-03.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Final: Indianapolis Colts 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — P. Garcon (C. Painter pass) (Q2 39:01) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Freeman (Q2 34:00) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — P. Garcon (C. Painter pass) (Q3 22:22) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — P. Parker (J. Freeman pass) (Q3 15:22) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — L. Blount (Q4 3:26) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q1 55:31, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 24:48, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 51.0% completion, -0.1% CPOE, +0.16 EPA per dropback, +7.85 total passing EPA. C. Painter (Indianapolis Colts), 36.1% completion, -15.5% CPOE, +0.15 EPA per dropback, +5.43 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

P. Garcon (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +9.23 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+7.09 EPA): (9:01) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld.. The biggest win-probability swing was +21.8%.

Was Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 24-17 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 0-3 Now 0-4 L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W