FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 5 · October 6, 2003 · 12 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2003 Week 5 Recap

Colts defeat Buccaneers 38–35 in Week 5

Buddy Johnson led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 38–35 Week 5 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 38 5–0 Winner
Final 38–35
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35 2–2
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
38–35
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 0–21 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Paul Manning
FantasyHQ MVP
Buddy Johnson
Game date
October 6, 2003

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Malik Harrison
    Malik Harrison 11 REC · 176 YDS · 2 TD +17.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Paul Manning 34/50 · 381 YDS · 3 TD +16.1 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Wayne 4 REC · 59 YDS +6.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Buddy Johnson
    Buddy Johnson 26/41 · 318 YDS · 4 TD +21.6 Fantasy Impact
  • K.McCardell 4 REC · 106 YDS · 2 TD +11.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Kisean Johnson
    Kisean Johnson 4 REC · 62 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38–35 in Week 5 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-10-06, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+25.2% win probability) came in overtime when Indianapolis Colts swung the momentum.

In Week 5 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-10-06, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 38–35 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 35 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +16.06 total EPA.

On the individual side, B. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+25.2% win probability) landed in overtime when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (3:57) 13-M.Vanderjagt 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. PENALTY on TB-97-S.Rice, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 11 yards, enforced at TB 22 - No Play.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Indianapolis Colts00728338
Tampa Bay Buccaneers14777035

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Johnson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +21.55 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Harrison · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +17.43 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.58 EPA/play
  3. 3 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +16.06 total EPA · 50 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  4. 4 K. McCardell · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +11.02 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.76 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.98 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Johnson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.47 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Walters · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.48 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Williams · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +3.37 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Johnson — TB · Passing

B. Johnson posted the highest total EPA (+21.55) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 41 counted snaps, they averaged +0.53 EPA per play.

The signature play (+5.69 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (10:06) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. McCardell (B. Johnson pass) (Q1 55:06)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. McCardell (Q1 50:17)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Barlow (B. Johnson pass) (Q2 40:22)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Harrison (P. Manning pass) (Q3 28:12)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. McCardell (B. Johnson pass) (Q3 16:20)
  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Williams (Q4 12:05)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Barber (Q4 5:22)
  • Indianapolis Colts — J. Mungro (Q4 3:43)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Harrison (P. Manning pass) (Q4 2:38)
  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Williams (Q4 0:38)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Vanderjagt (OT 3:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 74 (Q1 55:06) — (10:06) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 54:52) — 7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 67 (Q1 50:17); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 49:55) — 7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q2 40:22); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 40:16) — 7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 37 (Q3 28:12) — (13:12) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 28:05) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 15 (Q3 16:20) — (1:20) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. right corner of endzone; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 16:14) — 7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 28–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 12:05) — (12:05) 35-R.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB, Defensive Offside, declined.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 12:01) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 89 (Q4 5:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber at IND 29. 20-R.Barber for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 5:09) — 7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q4 3:43) — (3:43) 23-J.Mungro up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 3:37) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 28 (Q4 2:38) — (2:38) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 2:29) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 0:38) — (:38) 35-R.Williams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-31-T.Wansley, Defensive Offside, declined.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 0:35) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

Overtime: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 11 (OT 3:50) — (3:50) 13-M.Vanderjagt 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Indianapolis Colts (OT 3:57) — (3:57) 13-M.Vanderjagt 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. PENALTY on TB-97-S.Rice, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 11 yards, enforced at TB 22 - No Play. [WPA +25.2% · EPA +0.28]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (OT 11:40) — (11:40) 9-T.Tupa punts 30 yards to IND 17, Center-66-R.Benjamin, downed by TB-47-J.Lynch. PENALTY on IND-33-D.Rhodes, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, enforced at IND 47 - No Play. [WPA +21.9% · EPA +2.03]
  • Indianapolis Colts (OT 6:30) — (6:30) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne to TB 31 for 16 yards (20-R.Barber). [WPA +20.9% · EPA +1.43]
  • Indianapolis Colts (OT 8:31) — (8:31) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne to IND 40 for 16 yards (47-J.Lynch). [WPA +20.5% · EPA +2.25]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (OT 10:40) — (10:40) 9-T.Tupa punts 28 yards to IND 13, Center-66-R.Benjamin, out of bounds. [WPA +18.9% · EPA +0.19]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 55:06) — (10:06) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +5.69]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 5:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber at IND 29. 20-R.Barber for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -1.8% · EPA -5.63]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 2:38) — (2:38) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +4.8% · EPA +5.55]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 50:17) — (5:17) 14-B.Johnson pass intended for 85-K.Dilger INTERCEPTED by 20-M.Doss at IND 41. 20-M.Doss to TB 44 for 15 yards (76-J.Wade). FUMBLES (76-J.Wade), touched at TB 43, RECOVERED by TB-87-K.McCardell [WPA +7.8% · EPA +5.50]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 50 dropbacks · 68.0% completion · +0.32 EPA/play · +16.06 total EPA
  • B.Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 41 dropbacks · 63.4% completion · +0.53 EPA/play · +21.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.261+0.175
Offensive success rate51.6%52.4%
Pass EPA/play+0.321+0.425
Rush EPA/play+0.168-0.128
Defensive EPA/play-0.175-0.261
Defensive success rate47.6%48.4%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.26 vs +0.17), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +24.79 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 15 drives, +18.39 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • B. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 55:06 · IND 74 · Score 0-6
    (10:06) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 54:52 · IND 2 · Score 0-7
    7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 50:17 · IND 67 · Score 0-13
    (5:17) 14-B.Johnson pass intended for 85-K.Dilger INTERCEPTED by 20-M.Doss at IND 41. 20-M.Doss to TB 44 for 15 yards (76-J.Wade). FUMBLES (76-J.Wade), touched
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 49:55 · IND 2 · Score 0-14
    7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 40:22 · IND 3 · Score 0-20
    (10:22) 14-B.Johnson pass to 84-R.Barlow for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on IND-53-M.Washington, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 40:16 · IND 2 · Score 0-21
    7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 28:12 · TB 37 · Score 6-21
    (13:12) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 28:05 · TB 2 · Score 7-21
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 16:20 · IND 15 · Score 7-27
    (1:20) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. right corner of endzone
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 16:14 · IND 2 · Score 7-28
    7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  11. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 12:05 · TB 1 · Score 13-28
    (12:05) 35-R.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB, Defensive Offside, declined.
  12. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 12:01 · TB 2 · Score 14-28
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 5:22 · TB 89 · Score 14-34
    (5:22) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Barber at IND 29. 20-R.Barber for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 5:09 · IND 2 · Score 14-35
    7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  15. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 3:43 · TB 3 · Score 20-35
    (3:43) 23-J.Mungro up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 3:37 · TB 2 · Score 21-35
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  17. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 2:38 · TB 28 · Score 27-35
    (2:38) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  18. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 2:29 · TB 2 · Score 28-35
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  19. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 0:38 · TB 1 · Score 34-35
    (:38) 35-R.Williams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-31-T.Wansley, Defensive Offside, declined.
  20. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 0:35 · TB 2 · Score 35-35
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  21. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — OT 3:50 · TB 11 · Score 38-35
    (3:50) 13-M.Vanderjagt 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38-35 in Week 5, 2003 on 2003-10-06.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 38, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35 (IND 38-35 TB) in Week 5, 2003 on 2003-10-06.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q5: Indianapolis Colts 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Indianapolis Colts 38, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. McCardell (B. Johnson pass) (Q1 55:06) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. McCardell (Q1 50:17) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Barlow (B. Johnson pass) (Q2 40:22) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Harrison (P. Manning pass) (Q3 28:12) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. McCardell (B. Johnson pass) (Q3 16:20) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Williams (Q4 12:05) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Barber (Q4 5:22) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Mungro (Q4 3:43) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Harrison (P. Manning pass) (Q4 2:38) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Williams (Q4 0:38) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Vanderjagt (OT 3:50, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 68.0% completion, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +16.06 total passing EPA. B. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 63.4% completion, +0.53 EPA per dropback, +21.55 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

B. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +21.55 on passing plays. across 41 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.69 EPA): (10:06) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +25.2%.

Was Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Indianapolis Colts won 38-35 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 4-0 Now 5-0 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-1 Now 2-2 L