Indianapolis Colts vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2021 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-10-24, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 30–18 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Wentz (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +6.27 total EPA, and -0.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.68 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (5:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 27-X.Rhodes at SF 43. 27-X.Rhodes ran ob at SF 39 for 4 yards (23-J.Hasty).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Pittman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +12.68 total EPA · 4 snaps · +3.17 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Wentz · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +6.27 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Alie-Cox · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.98 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Sanu · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.60 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.60 EPA/play
5. 5 E. Mitchell · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +1.88 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Woerner · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.59 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Taylor · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +0.44 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.02 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Sherfield · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +0.23 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — E. Mitchell (Q1 55:18)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Alie-Cox (C. Wentz pass) (Q1 50:21)
• Indianapolis Colts — C. Wentz (Q2 31:05)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor (Q3 18:49)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Samuel (J. Garoppolo pass) (Q4 13:13)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Pittman (C. Wentz pass) (Q4 2:56)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — J. Slye (Q1 53:12)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Slye (Q1 47:32)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Badgley (Q4 7:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 12–7. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the IND 14 (Q1 55:18) — (10:18) 25-E.Mitchell up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the IND 16 (Q1 53:12) — (8:12) 14-J.Slye 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the SF 11 (Q1 50:21) — (5:21) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 81-M.Alie-Cox for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught SF 9. 9-YAC; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 50:15) — 6-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the IND 37 (Q1 47:32) — (2:32) 14-J.Slye 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 6–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q2 31:05) — (1:05) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the SF 5 (Q3 18:49) — (3:49) 28-J.Taylor up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 18:45) — 6-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–6. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the IND 14 (Q4 13:13) — (13:13) (No Huddle) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 19-D.Samuel for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught IND 2. 2-YAC; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the SF 24 (Q4 7:04) — (7:04) 6-M.Badgley 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the SF 28 (Q4 2:56) — (2:56) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass deep right to 11-M.Pittman for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught SF 4. 4-YAC; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 2:49) — 6-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 5:26) — (5:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 27-X.Rhodes at SF 43. 27-X.Rhodes ran ob at SF 39 for 4 yards (23-J.Hasty). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -4.21]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 19:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at SF 33 for -8 yards (97-A.Muhammad). FUMBLES (97-A.Muhammad) [97-A.Muhammad], RECOVERED by IND-51-K.Paye at SF 33. [WPA -15.1% · EPA -4.84]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz sacked at SF 8 for -4 yards (95-K.Street). FUMBLES (95-K.Street) [97-N.Bosa], RECOVERED by SF-51-A.Al-Shaair at SF 7. 51-A.Al-Shaair to SF 19 for 12 yards (14-Z.Pascal). [WPA -12.8% · EPA -6.13]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 13:13) — (13:13) (No Huddle) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 19-D.Samuel for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught IND 2. 2-YAC [WPA +12.7% · EPA +2.03]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 47:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep middle to 15-K.Coutee. PENALTY on SF-24-K.Williams, Defensive Pass Interference, 40 yards, enforced at IND 25 - No Play. [WPA +10.5% · EPA +3.92]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz sacked at SF 8 for -4 yards (95-K.Street). FUMBLES (95-K.Street) [97-N.Bosa], RECOVERED by SF-51-A.Al-Shaair at SF 7. 51-A.Al-Shaair to SF 19 for 12 yards (14-Z.Pascal). [WPA -12.8% · EPA -6.13]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:24) — (7:24) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass deep left to 11-M.Pittman to SF 19 for 57 yards (26-J.Norman). Penalty on SF-26-J.Norman, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. Caught SF 24. 5-YAC [WPA +10.2% · EPA +5.49]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 55:12) — (10:12) 28-J.Taylor up the middle to IND 27 for 2 yards (1-J.Ward, 26-J.Norman). FUMBLES (26-J.Norman), RECOVERED by SF-54-F.Warner at IND 28. [WPA -9.5% · EPA -5.21]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 19:46) — (4:46) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at SF 33 for -8 yards (97-A.Muhammad). FUMBLES (97-A.Muhammad) [97-A.Muhammad], RECOVERED by IND-51-K.Paye at SF 33. [WPA -15.1% · EPA -4.84]

Quarterback report card

C.Wentz led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Wentz (Indianapolis Colts) · 35 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · -0.5% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +6.27 total EPA
• J.Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) · 32 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -5.7% CPOE · -0.47 EPA/play · -15.15 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.00 vs -0.20), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, -0.09 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 14 drives, -14.24 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Pittman (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Garoppolo (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 55:18 · IND 14 · Score 0-6
   (10:18) 25-E.Mitchell up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 53:12 · IND 16 · Score 0-9
   (8:12) 14-J.Slye 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 50:21 · SF 11 · Score 6-9
   (5:21) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 81-M.Alie-Cox for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught SF 9. 9-YAC
4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 50:15 · SF 15 · Score 7-9
   6-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
5. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 47:32 · IND 37 · Score 7-12
   (2:32) 14-J.Slye 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 31:05 · SF 1 · Score 13-12
   (1:05) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 18:49 · SF 5 · Score 19-12
   (3:49) 28-J.Taylor up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 18:45 · SF 15 · Score 20-12
   6-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
9. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 13:13 · IND 14 · Score 20-18
   (13:13) (No Huddle) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 19-D.Samuel for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught IND 2. 2-YAC
10. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 7:04 · SF 24 · Score 23-18
    (7:04) 6-M.Badgley 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
11. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 2:56 · SF 28 · Score 29-18
    (2:56) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass deep right to 11-M.Pittman for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught SF 4. 4-YAC
12. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 2:49 · SF 15 · Score 30-18
    6-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.