Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets: 2024 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-11-17, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 28–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 25 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -0.80 total EPA, and +3.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Downs (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.41 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-25.8% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (:13) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at NYJ 28 for -5 yards (51-K.Paye).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Downs · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +12.41 total EPA · 5 snaps · +2.48 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Richardson · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +8.69 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Pierce · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.99 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Adams · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.15 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Mitchell · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.95 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.48 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Richardson · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +2.74 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
7. 7 X. Gipson · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.65 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.65 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Yeboah · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.36 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.36 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — A. Richardson (Q2 44:16)
• New York Jets — B. Hall (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:48)
• New York Jets — B. Hall (Q3 28:30)
• New York Jets — K. Yeboah (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 13:08)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Downs (A. Richardson pass) (Q4 10:16)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Richardson (Q4 0:51)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q1 54:11)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q2 36:12)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q3 22:45)
• New York Jets — A. Carlson (Q3 18:00)
• New York Jets — A. Carlson (Q4 2:44)
• New York Jets — A. Carlson (Q4 2:41)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 23 (Q1 54:11) — (9:11) 7-M.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 2 (Q2 44:16) — (14:16) 5-A.Richardson left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 44:11) — 7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 29 (Q2 36:12) — (6:12) 7-M.Gay 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 29 (Q2 30:48) — (:48) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 20-B.Hall for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 30:40) — 18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–3. New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 18 (Q3 28:30) — (13:30) 20-B.Hall right end for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 28:22) — 18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 38 (Q3 22:45) — (7:45) 7-M.Gay 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the IND 40 (Q3 18:00) — (3:00) 18-A.Carlson 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 13–12. New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 11 (Q4 13:08) — (13:08) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 88-K.Yeboah for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 13:03) — 18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead. ** Injury Update: NYJ-76-J.Simpson has returned to the game.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 10 (Q4 10:16) — (10:16) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short middle to 1-J.Downs for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the IND 17 (Q4 2:44) — (2:44) 18-A.Carlson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NYJ 35 (Q4 2:41) — 18-A.Carlson kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the IND 30.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q4 0:51) — (:51) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q4 0:13) — (:13) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at NYJ 28 for -5 yards (51-K.Paye). [WPA -25.8% · EPA -0.07]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:51) — (:51) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +23.3% · EPA +3.43]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 29:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson sacked at IND 36 for -8 yards (54-J.Kinlaw). FUMBLES (54-J.Kinlaw) [44-J.Sherwood], RECOVERED by NYJ-54-J.Kinlaw at IND 29. 54-J.Kinlaw to IND 25 for 4 yards (5-A.Rich [WPA -19.4% · EPA -6.34]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 2:14) — (2:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass deep right to 14-A.Pierce to NYJ 27 for 39 yards (35-J.Mills). [WPA +15.0% · EPA +2.36]
• New York Jets (Q4 0:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers sacked at NYJ 25 for -5 yards (51-K.Paye). FUMBLES (51-K.Paye) [51-K.Paye], recovered by NYJ-83-T.Conklin at NYJ 20. 83-T.Conklin to NYJ 17 for -3 yards (99-D.Buckner). [WPA -14.1% · EPA -0.40]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 29:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson sacked at IND 36 for -8 yards (54-J.Kinlaw). FUMBLES (54-J.Kinlaw) [44-J.Sherwood], RECOVERED by NYJ-54-J.Kinlaw at IND 29. 54-J.Kinlaw to IND 25 for 4 yards (5-A.Rich [WPA -19.4% · EPA -6.34]
• New York Jets (Q2 30:48) — (:48) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 20-B.Hall for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.1% · EPA +4.21]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 45:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short left to 10-A.Mitchell to NYJ 1 for 33 yards (36-C.Clark). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +3.75]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:28) — (12:28) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass deep right to 1-J.Downs to NYJ 47 for 31 yards (4-D.Reed). [WPA +9.6% · EPA +3.68]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (New York Jets) · 33 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +3.5% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -0.80 total EPA
• A.Richardson (Indianapolis Colts) · 33 dropbacks · 60.6% completion · +7.3% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +8.69 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, +3.84 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 12 drives, -0.54 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Downs (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• A. Richardson (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 54:11 · NYJ 23 · Score 3-0
   (9:11) 7-M.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
2. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 44:16 · NYJ 2 · Score 9-0
   (14:16) 5-A.Richardson left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 44:11 · NYJ 15 · Score 10-0
   7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
4. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 36:12 · NYJ 29 · Score 13-0
   (6:12) 7-M.Gay 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
5. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 30:48 · IND 29 · Score 13-6
   (:48) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 20-B.Hall for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 30:40 · IND 15 · Score 13-7
   18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
7. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 28:30 · IND 18 · Score 13-13
   (13:30) 20-B.Hall right end for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 28:22 · IND 15 · Score 13-14
   18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 22:45 · NYJ 38 · Score 16-14
   (7:45) 7-M.Gay 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 18:00 · IND 40 · Score 16-17
    (3:00) 18-A.Carlson 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 13:08 · IND 11 · Score 16-23
    (13:08) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 88-K.Yeboah for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 13:03 · IND 15 · Score 16-24
    18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead. ** Injury Update: NYJ-76-J.Simpson has returned to the game.
13. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 10:16 · NYJ 10 · Score 22-24
    (10:16) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short middle to 1-J.Downs for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 2:44 · IND 17 · Score 22-27
    (2:44) 18-A.Carlson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
15. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 2:41 · NYJ 35 · Score 22-27
    18-A.Carlson kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the IND 30.
16. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 0:51 · NYJ 4 · Score 28-27
    (:51) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.