Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets: 2012 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-10-14, the New York Jets took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 35–9 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -3.04 total EPA, and -9.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, S. Greene (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.34 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+10.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (12:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 11-D.Avery pushed ob at NYJ 49 for 24 yards (20-K.Wilson).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 S. Greene · New York Jets · Rushing · +8.34 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Hill · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.38 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.79 EPA/play
3. 3 J. McKnight · New York Jets · Rushing · +4.48 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Tebow · New York Jets · Passing · +4.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.00 EPA/play
5. 5 N. Bellore · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.00 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Sanchez · New York Jets · Passing · +2.55 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.18 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Hill · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.66 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — S. Hill (M. Sanchez pass) (Q2 44:19)
• New York Jets — S. Greene (Q2 39:52)
• New York Jets — J. Hill (M. Sanchez pass) (Q2 30:31)
• New York Jets — S. Greene (Q3 16:40)
• New York Jets — S. Greene (Q4 1:18)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q1 51:10)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. McKnight (Q1 48:07)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 36:11)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 14:45)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 6–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 2 (Q1 51:10) — (6:10) 4-A.Vinatieri 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the IND 40 (Q1 48:07) — (3:07) 25-J.McKnight left end to IND 33 for 7 yards (50-J.Freeman)..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 21–3. New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 5 (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 84-S.Hill for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 44:13) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.; New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 10 (Q2 39:52); New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 39:47) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 32 (Q2 36:11) — (6:11) 4-A.Vinatieri 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 5 (Q2 30:31) — (:31) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle to 89-J.Hill for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 30:27) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 4 (Q3 16:40) — (1:40) 23-S.Greene right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 16:36) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 29 (Q4 14:45) — (14:45) 4-A.Vinatieri 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 2 (Q4 1:18) — (1:18) 23-S.Greene up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 1:05) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 57:48) — (12:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 11-D.Avery pushed ob at NYJ 49 for 24 yards (20-K.Wilson). [WPA +10.1% · EPA +3.27]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 43:02) — (13:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Cromartie at IND 33. 31-A.Cromartie for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NYJ-51-A.Maybin, Un [WPA -7.7% · EPA -3.42]
• New York Jets (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 84-S.Hill for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.68]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 54:15) — (9:15) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep right to 80-C.Fleener. PENALTY on NYJ-39-A.Allen, Defensive Pass Interference, 28 yards, enforced at IND 41 - No Play. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.10]
• New York Jets (Q1 49:27) — (4:27) 23-S.Greene up the middle to IND 44 for 21 yards (41-A.Bethea). [WPA +7.2% · EPA +1.77]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 6:47) — (6:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left intended for 11-D.Avery INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Lankster at NYJ -6. Touchback. [WPA -0.8% · EPA -5.36]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 3:52) — (3:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at IND 7 for -7 yards (96-M.Wilkerson). FUMBLES (96-M.Wilkerson) [96-M.Wilkerson], RECOVERED by NYJ-52-D.Harris at IND 14. 52-D.Harris to IND 14 for no gain (75-M.McG [WPA -0.1% · EPA -4.69]
• New York Jets (Q2 32:19) — (2:19) (Punt formation) 15-T.Tebow pass short right to 54-N.Bellore to IND 17 for 23 yards (13-T.Hilton). [WPA +5.5% · EPA +4.00]
• New York Jets (Q3 17:44) — (2:44) 25-J.McKnight up the middle to IND 6 for 61 yards (28-T.Zbikowski). [WPA +1.1% · EPA +3.98]

Quarterback report card

A.Luck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 54 dropbacks · 40.7% completion · -9.0% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -3.04 total EPA
• M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 19 dropbacks · 57.9% completion · -1.4% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +2.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New York Jets held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.26 vs -0.05), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Indianapolis Colts: 11 drives, -4.09 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, +20.67 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• S. Greene (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Luck (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 51:10 · NYJ 2 · Score 3-0
   (6:10) 4-A.Vinatieri 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
2. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 48:07 · IND 40 · Score 3-0
   (3:07) 25-J.McKnight left end to IND 33 for 7 yards (50-J.Freeman).
3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 44:19 · IND 5 · Score 3-6
   (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 84-S.Hill for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 44:13 · IND 2 · Score 3-7
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.
5. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 39:52 · IND 10 · Score 3-13
   (9:52) 23-S.Greene left tackle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld.
6. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 39:47 · IND 2 · Score 3-14
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.
7. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 36:11 · NYJ 32 · Score 6-14
   (6:11) 4-A.Vinatieri 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
8. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 30:31 · IND 5 · Score 6-20
   (:31) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle to 89-J.Hill for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 30:27 · IND 2 · Score 6-21
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.
10. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 16:40 · IND 4 · Score 6-27
    (1:40) 23-S.Greene right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 16:36 · IND 2 · Score 6-28
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.
12. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 14:45 · NYJ 29 · Score 9-28
    (14:45) 4-A.Vinatieri 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
13. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 1:18 · IND 2 · Score 9-34
    (1:18) 23-S.Greene up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 1:05 · IND 2 · Score 9-35
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.