Game story
In Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-11-12, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 10–6 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
G.Minshew II (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +0.98 total EPA, and +2.3% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, R. Stevenson (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +3.49 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-20.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (4:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 88-M.Gesicki INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Blackmon at IND 1. 32-J.Blackmon to IND 5 for 4 yards (69-C.Strange).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q4 | — | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 R. Stevenson · New England Patriots · Rushing · +3.49 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
- 2 I. McKenzie · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.19 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
- 3 E. Elliott · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.54 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
- 4 D. Douglas · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.93 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
- 5 J. Smith-Schuster · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.74 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.74 EPA/play
- 6 J. Downs · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
- 7 K. Boutte · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.49 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
- 8 A. Pierce · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.26 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
R. Stevenson — NE · Rushing
R. Stevenson posted the highest total EPA (+3.49) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 20 counted snaps, they averaged +0.17 EPA per play.
The signature play (-3.84 EPA) came from New England Patriots: (4:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 88-M.Gesicki INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Blackmon at IND 1. 32-J.Blackmon to IND 5 for 4 yards (69-C.Strange).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor
Field goals
- New England Patriots — C. Ryland
- New England Patriots — C. Ryland
- Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 19 (Q1 53:14) — (8:14) 37-C.Ryland 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q1 46:02) — (1:02) 28-J.Taylor right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q1 45:58) — 7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..
The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 5 (Q4 12:47) — (12:47) 37-C.Ryland 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NE 33 (Q4 8:58) — (8:58) 7-M.Gay 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- New England Patriots (Q4 4:25) — (4:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 88-M.Gesicki INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Blackmon at IND 1. 32-J.Blackmon to IND 5 for 4 yards (69-C.Strange).
- New England Patriots (Q4 0:36) — (:36) (No Huddle) 4-B.Zappe pass deep middle intended for 81-D.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 25-R.Thomas at IND 37. 25-R.Thomas to IND 42 for 5 yards.
- New England Patriots (Q4 7:25) — (7:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 81-D.Douglas pushed ob at IND 24 for 21 yards (23-K.Moore).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 30:07) — (:07) 7-M.Gay 57 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 2:52) — (2:52) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass deep right to 1-J.Downs to IND 38 for 28 yards (2-J.Mills).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- New England Patriots (Q4 4:25) — (4:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 88-M.Gesicki INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Blackmon at IND 1. 32-J.Blackmon to IND 5 for 4 yards (69-C.Strange).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q3 27:42) — (12:42) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass short left intended for 11-M.Pittman INTERCEPTED by 27-M.Bryant (48-Ja.Tavai) at NE 44. 27-M.Bryant to 50 for 6 yards (83-K.Granson).
- New England Patriots (Q3 23:41) — (8:41) 37-C.Ryland 35 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:29) — (7:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass deep right to 6-I.McKenzie pushed ob at NE 41 for 30 yards (27-M.Bryant).
Quarterback report card
G.Minshew II led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- G.Minshew II (Indianapolis Colts) · 31 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · +2.3% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +0.98 total EPA
- M.Jones (New England Patriots) · 27 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · +5.3% CPOE · -0.09 EPA/play · -2.41 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Indianapolis Colts | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.003 | -0.053 |
| Offensive success rate | 42.0% | 48.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.032 | -0.095 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.135 | +0.080 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.053 | +0.003 |
| Defensive success rate | 51.8% | 58.0% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Indianapolis Colts -0.00, New England Patriots -0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, -0.19 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- New England Patriots: 10 drives, -4.39 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- R. Stevenson (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- M. Jones (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 53:14 · IND 19 · Score 0-3
(8:14) 37-C.Ryland 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 46:02 · NE 1 · Score 6-3
(1:02) 28-J.Taylor right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 45:58 · NE 15 · Score 7-3
7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. - New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 12:47 · IND 5 · Score 7-6
(12:47) 37-C.Ryland 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 8:58 · NE 33 · Score 10-6
(8:58) 7-M.Gay 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
The Indianapolis Colts beat the New England Patriots 10-6 in Week 10, 2023 on 2023-11-12.
What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
The final score was Indianapolis Colts 10, New England Patriots 6 (IND 10-6 NE) in Week 10, 2023 on 2023-11-12.
What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
Q1: Indianapolis Colts 7, New England Patriots 3; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 3, New England Patriots 3; Final: Indianapolis Colts 10, New England Patriots 6.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Taylor (Q1 46:02) New England Patriots field goal — C. Ryland (Q1 53:14, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — C. Ryland (Q4 12:47, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Gay (Q4 8:58, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
G.Minshew II (Indianapolis Colts), 58.1% completion, +2.3% CPOE, +0.03 EPA per dropback, +0.98 total passing EPA. M. Jones (New England Patriots), 55.6% completion, +5.3% CPOE, -0.09 EPA per dropback, -2.41 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
R. Stevenson (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +3.49 on rushing plays. across 20 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-3.84 EPA): (4:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 88-M.Gesicki INTERCEPTED by 32-J.Blackmon at IND 1. 32-J.Blackmon to IND 5 for 4 yards (69-C.Strange).. The biggest win-probability swing was -20.1%.
Was Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots a close game?
Yes — the margin was 4 points. Indianapolis Colts won 10-6 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 4-5 Now 5-5 W
New England Patriots
Entered 2-7 Now 2-8 L
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