Game story
In Week 15 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-16, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 21–14 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 15 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +4.29 total EPA, and -8.6% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, A. Gonzalez (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+18.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: Colts' Captains: #18 P.Manning, #43 M.Giordano, #58 G.Brackett
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 10 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 21 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 A. Gonzalez · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +8.42 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
- 2 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.22 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
- 3 R. Curry · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.52 EPA/play
- 4 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +4.29 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
- 5 B. Utecht · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.29 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
- 6 D. Aromashodu · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.68 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.84 EPA/play
- 7 J. Porter · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.32 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
- 8 J. McCown · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +1.98 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
A. Gonzalez — IND · Receiving
A. Gonzalez posted the highest total EPA (+8.42) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +1.20 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.67 EPA) came from Las Vegas Raiders: (9:01) 9-S.Lechler punts 53 yards to IND 10, Center-59-J.Condo. 34-T.Rushing for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Indianapolis Colts — T. Rushing
- Las Vegas Raiders — R. Curry (J. McCown pass)
- Las Vegas Raiders — J. Fargas
- Indianapolis Colts — A. Gonzalez (P. Manning pass)
Field goals
- Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
- Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LV 4 (Q1 55:02) — (10:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 63 (Q1 54:01) — (9:01) 9-S.Lechler punts 53 yards to IND 10, Center-59-J.Condo. 34-T.Rushing for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 53:42) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q2 33:11) — (3:11) 12-J.McCown pass short left to 89-R.Curry for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 33:06) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..
The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LV 1 (Q3 23:09) — (8:09) 4-A.Vinatieri 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 8–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 2 (Q4 10:33) — (10:33) 25-J.Fargas right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 10:29) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 20 (Q4 4:57) — (4:57) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 11-A.Gonzalez for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the LV 2 (Q4 4:49) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 29-J.Addai rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1) — Colts' Captains: #18 P.Manning, #43 M.Giordano, #58 G.Brackett
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 1:54) — (1:54) 12-J.McCown pass incomplete short right to 84-J.Porter.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 4:57) — (4:57) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 11-A.Gonzalez for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 10:33) — (10:33) 25-J.Fargas right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 54:01) — (9:01) 9-S.Lechler punts 53 yards to IND 10, Center-59-J.Condo. 34-T.Rushing for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 54:01) — (9:01) 9-S.Lechler punts 53 yards to IND 10, Center-59-J.Condo. 34-T.Rushing for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short right to 86-B.Utecht (53-T.Howard).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 47:57) — (2:57) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 80-D.Aromashodu to LV 19 for 28 yards (23-C.Carr, 26-S.Routt).
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 49:31) — (4:31) 25-J.Fargas right end to IND 40 for no gain (54-F.Keiaho).
Quarterback report card
P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 44 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -8.6% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +4.29 total EPA
- J.McCown (Las Vegas Raiders) · 26 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -1.4% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +1.98 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Indianapolis Colts | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.086 | -0.041 |
| Offensive success rate | 46.1% | 48.8% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.098 | -0.050 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.070 | -0.030 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.041 | -0.086 |
| Defensive success rate | 51.2% | 53.9% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +6.52 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, -3.52 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- A. Gonzalez (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- P. Manning (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 55:02 · LV 4 · Score 3-0
(10:02) 4-A.Vinatieri 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 54:01 · IND 63 · Score 9-0
(9:01) 9-S.Lechler punts 53 yards to IND 10, Center-59-J.Condo. 34-T.Rushing for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 53:42 · LV 2 · Score 10-0
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 33:11 · IND 3 · Score 10-6
(3:11) 12-J.McCown pass short left to 89-R.Curry for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 33:06 · IND 2 · Score 10-7
11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 23:09 · LV 1 · Score 13-7
(8:09) 4-A.Vinatieri 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 10:33 · IND 2 · Score 13-13
(10:33) 25-J.Fargas right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 10:29 · IND 2 · Score 13-14
11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 4:57 · LV 20 · Score 19-14
(4:57) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 11-A.Gonzalez for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q4 4:49 · LV 2 · Score 21-14
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 29-J.Addai rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Las Vegas Raiders 21-14 in Week 15, 2007 on 2007-12-16.
What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The final score was Indianapolis Colts 21, Las Vegas Raiders 14 (IND 21-14 LV) in Week 15, 2007 on 2007-12-16.
What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Q1: Indianapolis Colts 10, Las Vegas Raiders 0; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 0, Las Vegas Raiders 7; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 3, Las Vegas Raiders 0; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 8, Las Vegas Raiders 7; Final: Indianapolis Colts 21, Las Vegas Raiders 14.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Rushing (Q1 54:01) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — R. Curry (J. McCown pass) (Q2 33:11) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — J. Fargas (Q4 10:33) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — A. Gonzalez (P. Manning pass) (Q4 4:57) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q1 55:02, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q3 23:09, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders?
P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 50.0% completion, -8.6% CPOE, +0.10 EPA per dropback, +4.29 total passing EPA. J. McCown (Las Vegas Raiders), 50.0% completion, -1.4% CPOE, +0.08 EPA per dropback, +1.98 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders?
A. Gonzalez (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +8.42 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.67 EPA): (9:01) 9-S.Lechler punts 53 yards to IND 10, Center-59-J.Condo. 34-T.Rushing for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +18.2%.
Was Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders a close game?
Yes — the margin was 7 points. Indianapolis Colts won 21-14 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 11-2 Now 12-2 W
Las Vegas Raiders
Entered 4-9 Now 4-10 L
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