Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2023 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-15, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 37–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G.Minshew II (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -12.36 total EPA, and -4.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Strange (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.11 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (14:17) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew sacked at IND 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen) [41-J.Allen], touched at IND 19, RECOVERED by JAX-90-A.Blackson at IND 22.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Strange · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.11 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
2. 2 Z. Moss · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.65 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Pierce · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.63 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Downs · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.06 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.05 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
6. 6 I. McKenzie · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.51 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Granson · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.23 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Johnson · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +1.15 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Etienne (Q2 44:21)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Etienne (Q2 44:10)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q2 31:45)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Strange (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 18:57)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Downs (G. Minshew pass) (Q4 14:19)
• Indianapolis Colts — Z. Moss (Q4 7:20)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q1 51:32)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q2 30:11)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. McManus (Q3 25:49)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. McManus (Q4 4:55)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. McManus (Q4 3:04)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. McManus (Q4 3:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 10 (Q1 51:32) — (6:32) 7-M.Gay 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 21–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 2 (Q2 44:21) — (14:21) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 44:17) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 22 (Q2 44:10) — (14:10) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 1-T.Etienne. 1-T.Etienne right end for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 44:01) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 29 (Q2 31:45) — (1:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 13-C.Kirk for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 31:40) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 38 (Q2 30:11) — (:11) 7-M.Gay 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 30 (Q3 25:49) — (10:49) 10-B.McManus 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 10 (Q3 18:57) — (3:57) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 85-B.Strange for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q3 18:51) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–9. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q4 14:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass short left to 1-J.Downs for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 14:14) — 7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q4 7:20) — (7:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-Z.Moss up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 7:14) — 7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 31 (Q4 4:55) — (4:55) 10-B.McManus 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 33 (Q4 3:04) — (3:04) 10-B.McManus 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the JAX 35 (Q4 3:00) — 10-B.McManus kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to end zone, Touchback..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 44:17) — (14:17) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew sacked at IND 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen) [41-J.Allen], touched at IND 19, RECOVERED by JAX-90-A.Blackson at IND 22. [WPA -10.5% · EPA -5.56]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 54:51) — (9:51) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass short right to 21-Z.Moss to JAX 40 for 3 yards (33-D.Lloyd). [WPA +10.4% · EPA +2.50]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 48:21) — (3:21) 1-T.Etienne left end to IND 48 for 7 yards (44-Z.Franklin). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +2.53]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:50) — (4:50) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass deep middle intended for 11-M.Pittman INTERCEPTED by 5-A.Cisco at JAX 14. 5-A.Cisco to JAX 35 for 21 yards (83-K.Granson). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -4.68]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 46:38) — (1:38) (Shotgun) PENALTY on IND-99-D.Buckner, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at IND 42 - No Play. [WPA +5.3% · EPA +1.32]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 44:17) — (14:17) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew sacked at IND 18 for -7 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen) [41-J.Allen], touched at IND 19, RECOVERED by JAX-90-A.Blackson at IND 22. [WPA -10.5% · EPA -5.56]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 27:43) — (12:43) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass deep right intended for 11-M.Pittman INTERCEPTED by 2-R.Jenkins at JAX 37. 2-R.Jenkins to IND 39 for 24 yards (56-Q.Nelson). [WPA -4.3% · EPA -5.39]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:50) — (4:50) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass deep middle intended for 11-M.Pittman INTERCEPTED by 5-A.Cisco at JAX 14. 5-A.Cisco to JAX 35 for 21 yards (83-K.Granson). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -4.68]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:45) — (1:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 13-C.Kirk for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.5% · EPA +4.01]

Quarterback report card

G.Minshew II led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• G.Minshew II (Indianapolis Colts) · 63 dropbacks · 52.4% completion · -4.1% CPOE · -0.20 EPA/play · -12.36 total EPA
• T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 37 dropbacks · 54.1% completion · +6.4% CPOE · -0.00 EPA/play · -0.10 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.07 vs -0.15), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, -13.68 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 14 drives, +5.81 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• B. Strange (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• G.Minshew II (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 51:32 · JAX 10 · Score 3-0
   (6:32) 7-M.Gay 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 44:21 · IND 2 · Score 3-6
   (14:21) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 44:17 · IND 15 · Score 3-7
   10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 44:10 · IND 22 · Score 3-13
   (14:10) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 1-T.Etienne. 1-T.Etienne right end for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 44:01 · IND 15 · Score 3-14
   10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 31:45 · IND 29 · Score 3-20
   (1:45) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 13-C.Kirk for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 31:40 · IND 15 · Score 3-21
   10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:11 · JAX 38 · Score 6-21
   (:11) 7-M.Gay 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 25:49 · IND 30 · Score 6-24
   (10:49) 10-B.McManus 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 18:57 · IND 10 · Score 6-30
    (3:57) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 85-B.Strange for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 18:51 · IND 15 · Score 6-31
    10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
12. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 14:19 · JAX 2 · Score 12-31
    (14:19) (Shotgun) 10-G.Minshew pass short left to 1-J.Downs for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 14:14 · JAX 15 · Score 13-31
    7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
14. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 7:20 · JAX 3 · Score 19-31
    (7:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-Z.Moss up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 7:14 · JAX 15 · Score 20-31
    7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 4:55 · IND 31 · Score 20-34
    (4:55) 10-B.McManus 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 3:04 · IND 33 · Score 20-37
    (3:04) 10-B.McManus 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
18. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 3:00 · JAX 35 · Score 20-37
    10-B.McManus kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to end zone, Touchback.