Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 1 Recap

Game story

In Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-09-13, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 27–20 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 34 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +14.18 total EPA, and +10.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.18 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (13:00) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Henderson at IND 49. 23-C.Henderson to IND 27 for 22 yards (13-T.Hilton).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Rivers · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +14.18 total EPA · 50 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
2. 2 G.Minshew II · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +9.28 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Chark · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.43 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.48 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Cole · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.35 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Doyle · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.31 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Taylor · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.04 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
7. 7 L. Shenault · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.29 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Johnson · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.59 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.59 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — N. Hines (Q1 56:51)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Chark (G. Minshew pass) (Q2 40:47)
• Indianapolis Colts — N. Hines (P. Rivers pass) (Q2 34:51)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Shenault (G. Minshew pass) (Q2 31:44)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — K. Cole (G. Minshew pass) (Q4 6:04)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q2 30:09)
• Indianapolis Colts — R. Sanchez (Q2 30:05)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q3 18:36)
• Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q4 9:43)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q4 2:54)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 21–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 12 (Q1 56:51) — (11:51) (Shotgun) 21-N.Hines up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 56:42) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 87 (Q1 56:38) — (11:38) 30-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 18 for 5 yards (27-X.Rhodes).; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 82 (Q1 56:00) — (11:00) 30-J.Robinson right end to JAX 27 for 9 yards (54-A.Walker)..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 21–13. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 6 (Q2 40:47) — (10:47) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short right to 17-D.Chark for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 40:42) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 8 (Q2 34:51) — (4:51) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 21-N.Hines for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 34:45) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 15 (Q2 31:44) — (1:44) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 10-L.Shenault for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 31:38) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 20 (Q2 30:09) — (:09) 3-R.Blankenship 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the IND 35 (Q2 30:05) — 8-R.Sanchez kicks 70 yards from IND 35 to JAX -5. 27-C.Claybrooks pushed ob at JAX 34 for 39 yards (49-M.Adams).; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 35 (Q2 30:05) — 8-R.Sanchez kicks 70 yards from IND 35 to JAX -5. 27-C.Claybrooks pushed ob at JAX 34 for 39 yards (49-M.Adams)..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 32 (Q3 18:36) — (3:36) 4-J.Lambo 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 7 (Q4 9:43) — (9:43) 3-R.Blankenship 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 22 (Q4 6:04) — (6:04) 15-G.Minshew pass deep right to 84-K.Cole for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 5:56) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 28 (Q4 2:54) — (2:54) 4-J.Lambo 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 43:00) — (13:00) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Henderson at IND 49. 23-C.Henderson to IND 27 for 22 yards (13-T.Hilton). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -4.40]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 6:04) — (6:04) 15-G.Minshew pass deep right to 84-K.Cole for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.2% · EPA +2.58]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left intended for 15-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 42-A.Wingard at IND 43. 42-A.Wingard to IND 31 for 12 yards (15-P.Campbell). [WPA -11.8% · EPA -4.33]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 26:29) — (11:29) 17-P.Rivers pass short right to 84-J.Doyle to JAX 34 for 28 yards (47-J.Schobert). [WPA +11.6% · EPA +3.91]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 48:15) — (3:15) (Shotgun) 21-N.Hines left guard to JAX 3 for no gain (29-J.Jones; 95-A.Jones). [WPA -11.2% · EPA -4.07]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 43:00) — (13:00) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Henderson at IND 49. 23-C.Henderson to IND 27 for 22 yards (13-T.Hilton). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -4.40]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left intended for 15-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 42-A.Wingard at IND 43. 42-A.Wingard to IND 31 for 12 yards (15-P.Campbell). [WPA -11.8% · EPA -4.33]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 48:15) — (3:15) (Shotgun) 21-N.Hines left guard to JAX 3 for no gain (29-J.Jones; 95-A.Jones). [WPA -11.2% · EPA -4.07]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 26:29) — (11:29) 17-P.Rivers pass short right to 84-J.Doyle to JAX 34 for 28 yards (47-J.Schobert). [WPA +11.6% · EPA +3.91]

Quarterback report card

P.Rivers led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) · 50 dropbacks · 72.0% completion · +10.5% CPOE · +0.28 EPA/play · +14.18 total EPA
• G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 29 dropbacks · 65.5% completion · +20.5% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +9.28 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.17 vs +0.04), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Indianapolis Colts: 9 drives, +3.20 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +10.55 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• P. Rivers (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Rivers (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• G.Minshew II (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 56:51 · JAX 12 · Score 6-0
   (11:51) (Shotgun) 21-N.Hines up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 56:42 · JAX 15 · Score 7-0
   3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+7) — Q1 56:38 · IND 87 · Score 7-0
   (11:38) 30-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 18 for 5 yards (27-X.Rhodes).
4. Indianapolis Colts TD (+7) — Q1 56:00 · IND 82 · Score 7-0
   (11:00) 30-J.Robinson right end to JAX 27 for 9 yards (54-A.Walker).
5. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 40:47 · IND 6 · Score 7-6
   (10:47) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short right to 17-D.Chark for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 40:42 · IND 15 · Score 7-7
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 34:51 · JAX 8 · Score 13-7
   (4:51) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 21-N.Hines for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 34:45 · JAX 15 · Score 14-7
   3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 31:44 · IND 15 · Score 14-13
   (1:44) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 10-L.Shenault for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 31:38 · IND 15 · Score 14-14
    4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
11. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:09 · JAX 20 · Score 17-14
    (:09) 3-R.Blankenship 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
12. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · IND 35 · Score 17-14
    8-R.Sanchez kicks 70 yards from IND 35 to JAX -5. 27-C.Claybrooks pushed ob at JAX 34 for 39 yards (49-M.Adams).
13. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+7) — Q2 30:05 · IND 35 · Score 17-14
    8-R.Sanchez kicks 70 yards from IND 35 to JAX -5. 27-C.Claybrooks pushed ob at JAX 34 for 39 yards (49-M.Adams).
14. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 18:36 · IND 32 · Score 17-17
    (3:36) 4-J.Lambo 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
15. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 9:43 · JAX 7 · Score 20-17
    (9:43) 3-R.Blankenship 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 6:04 · IND 22 · Score 20-23
    (6:04) 15-G.Minshew pass deep right to 84-K.Cole for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 5:56 · IND 15 · Score 20-24
    4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
18. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 2:54 · IND 28 · Score 20-27
    (2:54) 4-J.Lambo 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.