FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 10 · November 8, 2012 · 10 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2012 Week 10 Recap

Colts defeat Jaguars 27–10 in Week 10

R.Wayne led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 27–10 Week 10 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 27 6–3 Winner
Final 27–10
Jacksonville Jaguars 10 1–8
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
27–10
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 17–3 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
Blaine Gabbert
FantasyHQ MVP
R.Wayne
Game date
November 8, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • R.Wayne 8 REC · 96 YDS +4.4 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Luck 18/31 · 226 YDS · 1 TD +2.3 Fantasy Impact
  • DeWayne Carter
    DeWayne Carter 2 CAR · 7 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Marcedes Lewis
    Marcedes Lewis 3 REC · 36 YDS +1.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Julian Blackmon
    Julian Blackmon 3 REC · 25 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Parmele 1 REC · 26 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 27–10 in Week 10 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-08, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-13.3% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars swung the momentum.

In Week 10 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-08, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 27–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -9.88 total EPA, and -3.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Wayne (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (3:19) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts31473027
Jacksonville Jaguars0307010

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.42 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +2.32 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Carter · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +2.10 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Allen · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.89 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +1.81 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.73 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Blackmon · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.46 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +0.72 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. Wayne — IND · Receiving

R. Wayne posted the highest total EPA (+4.42) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 11 counted snaps, they averaged +0.40 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.57 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (10:55) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 11. 20-D.Butler for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Luck (Q2 43:52)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Luck (Q2 37:43)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Butler (Q3 25:55)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Shorts (C. Henne pass) (Q4 9:18)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q1 52:30)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:21)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 3:28)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 13 (Q1 52:30) — (7:30) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–3. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q2 43:52) — (13:52) 12-A.Luck scrambles right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 43:44) — (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 37:43) — (7:43) 12-A.Luck up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 37:39); Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the IND 22 (Q2 30:21) — (:21) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 92 (Q3 25:55); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 25:50) — (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the IND 4 (Q4 9:18) — (9:18) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short left to 84-C.Shorts for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 9:16) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the JAX 23 (Q4 3:28).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 48:19) — (3:19) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger. [WPA -13.3% · EPA -2.72]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 43:52) — (13:52) 12-A.Luck scrambles right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.6% · EPA +2.05]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 59:55) — (14:55) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 89-M.Lewis to JAX 28 for 8 yards (92-J.Hughes). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +0.60]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1) — GAME Team Captains: JAX - 92,11,51,24,63 ; IND - 1,93,90,87,12 [WPA -7.2% · EPA -1.63]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:53) — (7:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at JAX 13 for -6 yards (93-T.Alualu). [WPA -6.9% · EPA -1.36]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 25:55) — (10:55) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 11. 20-D.Butler for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -2.4% · EPA -6.57]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short middle INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler (90-C.Redding) at IND 36. 20-D.Butler to JAX 13 for 51 yards (34-J.Parmele). [WPA -0.1% · EPA -5.76]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 12-A.Luck sacked at JAX 24 for -4 yards (92-A.Lane). FUMBLES (92-A.Lane) [92-A.Lane], RECOVERED by JAX-94-J.Mincey at JAX 19. 94-J.Mincey to JAX 19 for no gain (74-A.Castonzo). [WPA -0.5% · EPA -4.44]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:30) — (11:30) (No Huddle) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right to 81-L.Robinson to IND 39 for 9 yards (58-M.Fokou). Indianapolis challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Hud [WPA -5.4% · EPA -3.91]

Quarterback report card

B.Gabbert led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 39 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · -3.2% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -9.88 total EPA
  • A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 31 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · +11.2% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.32 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play+0.069-0.171
Offensive success rate48.1%44.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.075-0.166
Rush EPA/play+0.179-0.284
Defensive EPA/play+0.171-0.069
Defensive success rate55.8%51.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.07 vs -0.17), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +5.62 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -14.70 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • R. Wayne (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Gabbert (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • A. Luck (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 52:30 · JAX 13 · Score 3-0
    (7:30) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  2. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 43:52 · JAX 5 · Score 9-0
    (13:52) 12-A.Luck scrambles right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 43:44 · JAX 2 · Score 10-0
    (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  4. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 37:43 · JAX 1 · Score 16-0
    (7:43) 12-A.Luck up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 37:39 · JAX 2 · Score 17-0
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. PENALTY on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Penalty on
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:21 · IND 22 · Score 17-3
    (:21) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
  7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 25:55 · IND 92 · Score 23-3
    (10:55) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 11. 20-D.Butler for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 25:50 · JAX 2 · Score 24-3
    (Kick formation) 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 9:18 · IND 4 · Score 24-9
    (9:18) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short left to 84-C.Shorts for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 9:16 · IND 2 · Score 24-10
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
  11. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 3:28 · JAX 23 · Score 27-10
    (3:28) 4-A.Vinatieri 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. PENALTY on JAX-90-A.Branch, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced b

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-10 in Week 10, 2012 on 2012-11-08.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 10 (IND 27-10 JAX) in Week 10, 2012 on 2012-11-08.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 14, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Final: Indianapolis Colts 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 10.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — A. Luck (Q2 43:52) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — A. Luck (Q2 37:43) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Butler (Q3 25:55) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Shorts (C. Henne pass) (Q4 9:18) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q1 52:30, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Scobee (Q2 30:21, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 3:28, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars), 46.2% completion, -3.2% CPOE, -0.25 EPA per dropback, -9.88 total passing EPA. A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts), 58.1% completion, +11.2% CPOE, +0.07 EPA per dropback, +2.32 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

R. Wayne (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +4.42 on receiving plays. across 11 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.57 EPA): (10:55) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short right intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at JAX 11. 20-D.Butler for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.3%.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 5-3 Now 6-3 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 1-7 Now 1-8 L