Indianapolis Colts vs. Cleveland Browns: 2014 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-07, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Cleveland Browns, pulling away with a 25–24 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -16.69 total EPA, and -12.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Cameron (Cleveland Browns) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +2.62 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (10:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Leonhard at CLE 43. 30-J.Leonhard to IND 23 for 34 yards (80-C.Fleener).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Cameron · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +2.62 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Moncrief · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.56 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Richardson · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +1.31 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Herron · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +0.54 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Fleener · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.02 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.00 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +0.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.00 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Hoyer · Cleveland Browns · Rushing · +0.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.00 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Gabriel · Cleveland Browns · Rushing · -0.28 total EPA · 1 snaps · -0.28 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Cleveland Browns — A. Luck (Q1 45:47)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Luck (Q2 36:05)
• Cleveland Browns — I. Crowell (Q2 31:19)
• Cleveland Browns — J. Gilbert (Q3 25:32)
• Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q3 19:09)
• Indianapolis Colts — T. Hilton (A. Luck pass) (Q4 0:36)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 22:21)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 14:55)
• Cleveland Browns — B. Cundiff (Q4 8:39)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Cleveland Browns won the period 7–0. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the CLE 90 (Q1 45:47); Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 45:40) — 8-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the CLE 11 (Q2 36:05) — (6:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles left guard for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the CLE 2 (Q2 35:57) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the IND 9 (Q2 31:19) — (1:19) (Shotgun) 34-I.Crowell right guard for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 31:14) — 8-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 9–7. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the CLE 88 (Q3 25:32); Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 25:21) — 8-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the CLE 32 (Q3 22:21) — (7:21) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the CLE 42 (Q3 19:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 9–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the CLE 15 (Q4 14:55) — (14:55) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Cleveland Browns connected on a field goal from the IND 21 (Q4 8:39) — (8:39) 8-B.Cundiff 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the CLE 1 (Q4 0:36) — (:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 10:21) — (10:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Leonhard at CLE 43. 30-J.Leonhard to IND 23 for 34 yards (80-C.Fleener). [WPA -21.3% · EPA -6.08]
• Cleveland Browns (Q4 0:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 6-B.Hoyer pass deep left intended for 11-T.Benjamin INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Gordy at IND 33. 27-J.Gordy to IND 33 for no gain. [WPA -20.0% · EPA -0.19]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:44) — (:44) 36-D.Herron left guard to CLE 1 for 2 yards (53-C.Robertson). [WPA +18.6% · EPA +2.53]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 2:12) — (2:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep middle to 83-D.Allen. PENALTY on CLE-22-B.Skrine, Defensive Pass Interference, 35 yards, enforced at IND 40 - No Play. [WPA +16.8% · EPA +2.14]
• Cleveland Browns (Q1 50:08) — (5:08) 6-B.Hoyer pass short middle intended for 81-J.Dray INTERCEPTED by 29-M.Adams (50-J.Freeman) at IND 0. Touchback. Freeman (IND 50) tips the pass [WPA -15.3% · EPA -5.30]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 25:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Gilbert [71-A.Rubin] at IND 23. 21-J.Gilbert for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.5% · EPA -6.21]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q4 10:21) — (10:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Leonhard at CLE 43. 30-J.Leonhard to IND 23 for 34 yards (80-C.Fleener). [WPA -21.3% · EPA -6.08]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 45:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at IND 1 for -9 yards (99-P.Kruger, 92-D.Bryant). FUMBLES (99-P.Kruger) [92-D.Bryant], RECOVERED by CLE-53-C.Robertson at IND 0. TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.7% · EPA -5.60]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 19:09) — (4:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +5.37]

Quarterback report card

A.Luck led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 65 dropbacks · 36.9% completion · -12.5% CPOE · -0.26 EPA/play · -16.69 total EPA
• B.Hoyer (Cleveland Browns) · 34 dropbacks · 38.2% completion · -13.6% CPOE · -0.33 EPA/play · -11.21 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.15 vs -0.21), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Cleveland Browns: 17 drives, -18.49 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Indianapolis Colts: 17 drives, -15.19 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Cameron (Cleveland Browns) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Luck (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• B. Hoyer (CLE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q1 45:47 · CLE 90 · Score 0-6
   (:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at IND 1 for -9 yards (99-P.Kruger, 92-D.Bryant). FUMBLES (99-P.Kruger) [92-D.Bryant], RECOVERED by CLE-53-C.Robertson at IND 0
2. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q1 45:40 · IND 2 · Score 0-7
   8-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning.
3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 36:05 · CLE 11 · Score 6-7
   (6:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles left guard for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 35:57 · CLE 2 · Score 7-7
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
5. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q2 31:19 · IND 9 · Score 7-13
   (1:19) (Shotgun) 34-I.Crowell right guard for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q2 31:14 · IND 2 · Score 7-14
   8-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning.
7. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q3 25:32 · CLE 88 · Score 7-20
   (10:32) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Gilbert [71-A.Rubin] at IND 23. 21-J.Gilbert for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q3 25:21 · IND 2 · Score 7-21
   8-B.Cundiff extra point is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning.
9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 22:21 · CLE 32 · Score 10-21
   (7:21) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
10. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 19:09 · CLE 42 · Score 16-21
    (4:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 14:55 · CLE 15 · Score 19-21
    (14:55) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
12. Cleveland Browns FG (+3) — Q4 8:39 · IND 21 · Score 19-24
    (8:39) 8-B.Cundiff 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-C.Yount, Holder-5-S.Lanning.
13. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 0:36 · CLE 1 · Score 25-24
    (:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 13-T.Hilton for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.