FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 11 · November 18, 2018 · 11 min read

Houston Texans vs. Washington Commanders: 2018 Week 11 Recap

Texans defeat Commanders 23–21 in Week 11

Jordan Akins led Fantasy Impact as Texans prevailed in a 23–21 Week 11 finish.

Houston Texans 23 7–3 Winner
Final 23–21
Washington Commanders 21 6–4
Winner
Houston Texans
Final score
23–21
Halftime
Houston Texans 17–7 Washington Commanders
Top passer
Arian Smith
FantasyHQ MVP
Jordan Akins
Game date
November 18, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • Jordan Akins
    Jordan Akins 2 REC · 42 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Blue 8 CAR · 46 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Keke Coutee
    Keke Coutee 5 REC · 77 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • Trey Quinn
    Trey Quinn 4 REC · 49 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Colt McCoy
    Colt McCoy 2 CAR · 9 YDS +1.9 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Floyd 1 REC · 18 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Houston Texans defeated the Washington Commanders 23–21 in Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-18, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-32.4% win probability) came in the second quarter when Washington Commanders swung the momentum.

In Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-18, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Washington Commanders, pulling away with a 23–21 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Smith (Washington Commanders) paced the passing game, with -14.11 total EPA, and -16.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Akins (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +3.98 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-32.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Washington Commanders changed the game: (2:38) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 86-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [95-C.Covington] at HOU -1. 20-J.Reid for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Houston Texans10733023
Washington Commanders0777021

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Akins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +3.98 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.99 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Quinn · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +3.80 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. McCoy · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +1.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Floyd · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +1.46 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. McCoy · Washington Commanders · Passing · +1.19 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Blue · Houston Texans · Rushing · +1.14 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Smith · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +1.03 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Coutee · Houston Texans · Receiving · +0.67 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Akins — HOU · Receiving

J. Akins posted the highest total EPA (+3.98) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Houston Texans's efficiency. Across 2 counted snaps, they averaged +1.99 EPA per play.

The signature play (-10.58 EPA) came from Washington Commanders: (2:38) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 86-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [95-C.Covington] at HOU -1. 20-J.Reid for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Houston Texans — D. Hopkins (D. Watson pass) (Q1 48:20)
  • Washington Commanders — A. Peterson (Q2 44:19)
  • Houston Texans — J. Reid (Q2 32:38)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Reed (C. McCoy pass) (Q3 19:52)
  • Washington Commanders — A. Peterson (Q4 12:02)

Field goals

  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q1 54:35)
  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q3 16:22)
  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q4 7:35)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the WAS 5 (Q1 54:35) — (9:35) 7-K.Fairbairn 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the WAS 16 (Q1 48:20) — (3:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 10-D.Hopkins for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q1 48:15) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the HOU 3 (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 26-A.Peterson left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 44:14) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the HOU 9 (Q2 32:38); Houston Texans added 1 points from the WAS 20 (Q2 32:23) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel..

The third quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 7–3. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the HOU 9 (Q3 19:52) — (4:52) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass short left to 86-J.Reed for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q3 19:47) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the WAS 15 (Q3 16:22).

The fourth quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 7–3. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the HOU 7 (Q4 12:02) — (12:02) 26-A.Peterson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 11:57) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the WAS 36 (Q4 7:35) — (7:35) 7-K.Fairbairn 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Washington Commanders (Q2 32:38) — (2:38) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 86-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [95-C.Covington] at HOU -1. 20-J.Reid for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -32.4% · EPA -10.58]
  • Houston Texans (Q4 0:56) — (:56) 7-K.Fairbairn 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel. [WPA -27.0% · EPA -2.84]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 0:08) — (:08) 3-D.Hopkins 63 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way. [WPA -19.9% · EPA -1.11]
  • Houston Texans (Q3 20:39) — (5:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 26-L.Miller INTERCEPTED by 94-P.Smith at HOU 16. 94-P.Smith to HOU 13 for 3 yards (4-D.Watson). [WPA -15.7% · EPA -5.60]
  • Houston Texans (Q4 3:51) — (3:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 26-L.Miller to WAS 42 for 13 yards (20-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +10.7% · EPA +1.74]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Washington Commanders (Q2 32:38) — (2:38) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 86-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [95-C.Covington] at HOU -1. 20-J.Reid for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -32.4% · EPA -10.58]
  • Houston Texans (Q3 20:39) — (5:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 26-L.Miller INTERCEPTED by 94-P.Smith at HOU 16. 94-P.Smith to HOU 13 for 3 yards (4-D.Watson). [WPA -15.7% · EPA -5.60]
  • Houston Texans (Q3 27:11) — (12:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to WAS 35 for 7 yards (20-H.Clinton-Dix). FUMBLES (20-H.Clinton-Dix), RECOVERED by WAS-54-M.Foster at WAS 35. The Replay Official reviewe [WPA -10.2% · EPA -4.54]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 31:31) — (1:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 46-K.Bibbs INTERCEPTED by 57-B.Scarlett at WAS 30. 57-B.Scarlett to WAS 22 for 8 yards (18-J.Doctson). [WPA -7.8% · EPA -4.34]

Quarterback report card

A.Smith led all passers in efficiency for Washington Commanders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Smith (Washington Commanders) · 34 dropbacks · 35.3% completion · -16.0% CPOE · -0.41 EPA/play · -14.11 total EPA
  • D.Watson (Houston Texans) · 34 dropbacks · 47.1% completion · -2.5% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -4.27 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatHouston TexansWashington Commanders
Offensive EPA/play-0.124-0.161
Offensive success rate46.1%37.9%
Pass EPA/play-0.126-0.258
Rush EPA/play-0.036+0.029
Defensive EPA/play+0.161+0.124
Defensive success rate62.1%53.9%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Houston Texans -0.12, Washington Commanders -0.16) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Houston Texans: 12 drives, -9.43 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 12 drives, -15.34 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Akins (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Smith (WAS) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 54:35 · WAS 5 · Score 3-0
    (9:35) 7-K.Fairbairn 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel.
  2. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 48:20 · WAS 16 · Score 9-0
    (3:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 10-D.Hopkins for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 48:15 · WAS 15 · Score 10-0
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel.
  4. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q2 44:19 · HOU 3 · Score 10-6
    (14:19) 26-A.Peterson left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q2 44:14 · HOU 15 · Score 10-7
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  6. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 32:38 · HOU 9 · Score 16-7
    (2:38) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 86-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [95-C.Covington] at HOU -1. 20-J.Reid for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 32:23 · WAS 20 · Score 17-7
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel.
  8. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q3 19:52 · HOU 9 · Score 17-13
    (4:52) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass short left to 86-J.Reed for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q3 19:47 · HOU 15 · Score 17-14
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  10. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 16:22 · WAS 15 · Score 20-14
    (1:22) 7-K.Fairbairn 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel. Penalty on WAS-35-M.Nicholson, Defensive Offside, declined.
  11. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q4 12:02 · HOU 7 · Score 20-20
    (12:02) 26-A.Peterson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q4 11:57 · HOU 15 · Score 20-21
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  13. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q4 7:35 · WAS 36 · Score 23-21
    (7:35) 7-K.Fairbairn 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders?

The Houston Texans beat the Washington Commanders 23-21 in Week 11, 2018 on 2018-11-18.

What was the final score of Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders?

The final score was Houston Texans 23, Washington Commanders 21 (HOU 23-21 WAS) in Week 11, 2018 on 2018-11-18.

What was the score by quarter in Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders?

Q1: Houston Texans 10, Washington Commanders 0; Q2: Houston Texans 7, Washington Commanders 7; Q3: Houston Texans 3, Washington Commanders 7; Q4: Houston Texans 3, Washington Commanders 7; Final: Houston Texans 23, Washington Commanders 21.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders?

Houston Texans touchdown — D. Hopkins (D. Watson pass) (Q1 48:20) Washington Commanders touchdown — A. Peterson (Q2 44:19) Houston Texans touchdown — J. Reid (Q2 32:38) Washington Commanders touchdown — J. Reed (C. McCoy pass) (Q3 19:52) Washington Commanders touchdown — A. Peterson (Q4 12:02) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q1 54:35, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q3 16:22, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q4 7:35, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders?

A. Smith (Washington Commanders), 35.3% completion, -16.0% CPOE, -0.41 EPA per dropback, -14.11 total passing EPA. D. Watson (Houston Texans), 47.1% completion, -2.5% CPOE, -0.13 EPA per dropback, -4.27 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders?

J. Akins (Houston Texans) led the game in total EPA with +3.98 on receiving plays. across 2 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-10.58 EPA): (2:38) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 86-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [95-C.Covington] at HOU -1. 20-J.Reid for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -32.4%.

Was Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders a close game?

Yes — the margin was 2 points. Houston Texans won 23-21 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Houston Texans

Entered 6-3 Now 7-3 W

Washington Commanders

Entered 6-3 Now 6-4 L