Houston Texans vs. New York Jets: 2006 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-11-26, the New York Jets took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 26–11 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with +2.09 total EPA, and +5.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Pennington (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.47 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (4:38) (Punt formation) 7-C.Stanley FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 46, and recovers at NYJ 37. 7-C.Stanley to NYJ 46 for -9 yards (33-E.Smith).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Pennington · New York Jets · Passing · +12.47 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +8.42 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · +7.94 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
4. 4 L. Coles · New York Jets · Receiving · +7.28 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
5. 5 W. Lundy · Houston Texans · Receiving · +6.86 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Carr · Houston Texans · Passing · +2.09 total EPA · 59 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Pennington · New York Jets · Rushing · +1.99 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.99 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Baker · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.89 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.89 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — L. Coles (C. Pennington pass) (Q3 24:06)
• New York Jets — C. Houston (Q3 18:37)
• Houston Texans — A. Johnson (D. Carr pass) (Q4 3:59)

Field goals

• New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q1 46:29)
• New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q2 39:50)
• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q2 35:03)
• New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q2 31:14)
• New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q4 8:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 3–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the HOU 5 (Q1 46:29) — (1:29) 1-M.Nugent 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 6–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the HOU 16 (Q2 39:50) — (9:50) 1-M.Nugent 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the NYJ 29 (Q2 35:03) — (5:03) 3-K.Brown 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the HOU 36 (Q2 31:14) — (1:14) 1-M.Nugent 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 14–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the HOU 12 (Q3 24:06) — (9:06) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington pass short left to 87-L.Coles for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 24:00) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; New York Jets found the end zone from the HOU 1 (Q3 18:37) — (3:37) (No Huddle) 34-C.Houston left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 18:33) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 8–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the HOU 22 (Q4 8:11) — (8:11) 1-M.Nugent 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the NYJ 3 (Q4 3:59) — (3:59) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 80-A.Johnson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans registered a safety from the NYJ 2 (Q4 3:54) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-D.Carr pass to 33-W.Lundy is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Houston Texans (Q1 49:38) — (4:38) (Punt formation) 7-C.Stanley FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 46, and recovers at NYJ 37. 7-C.Stanley to NYJ 46 for -9 yards (33-E.Smith). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -2.55]
• New York Jets (Q1 48:52) — (3:52) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington pass deep right to 87-L.Coles ran ob at HOU 9 for 36 yards. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +1.87]
• Houston Texans (Q1 51:25) — (6:25) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 33-W.Lundy to NYJ 34 for 14 yards (21-A.Dyson). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +2.11]
• New York Jets (Q2 31:14) — (1:14) 1-M.Nugent 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham. [WPA +8.7% · EPA +2.11]
• Houston Texans (Q2 44:13) — (14:13) 8-D.Carr sacked at HOU 45 for -9 yards (sack split by 63-D.Robertson and 92-S.Ellis). [WPA -7.6% · EPA -2.22]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q3 20:16) — (5:16) 8-D.Carr pass short left intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Rhodes at HOU 35. 25-K.Rhodes to HOU 26 for 9 yards (80-A.Johnson). [WPA -3.5% · EPA -4.42]
• Houston Texans (Q4 0:10) — (:10) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 84-E.Moulds to NYJ 3 for 9 yards (26-E.Coleman, 25-K.Rhodes). [WPA -0.4% · EPA -2.83]
• Houston Texans (Q1 49:38) — (4:38) (Punt formation) 7-C.Stanley FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 46, and recovers at NYJ 37. 7-C.Stanley to NYJ 46 for -9 yards (33-E.Smith). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -2.55]
• Houston Texans (Q4 3:59) — (3:59) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 80-A.Johnson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.0% · EPA +2.53]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Houston Texans) · 59 dropbacks · 66.1% completion · +5.6% CPOE · +0.04 EPA/play · +2.09 total EPA
• C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 35 dropbacks · 68.6% completion · +14.3% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +12.47 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New York Jets held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs -0.04), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Houston Texans: 11 drives, -3.82 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 10 drives, +11.16 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Pennington (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Carr (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• C. Pennington (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q1 46:29 · HOU 5 · Score 0-3
   (1:29) 1-M.Nugent 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
2. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 39:50 · HOU 16 · Score 0-6
   (9:50) 1-M.Nugent 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
3. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 35:03 · NYJ 29 · Score 3-6
   (5:03) 3-K.Brown 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
4. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 31:14 · HOU 36 · Score 3-9
   (1:14) 1-M.Nugent 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
5. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 24:06 · HOU 12 · Score 3-15
   (9:06) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington pass short left to 87-L.Coles for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 24:00 · HOU 2 · Score 3-16
   1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
7. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 18:37 · HOU 1 · Score 3-22
   (3:37) (No Huddle) 34-C.Houston left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 18:33 · HOU 2 · Score 3-23
   1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
9. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 8:11 · HOU 22 · Score 3-26
   (8:11) 1-M.Nugent 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
10. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 3:59 · NYJ 3 · Score 9-26
    (3:59) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 80-A.Johnson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Houston Texans Safety (+2) — Q4 3:54 · NYJ 2 · Score 11-26
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-D.Carr pass to 33-W.Lundy is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.