Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2013 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-10-20, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 17–16 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +7.79 total EPA, and +4.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.79 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (1:41) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum sacked at HOU 4 for -6 yards (91-T.Hali). FUMBLES (91-T.Hali) [91-T.Hali], RECOVERED by KC-56-D.Johnson at HOU 1. 56-D.Johnson to HOU 1 for no gain (75-D.Newton).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Smith · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +7.79 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +6.34 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Hopkins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +5.94 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.48 EPA/play
4. 4 D. McCluster · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +4.06 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Bowe · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.26 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Posey · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.60 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Avery · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.47 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Charles · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.25 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Charles (Q1 47:46)
• Houston Texans — D. Hopkins (C. Keenum pass) (Q2 45:00)
• Kansas City Chiefs — A. Smith (Q2 30:59)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — R. Bullock (Q1 53:17)
• Houston Texans — R. Bullock (Q3 24:27)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q3 21:10)
• Houston Texans — R. Bullock (Q3 19:26)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the KC 29 (Q1 53:17) — (8:17) 4-R.Bullock 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the HOU 1 (Q1 47:46) — (2:46) 25-J.Charles right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Lead block by A.Sherman; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q1 47:43) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the KC 29 (Q2 45:00); Houston Texans added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q2 44:54) — 4-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the HOU 5 (Q2 30:59) — (:59) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 30:56) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 6–3. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the KC 3 (Q3 24:27) — (9:27) 4-R.Bullock 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the HOU 4 (Q3 21:10) — (6:10) 6-R.Succop 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the KC 29 (Q3 19:26) — (4:26) 4-R.Bullock 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Houston Texans (Q4 1:41) — (1:41) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum sacked at HOU 4 for -6 yards (91-T.Hali). FUMBLES (91-T.Hali) [91-T.Hali], RECOVERED by KC-56-D.Johnson at HOU 1. 56-D.Johnson to HOU 1 for no gain (75-D.Newton). [WPA -26.4% · EPA -5.84]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 5:57) — (5:57) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right intended for 22-D.McCluster INTERCEPTED by 31-S.Keo at HOU 18. 31-S.Keo pushed ob at HOU 22 for 4 yards (73-J.Asamoah). The Replay Assistant challenged the [WPA -20.6% · EPA -3.22]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 13:50) — (13:50) 11-A.Smith pass incomplete short right to 84-S.McGrath [24-J.Joseph]. [WPA -17.4% · EPA -3.05]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 26:44) — (11:44) 25-J.Charles right tackle to KC 23 for 4 yards (99-J.Watt). FUMBLES (99-J.Watt), RECOVERED by HOU-25-K.Jackson at KC 28. 25-K.Jackson to KC 28 for no gain (84-S.McGrath). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -4.02]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 1:57) — (1:57) 2-D.Colquitt punts 31 yards to HOU 9, Center-43-T.Gafford, downed by KC-57-N.Johnson. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -0.20]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q4 1:41) — (1:41) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum sacked at HOU 4 for -6 yards (91-T.Hali). FUMBLES (91-T.Hali) [91-T.Hali], RECOVERED by KC-56-D.Johnson at HOU 1. 56-D.Johnson to HOU 1 for no gain (75-D.Newton). [WPA -26.4% · EPA -5.84]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 17:14) — (2:14) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 22-D.McCluster to HOU 34 for 43 yards (58-B.Reed). HOU-20-E.Reed was injured during the play. [WPA +13.4% · EPA +4.27]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 26:44) — (11:44) 25-J.Charles right tackle to KC 23 for 4 yards (99-J.Watt). FUMBLES (99-J.Watt), RECOVERED by HOU-25-K.Jackson at KC 28. 25-K.Jackson to KC 28 for no gain (84-S.McGrath). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -4.02]
• Houston Texans (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-24-B.Flowers, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +11.0% · EPA +3.96]

Quarterback report card

A.Smith led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 37 dropbacks · 62.2% completion · +4.3% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +7.79 total EPA
• C.Keenum (Houston Texans) · 32 dropbacks · 46.9% completion · +2.8% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.09 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Houston Texans -0.01, Kansas City Chiefs -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Houston Texans: 11 drives, -0.44 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, -2.99 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Smith (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 53:17 · KC 29 · Score 3-0
   (8:17) 4-R.Bullock 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
2. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 47:46 · HOU 1 · Score 3-6
   (2:46) 25-J.Charles right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Lead block by A.Sherman
3. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 47:43 · HOU 2 · Score 3-7
   6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · KC 29 · Score 9-7
   (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-24-B.Flowers, Defensive Holding, declined.
5. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 44:54 · KC 2 · Score 10-7
   4-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 30:59 · HOU 5 · Score 10-13
   (:59) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 30:56 · HOU 2 · Score 10-14
   6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 24:27 · KC 3 · Score 13-14
   (9:27) 4-R.Bullock 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
9. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 21:10 · HOU 4 · Score 13-17
   (6:10) 6-R.Succop 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 19:26 · KC 29 · Score 16-17
    (4:26) 4-R.Bullock 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.