FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 5 · October 9, 2022 · 9 min read

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 5 Recap

Texans defeat Jaguars 13–6 in Week 5

Marcus Jones led Fantasy Impact as Texans prevailed in a 13–6 Week 5 finish.

Houston Texans 13 1–3 Winner
Final 13–6
Jacksonville Jaguars 6 2–3
Winner
Houston Texans
Final score
13–6
Halftime
Tied 6–6 at halftime
Top passer
Trevor Lawrence
FantasyHQ MVP
Marcus Jones
Game date
October 9, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • Jordan Akins
    Jordan Akins 2 REC · 22 YDS +3.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Nico Collins
    Nico Collins 4 REC · 65 YDS +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Burkhead 3 CAR · 15 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Marcus Jones
    Marcus Jones 7 REC · 110 YDS +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Travis Etienne
    Travis Etienne 10 CAR · 71 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Manhertz
    Chris Manhertz 2 REC · 15 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Houston Texans defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 13–6 in Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-10-09, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+18.3% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans swung the momentum.

In Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-10-09, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 13–6 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 9 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -6.10 total EPA, and -10.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Jones (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.37 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+18.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (7:26) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-44-T.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 47 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-44-T.Walker, Neutral Zone Infraction, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Houston Texans0670013
Jacksonville Jaguars330006

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.37 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Akins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +3.59 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.79 EPA/play
  3. 3 N. Collins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.75 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +1.96 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Burkhead · Houston Texans · Rushing · +1.17 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Manhertz · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.95 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.85 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Arnold · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.80 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Jones — JAX · Receiving

M. Jones posted the highest total EPA (+5.37) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 11 counted snaps, they averaged +0.49 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.03 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (10:12) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 7-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Stingley at HOU -7. 24-D.Stingley to HOU 2 for 9 yards (16-T.Lawrence).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Houston Texans — D. Pierce (Q4 3:14)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson (Q1 46:25)
  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 42:29)
  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 33:28)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson (Q2 30:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 8 (Q1 46:25) — (1:25) 10-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 6–3. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 31 (Q2 42:29) — (12:29) 7-K.Fairbairn 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 33 (Q2 33:28) — (3:28) 7-K.Fairbairn 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 26 (Q2 30:11).

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 3:14) — (3:14) 31-D.Pierce up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 3:11) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Houston Texans (Q4 7:26) — (7:26) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-44-T.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 47 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-44-T.Walker, Neutral Zone Infraction, declined. [WPA +18.3% · EPA +2.51]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 25:12) — (10:12) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 7-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Stingley at HOU -7. 24-D.Stingley to HOU 2 for 9 yards (16-T.Lawrence). [WPA -17.2% · EPA -5.03]
  • Houston Texans (Q4 3:14) — (3:14) 31-D.Pierce up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.9% · EPA +0.89]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 28:26) — (13:26) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-M.Jones to HOU 29 for 17 yards (5-J.Pitre). [WPA +9.6% · EPA +1.87]
  • Houston Texans (Q4 5:02) — (5:02) 31-D.Pierce up the middle to JAX 2 for 20 yards (91-D.Smoot, 5-A.Cisco). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +1.99]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 25:12) — (10:12) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 7-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Stingley at HOU -7. 24-D.Stingley to HOU 2 for 9 yards (16-T.Lawrence). [WPA -17.2% · EPA -5.03]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 12:34) — (12:34) (Shotgun) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to HOU 38 for no gain (58-C.Kirksey; 96-M.Collins). [WPA -8.4% · EPA -3.10]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 38:10) — (8:10) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short middle to 13-C.Kirk (25-D.King). [WPA -7.9% · EPA -2.65]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 15:42) — (:42) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-M.Jones to JAX 31 for 20 yards (24-D.Stingley). [WPA +6.8% · EPA +2.54]

Quarterback report card

T.Lawrence led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 50 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -10.7% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -6.10 total EPA
  • D.Mills (Houston Texans) · 26 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · -1.7% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -1.83 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatHouston TexansJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play+0.005-0.109
Offensive success rate39.2%40.7%
Pass EPA/play-0.070-0.122
Rush EPA/play-0.050-0.127
Defensive EPA/play+0.109-0.005
Defensive success rate59.3%60.8%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Houston Texans generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.01 vs -0.11), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Houston Texans: 10 drives, +0.37 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, -9.36 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Jones (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Lawrence (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 46:25 · HOU 8 · Score 0-3
    (1:25) 10-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  2. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 42:29 · JAX 31 · Score 3-3
    (12:29) 7-K.Fairbairn 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
  3. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 33:28 · JAX 33 · Score 6-3
    (3:28) 7-K.Fairbairn 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:11 · HOU 26 · Score 6-6
    (:11) 10-R.Patterson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. Penalty on HOU-1-T.Smith, Defensive Offside, declined.
  5. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 3:14 · JAX 1 · Score 12-6
    (3:14) 31-D.Pierce up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 3:11 · JAX 15 · Score 13-6
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Houston Texans beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 13-6 in Week 5, 2022 on 2022-10-09.

What was the final score of Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Houston Texans 13, Jacksonville Jaguars 6 (HOU 13-6 JAX) in Week 5, 2022 on 2022-10-09.

What was the score by quarter in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Houston Texans 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q2: Houston Texans 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q4: Houston Texans 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Final: Houston Texans 13, Jacksonville Jaguars 6.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Houston Texans touchdown — D. Pierce (Q4 3:14) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — R. Patterson (Q1 46:25, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q2 42:29, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q2 33:28, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — R. Patterson (Q2 30:11, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 50.0% completion, -10.7% CPOE, -0.12 EPA per dropback, -6.10 total passing EPA. D. Mills (Houston Texans), 61.5% completion, -1.7% CPOE, -0.07 EPA per dropback, -1.83 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

M. Jones (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +5.37 on receiving plays. across 11 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.03 EPA): (10:12) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 7-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Stingley at HOU -7. 24-D.Stingley to HOU 2 for 9 yards (16-T.Lawrence).. The biggest win-probability swing was +18.3%.

Was Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Houston Texans won 13-6 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Houston Texans

Entered 0-3 Now 1-3 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 2-2 Now 2-3 L