FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 9 · November 3, 2019 · 10 min read

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2019 Week 9 Recap

Texans defeat Jaguars 26–3 in Week 9

Desmond Watson led Fantasy Impact as Texans prevailed in a 26–3 Week 9 finish.

Houston Texans 26 6–3 Winner
Final 26–3
Jacksonville Jaguars 3 4–5
Winner
Houston Texans
Final score
26–3
Halftime
Houston Texans 9–3 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
Gardner Minshew II
FantasyHQ MVP
Desmond Watson
Game date
November 3, 2019

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • Desmond Watson
    Desmond Watson 22/36 · 213 YDS · 2 TD +16.1 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Stills 4 REC · 52 YDS +6.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Dyontae Johnson
    Dyontae Johnson 5 REC · 68 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • R.Armstead 5 REC · 65 YDS +3.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Keelan Cole
    Keelan Cole 5 REC · 80 YDS +2.7 Fantasy Impact
  • S.DeValve 4 REC · 41 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Houston Texans defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 26–3 in Week 9 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-11-03, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-16.9% win probability) came in the second quarter when Houston Texans swung the momentum.

In Week 9 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-11-03, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 26–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -15.37 total EPA, and -6.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Watson (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.12 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.9% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (:11) (Field Goal formation) 7-K.Fairbairn 58 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Houston Texans36107026
Jacksonville Jaguars030003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Watson · Houston Texans · Passing · +16.12 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  2. 2 K. Stills · Houston Texans · Receiving · +5.96 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +4.53 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Akins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +4.19 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Armstead · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Cole · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.73 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Hopkins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.03 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Carter · Houston Texans · Receiving · +0.88 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Watson — HOU · Passing

D. Watson posted the highest total EPA (+16.12) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Houston Texans's efficiency. Across 36 counted snaps, they averaged +0.45 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.47 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (4:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep left intended for 89-J.Oliver INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [59-W.Mercilus] at JAX 40. 20-J.Reid to JAX 3 for 37 yards (89-J.Oliver; 74-C.Robinson). Penalty on JAX-65-B.Linder, Offen

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Houston Texans — D. Fells (D. Watson pass) (Q2 35:58)
  • Houston Texans — D. Johnson (Q3 15:38)
  • Houston Texans — D. Hopkins (D. Watson pass) (Q4 4:22)

Field goals

  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q1 53:24)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 31:52)
  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q3 20:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 3–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 34 (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) (Field Goal formation) 7-K.Fairbairn 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 6–3. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 35:58) — (5:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 87-D.Fells for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 12 (Q2 31:52) — (1:52) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Lambo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 24 (Q3 20:02) — (5:02) (Field Goal formation) 7-K.Fairbairn 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q3 15:38) — (:38) 25-D.Johnson right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 15:31) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 4:22); Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 4:19) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Houston Texans (Q2 30:11) — (:11) (Field Goal formation) 7-K.Fairbairn 58 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger. [WPA -16.9% · EPA -1.48]
  • Houston Texans (Q1 56:19) — (11:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson scrambles left end ran ob at JAX 37 for 5 yards (31-B.Borders). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +1.37]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 25:18) — (10:18) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. ran ob at HOU 4 for 19 yards. PENALTY on JAX-17-D.Chark Jr., Offensive Pass Interference, 9 yards, enforced at HOU 23 - No Play. [WPA -8.7% · EPA -1.14]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:06) — (:06) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short middle to 88-S.DeValve to HOU 35 for 17 yards (41-Z.Cunningham). [WPA -7.9% · EPA -0.23]
  • Houston Texans (Q1 55:45) — (10:45) 4-D.Watson pass incomplete deep left to 23-C.Hyde (36-R.Harrison). PENALTY on HOU-77-C.Clark, Illegal Blindside Block, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 37 - No Play. [WPA -7.6% · EPA -1.54]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 4:43) — (4:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep left intended for 89-J.Oliver INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [59-W.Mercilus] at JAX 40. 20-J.Reid to JAX 3 for 37 yards (89-J.Oliver; 74-C.Robinson). Penalty on JA [WPA -0.8% · EPA -6.47]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 3:52) — (3:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II scrambles up the middle to HOU 38 for 6 yards (54-J.Martin). FUMBLES (54-J.Martin), RECOVERED by HOU-41-Z.Cunningham at HOU 36. 41-Z.Cunningham to JAX 40 fo [WPA -0.0% · EPA -5.41]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 24:03) — (9:03) (Field Goal formation) 9-L.Cooke sacked at HOU 43 for -12 yards (28-B.Boddy-Calhoun). FUMBLES (28-B.Boddy-Calhoun) [35-K.Crossen], recovered by JAX-4-J.Lambo at 50. 4-J.Lambo to 50 for no gain [WPA -6.1% · EPA -3.83]
  • Houston Texans (Q3 17:25) — (2:25) (Shotgun) 23-C.Hyde right tackle ran ob at JAX 23 for 48 yards (31-B.Borders). [WPA +6.0% · EPA +3.36]

Quarterback report card

G.Minshew II led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 55 dropbacks · 49.1% completion · -6.7% CPOE · -0.28 EPA/play · -15.37 total EPA
  • D.Watson (Houston Texans) · 36 dropbacks · 61.1% completion · +13.4% CPOE · +0.45 EPA/play · +16.12 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatHouston TexansJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play+0.114-0.234
Offensive success rate48.1%36.2%
Pass EPA/play+0.448-0.343
Rush EPA/play-0.169-0.031
Defensive EPA/play+0.234-0.114
Defensive success rate63.7%51.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Houston Texans generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.11 vs -0.23), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Houston Texans: 10 drives, +9.27 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, -18.73 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • D. Watson (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • G.Minshew II (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • D. Watson (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 53:24 · JAX 34 · Score 3-0
    (8:24) (Field Goal formation) 7-K.Fairbairn 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  2. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 35:58 · JAX 1 · Score 9-0
    (5:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 87-D.Fells for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 31:52 · HOU 12 · Score 9-3
    (1:52) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Lambo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Orzech, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  4. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 20:02 · JAX 24 · Score 12-3
    (5:02) (Field Goal formation) 7-K.Fairbairn 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  5. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 15:38 · JAX 1 · Score 18-3
    (:38) 25-D.Johnson right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 15:31 · JAX 15 · Score 19-3
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  7. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 4:22 · JAX 1 · Score 25-3
    (4:22) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on JAX-21-A.Bouye, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
  8. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 4:19 · JAX 15 · Score 26-3
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Houston Texans beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 26-3 in Week 9, 2019 on 2019-11-03.

What was the final score of Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Houston Texans 26, Jacksonville Jaguars 3 (HOU 26-3 JAX) in Week 9, 2019 on 2019-11-03.

What was the score by quarter in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Houston Texans 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Houston Texans 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q3: Houston Texans 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q4: Houston Texans 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Final: Houston Texans 26, Jacksonville Jaguars 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Houston Texans touchdown — D. Fells (D. Watson pass) (Q2 35:58) Houston Texans touchdown — D. Johnson (Q3 15:38) Houston Texans touchdown — D. Hopkins (D. Watson pass) (Q4 4:22) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q1 53:24, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — J. Lambo (Q2 31:52, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q3 20:02, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

G.Minshew II (Jacksonville Jaguars), 49.1% completion, -6.7% CPOE, -0.28 EPA per dropback, -15.37 total passing EPA. D. Watson (Houston Texans), 61.1% completion, +13.4% CPOE, +0.45 EPA per dropback, +16.12 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

D. Watson (Houston Texans) led the game in total EPA with +16.12 on passing plays. across 36 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.47 EPA): (4:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep left intended for 89-J.Oliver INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Reid [59-W.Mercilus] at JAX 40. 20-J.Reid to JAX 3 for 37 yards (89-J.Oliver; 74-C.Robi. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.9%.

Season records after this game

Houston Texans

Entered 5-3 Now 6-3 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 4-4 Now 4-5 L