Game story
In Week 7 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-21, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 20–7 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
C. Kessler (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -4.95 total EPA, and +6.7% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, W. Fuller (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.21 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-12.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (13:49) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles up the middle to JAX 34 for 3 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus), RECOVERED by HOU-90-J.Clowney at JAX 36. 90-J.Clowney to JAX 36 for no gain (12-D.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | 6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 W. Fuller · Houston Texans · Receiving · +6.21 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
- 2 D. Moncrief · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
- 3 T. Ervin · Houston Texans · Receiving · +3.06 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.06 EPA/play
- 4 D. Hopkins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.05 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
- 5 D. Westbrook · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.47 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
- 6 L. Miller · Houston Texans · Rushing · +1.22 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
- 7 D. Grinnage · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.71 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
- 8 T. Yeldon · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.55 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
W. Fuller — HOU · Receiving
W. Fuller posted the highest total EPA (+6.21) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Houston Texans's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.78 EPA per play.
The signature play (-4.37 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (13:49) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles up the middle to JAX 34 for 3 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus), RECOVERED by HOU-90-J.Clowney at JAX 36. 90-J.Clowney to JAX 36 for no gain (12-D.Westbrook).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Houston Texans — L. Miller
- Houston Texans — D. Hopkins (D. Watson pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Yeldon (C. Kessler pass)
Field goals
- Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn
- Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 6–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 26 (Q1 55:27) — (10:27) 7-K.Fairbairn 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 29 (Q1 48:24) — (3:24) 7-K.Fairbairn 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel..
The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q2 35:36) — (5:36) (Shotgun) 26-L.Miller up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 35:31) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel..
The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 10 (Q3 25:56) — (10:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 10-D.Hopkins for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 25:50) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 6 (Q3 17:24); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 10 (Q3 17:18) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 58:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles up the middle to JAX 34 for 3 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus), RECOVERED by HOU-90-J.Clowney at JAX 36. 90-J.Clowney to JAX 36 for no gain (12-D.
- Houston Texans (Q1 51:06) — (6:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins ran ob at JAX 44 for 31 yards.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 40:33) — (10:33) 9-L.Cooke punts 26 yards to HOU 40, Center-45-M.Overton, out of bounds. JAX-52-D.Payne was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
- Houston Texans (Q1) — GAME Team Captains: JJ 5 93 65 50 ; HT 4 24 10 32 99
- Houston Texans (Q1 56:08) — (11:08) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at JAX 26 for -8 yards (56-D.Fowler).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 58:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles up the middle to JAX 34 for 3 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus), RECOVERED by HOU-90-J.Clowney at JAX 36. 90-J.Clowney to JAX 36 for no gain (12-D.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 5:37) — (5:37) (Shotgun) 6-C.Kessler pass short middle intended for 24-T.Yeldon INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at HOU 20. 32-T.Mathieu to HOU 26 for 6 yards (24-T.Yeldon).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 26:37) — (11:37) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles up the middle to JAX 8 for 4 yards (41-Z.Cunningham). FUMBLES (41-Z.Cunningham), RECOVERED by HOU-25-K.Jackson at JAX 12. 25-K.Jackson to JAX 12 for no gain (24
- Houston Texans (Q1 51:06) — (6:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins ran ob at JAX 44 for 31 yards.
Quarterback report card
C.Kessler led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- C.Kessler (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 36 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · +6.7% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -4.95 total EPA
- D.Watson (Houston Texans) · 30 dropbacks · 40.0% completion · -9.8% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.52 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Houston Texans | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.071 | -0.246 |
| Offensive success rate | 34.1% | 41.5% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.017 | -0.252 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.043 | -0.296 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.246 | +0.071 |
| Defensive success rate | 58.5% | 65.9% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Houston Texans generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.07 vs -0.25), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Houston Texans: 13 drives, -5.85 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -20.18 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- W. Fuller (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- C. Kessler (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- D. Watson (HOU) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 55:27 · JAX 26 · Score 3-0
(10:27) 7-K.Fairbairn 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel. - Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 48:24 · JAX 29 · Score 6-0
(3:24) 7-K.Fairbairn 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel. - Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 35:36 · JAX 5 · Score 12-0
(5:36) (Shotgun) 26-L.Miller up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 35:31 · JAX 15 · Score 13-0
7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel. - Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 25:56 · JAX 10 · Score 19-0
(10:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 10-D.Hopkins for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 25:50 · JAX 15 · Score 20-0
7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-8-T.Daniel. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 17:24 · HOU 6 · Score 20-6
(2:24) (Shotgun) 6-C.Kessler right end to HOU 5 for 1 yard. 6-C.Kessler pass short right to 24-T.Yeldon for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on JAX-6-C.Kessler, Ille - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 17:18 · HOU 10 · Score 20-7
4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The Houston Texans beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-7 in Week 7, 2018 on 2018-10-21.
What was the final score of Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The final score was Houston Texans 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 7 (HOU 20-7 JAX) in Week 7, 2018 on 2018-10-21.
What was the score by quarter in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Q1: Houston Texans 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Houston Texans 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q3: Houston Texans 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Final: Houston Texans 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 7.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Houston Texans touchdown — L. Miller (Q2 35:36) Houston Texans touchdown — D. Hopkins (D. Watson pass) (Q3 25:56) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Yeldon (C. Kessler pass) (Q3 17:24) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q1 55:27, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q1 48:24, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
C. Kessler (Jacksonville Jaguars), 58.3% completion, +6.7% CPOE, -0.14 EPA per dropback, -4.95 total passing EPA. D. Watson (Houston Texans), 40.0% completion, -9.8% CPOE, +0.02 EPA per dropback, +0.52 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
W. Fuller (Houston Texans) led the game in total EPA with +6.21 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.37 EPA): (13:49) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles scrambles up the middle to JAX 34 for 3 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus), RECOVERED by HOU-90-J.Clowney at JAX 36. 90-J.Clowney to JAX 3. The biggest win-probability swing was -12.9%.
Season records after this game
Houston Texans
Entered 3-3 Now 4-3 W
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 3-3 Now 3-4 L
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