Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2010 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-11-14, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 31–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +19.64 total EPA, and +16.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +19.64 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+26.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (:03) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 80-M.Thomas for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. HT29 batted on HT1, caught by JJ80 on HT1. Penalty on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +19.64 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Schaub · Houston Texans · Passing · +19.05 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +14.66 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.63 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +10.47 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Walter · Houston Texans · Receiving · +8.36 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
6. 6 Z. Miller · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.99 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +2.92 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +2.27 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones-Drew (Q2 35:38)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones-Drew (Q2 30:42)
• Houston Texans — A. Foster (Q3 26:24)
• Houston Texans — A. Johnson (M. Schaub pass) (Q3 20:17)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — Z. Miller (D. Garrard pass) (Q4 7:08)
• Houston Texans — K. Walter (M. Schaub pass) (Q4 4:26)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Thomas (D. Garrard pass) (Q4 0:03)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q1 54:04)
• Houston Texans — N. Rackers (Q1 49:35)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 20 (Q1 54:04) — (9:04) 10-J.Scobee 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 6 (Q1 49:35) — (4:35) 4-N.Rackers 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-1-M.Turk..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 14–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 3 (Q2 35:38) — (5:38) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 35:32) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 9 (Q2 30:42) — (:42) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 30:38) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 14–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q3 26:24) — (11:24) 23-A.Foster up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 26:19) — 4-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-1-M.Turk.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 9 (Q3 20:17) — (5:17) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 80-A.Johnson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 20:10) — 4-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-1-M.Turk..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 14–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 52 (Q4 7:08) — (7:08) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 86-Z.Miller for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 6:57) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 18 (Q4 4:26); Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 4:19); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 50 (Q4 0:03); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 0:00) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:03) — (:03) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 80-M.Thomas for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. HT29 batted on HT1, caught by JJ80 on HT1. Penalty on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, declined. [WPA +26.2% · EPA +6.67]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) 10-J.Scobee 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. [WPA -24.3% · EPA -3.15]
• Houston Texans (Q4 0:16) — (:16) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle to 85-J.Dreessen to JAX 37 for 8 yards (37-S.Considine). FUMBLES (37-S.Considine), RECOVERED by JAX-56-J.Durant at JAX 34. 56-J.Durant to JAX 34 for no gai [WPA -24.3% · EPA -0.69]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:08) — (7:08) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 86-Z.Miller for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.7% · EPA +4.51]
• Houston Texans (Q4 4:26) — (4:26) 8-M.Schaub pass incomplete deep left to 83-K.Walter. Houston challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 8-M.Schaub pass deep left to 83-K.Walter for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.1% · EPA +2.59]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:03) — (:03) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 80-M.Thomas for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. HT29 batted on HT1, caught by JJ80 on HT1. Penalty on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, declined. [WPA +26.2% · EPA +6.67]
• Houston Texans (Q3 28:26) — (13:26) 8-M.Schaub pass deep middle to 80-A.Johnson to JAX 6 for 60 yards (21-D.Cox). [WPA +6.9% · EPA +4.82]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:08) — (7:08) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 86-Z.Miller for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.7% · EPA +4.51]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) 10-J.Scobee 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. [WPA -24.3% · EPA -3.15]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 37 dropbacks · 64.9% completion · +16.8% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +19.64 total EPA
• M.Schaub (Houston Texans) · 37 dropbacks · 59.5% completion · +6.2% CPOE · +0.51 EPA/play · +19.05 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Houston Texans +0.18, Jacksonville Jaguars +0.21) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Houston Texans: 11 drives, +13.23 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +19.28 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Garrard (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• M. Schaub (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 54:04 · HOU 20 · Score 0-3
   (9:04) 10-J.Scobee 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
2. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 49:35 · JAX 6 · Score 3-3
   (4:35) 4-N.Rackers 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-1-M.Turk.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 35:38 · HOU 3 · Score 3-9
   (5:38) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 35:32 · HOU 2 · Score 3-10
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 30:42 · HOU 9 · Score 3-16
   (:42) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 30:38 · HOU 2 · Score 3-17
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
7. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 26:24 · JAX 1 · Score 9-17
   (11:24) 23-A.Foster up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 26:19 · JAX 2 · Score 10-17
   4-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-1-M.Turk.
9. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 20:17 · JAX 9 · Score 16-17
   (5:17) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 80-A.Johnson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 20:10 · JAX 2 · Score 17-17
    4-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-1-M.Turk.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 7:08 · HOU 52 · Score 17-23
    (7:08) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 86-Z.Miller for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 6:57 · HOU 2 · Score 17-24
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
13. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 4:26 · JAX 18 · Score 23-24
    (4:26) 8-M.Schaub pass incomplete deep left to 83-K.Walter. Houston challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 8-M.Schaub pass deep left
14. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 4:19 · JAX 2 · Score 24-24
    4-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-1-M.Turk. PENALTY on JAX-69-L.Douzable, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 0:03 · HOU 50 · Score 24-30
    (:03) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 80-M.Thomas for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. HT29 batted on HT1, caught by JJ80 on HT1. Penalty on JAX, Unsportsmanlike Co
16. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 0:00 · HOU 2 · Score 24-31
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.