Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2009 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-12-06, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 23–18 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +7.59 total EPA, and +0.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.59 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (8:36) 22-C.Brown pass short right intended for 85-J.Dreessen INTERCEPTED by 42-G.Alexander at JAX 1. 42-G.Alexander to JAX 2 for 1 yard (63-C.White).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +7.59 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Schaub · Houston Texans · Passing · +6.20 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
3. 3 Z. Miller · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +6.08 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.03 EPA/play
4. 4 N. Hughes · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.51 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.51 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Walter · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.97 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.87 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.87 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.74 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Holt · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.65 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — N. Hughes (D. Garrard pass) (Q2 44:16)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — E. Wilford (D. Garrard pass) (Q2 37:12)
• Houston Texans — C. Brown (Q2 32:00)
• Houston Texans — A. Johnson (M. Schaub pass) (Q4 4:07)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q1 55:50)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:10)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q3 19:37)
• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q3 15:16)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 33 (Q1 55:50) — (10:50) 10-J.Scobee 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 17–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 35 (Q2 44:16) — (14:16) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 16-N.Hughes for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 44:08) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 4 (Q2 37:12) — (7:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 85-E.Wilford for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 37:06) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 8 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 22-C.Brown right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 31:56) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dreessen, Holder-1-M.Turk.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 28 (Q2 30:10) — (:10) 10-J.Scobee 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 5–3. Houston Texans registered a safety from the HOU 99 (Q3 27:32) — (12:32) 9-D.Garrard up the middle tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (54-Z.Diles).; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 6 (Q3 19:37) — (4:37) 10-J.Scobee 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 14 (Q3 15:16) — (:16) 3-K.Brown 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dreessen, Holder-1-M.Turk..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 6–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 4:07) — (4:07) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 80-A.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Houston Texans (Q4 8:36) — (8:36) 22-C.Brown pass short right intended for 85-J.Dreessen INTERCEPTED by 42-G.Alexander at JAX 1. 42-G.Alexander to JAX 2 for 1 yard (63-C.White). [WPA -10.0% · EPA -5.10]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 57:48) — (12:48) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 89-M.Lewis to HOU 24 for 47 yards (54-Z.Diles; 34-D.Barber). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.87]
• Houston Texans (Q3 17:28) — (2:28) 1-M.Turk punts 50 yards to JAX 12, Center-85-J.Dreessen. 80-M.Thomas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by HOU-11-A.Davis at JAX 16. 11-A.Davis to JAX 16 for no gain (29-W.Middleton). [WPA +7.5% · EPA +5.64]
• Houston Texans (Q1) — GAME Team Captains: JJ - 9,24,91,57,32; HT - 80,90,59,1,57 [WPA -7.2% · EPA -1.63]
• Houston Texans (Q3 25:28) — (10:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle intended for 89-D.Anderson INTERCEPTED by 56-J.Durant (42-G.Alexander) at JAX 33. 56-J.Durant to HOU 40 for 27 yards (76-D.Brown). [WPA -6.6% · EPA -5.61]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q3 17:28) — (2:28) 1-M.Turk punts 50 yards to JAX 12, Center-85-J.Dreessen. 80-M.Thomas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by HOU-11-A.Davis at JAX 16. 11-A.Davis to JAX 16 for no gain (29-W.Middleton). [WPA +7.5% · EPA +5.64]
• Houston Texans (Q3 25:28) — (10:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle intended for 89-D.Anderson INTERCEPTED by 56-J.Durant (42-G.Alexander) at JAX 33. 56-J.Durant to HOU 40 for 27 yards (76-D.Brown). [WPA -6.6% · EPA -5.61]
• Houston Texans (Q4 8:36) — (8:36) 22-C.Brown pass short right intended for 85-J.Dreessen INTERCEPTED by 42-G.Alexander at JAX 1. 42-G.Alexander to JAX 2 for 1 yard (63-C.White). [WPA -10.0% · EPA -5.10]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 38:26) — (8:26) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 86-Z.Miller to HOU 10 for 62 yards (41-B.McCain). PENALTY on HOU-41-B.McCain, Unnecessary Roughness, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 10. [WPA +5.9% · EPA +5.10]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 34 dropbacks · 44.1% completion · +0.3% CPOE · +0.22 EPA/play · +7.59 total EPA
• M.Schaub (Houston Texans) · 32 dropbacks · 59.4% completion · +4.6% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +6.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Houston Texans: 13 drives, -1.63 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, +3.80 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Schaub (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 55:50 · HOU 33 · Score 0-3
   (10:50) 10-J.Scobee 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 44:16 · HOU 35 · Score 0-9
   (14:16) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 16-N.Hughes for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 44:08 · HOU 2 · Score 0-10
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 37:12 · HOU 4 · Score 0-16
   (7:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 85-E.Wilford for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 37:06 · HOU 2 · Score 0-17
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
6. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · JAX 8 · Score 6-17
   (2:00) 22-C.Brown right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 31:56 · JAX 2 · Score 7-17
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dreessen, Holder-1-M.Turk.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:10 · HOU 28 · Score 7-20
   (:10) 10-J.Scobee 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
9. Houston Texans Safety (+2) — Q3 27:32 · HOU 99 · Score 9-20
   (12:32) 9-D.Garrard up the middle tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (54-Z.Diles).
10. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 19:37 · HOU 6 · Score 9-23
    (4:37) 10-J.Scobee 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
11. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 15:16 · JAX 14 · Score 12-23
    (:16) 3-K.Brown 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dreessen, Holder-1-M.Turk.
12. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 4:07 · JAX 1 · Score 18-23
    (4:07) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 80-A.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.