Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2006 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-11-12, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 13–10 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -15.58 total EPA, and -19.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (2:27) 9-D.Garrard pass intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Faggins at HOU 43. 38-D.Faggins to HOU 43 for no gain (18-M.Jones).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Carr · Houston Texans · Passing · +6.30 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
2. 2 O. Daniels · Houston Texans · Receiving · +5.50 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +4.48 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
4. 4 E. Wilford · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.44 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
5. 5 F. Taylor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.23 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Carr · Houston Texans · Rushing · +2.28 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.20 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Williams · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.99 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.99 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Houston Texans — W. Lundy (Q1 56:11)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones-Drew (Q4 4:36)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q1 49:55)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 44:53)
• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q3 19:58)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 56:11) — (11:11) 33-W.Lundy up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 56:08) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 6 (Q1 49:55) — (4:55) 3-K.Brown 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 26 (Q2 44:53) — (14:53) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 3–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 10 (Q3 19:58) — (4:58) 3-K.Brown 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 3 (Q4 4:36) — (4:36) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 4:32) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 32:27) — (2:27) 9-D.Garrard pass intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Faggins at HOU 43. 38-D.Faggins to HOU 43 for no gain (18-M.Jones). [WPA -15.3% · EPA -3.91]
• Houston Texans (Q1 56:32) — (11:32) 8-D.Carr pass deep right to 80-A.Johnson ran ob at JAX 1 for 41 yards. [WPA +14.8% · EPA +3.59]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 23:05) — (8:05) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 92-A.Weaver (38-D.Faggins) at HOU 48. 92-A.Weaver to JAX 31 for 21 yards (63-B.Meester). [WPA -13.5% · EPA -5.62]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:25) — (7:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Robinson at HOU -5. Touchback. [WPA -13.5% · EPA -4.13]
• Houston Texans (Q2 34:41) — (4:41) 3-K.Brown 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. [WPA -10.3% · EPA -3.29]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 23:05) — (8:05) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 92-A.Weaver (38-D.Faggins) at HOU 48. 92-A.Weaver to JAX 31 for 21 yards (63-B.Meester). [WPA -13.5% · EPA -5.62]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 54:16) — (9:16) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 87-G.Wrighster INTERCEPTED by 56-M.Greenwood (59-D.Ryans) [59-D.Ryans] at JAX 41. 56-M.Greenwood to JAX 41 for no gain (87-G.Wrighster). [WPA -9.1% · EPA -4.23]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:25) — (7:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Robinson at HOU -5. Touchback. [WPA -13.5% · EPA -4.13]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 32:27) — (2:27) 9-D.Garrard pass intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Faggins at HOU 43. 38-D.Faggins to HOU 43 for no gain (18-M.Jones). [WPA -15.3% · EPA -3.91]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 41 dropbacks · 36.6% completion · -19.9% CPOE · -0.38 EPA/play · -15.58 total EPA
• D.Carr (Houston Texans) · 37 dropbacks · 43.2% completion · -9.6% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +6.30 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Houston Texans generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.08 vs -0.19), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Houston Texans: 11 drives, -7.79 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -13.46 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Carr (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Garrard (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• D. Carr (HOU) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 56:11 · JAX 1 · Score 6-0
   (11:11) 33-W.Lundy up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 56:08 · JAX 2 · Score 7-0
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
3. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 49:55 · JAX 6 · Score 10-0
   (4:55) 3-K.Brown 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 44:53 · HOU 26 · Score 10-3
   (14:53) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
5. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 19:58 · JAX 10 · Score 13-3
   (4:58) 3-K.Brown 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 4:36 · HOU 3 · Score 13-9
   (4:36) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 4:32 · HOU 2 · Score 13-10
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.