Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2004 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-11-14, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 49–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with -21.75 total EPA.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.33 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+7.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (13:19) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark to HOU 39 for 21 yards (52-K.Wong).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +14.33 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Stokley · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +12.08 total EPA · 5 snaps · +2.42 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +10.26 total EPA · 3 snaps · +3.42 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Bradford · Houston Texans · Receiving · +5.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.96 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Gaffney · Houston Texans · Receiving · +5.58 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.86 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.00 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Johnson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +4.01 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Davis · Houston Texans · Receiving · +3.94 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — B. Stokley (P. Manning pass) (Q1 52:57)
• Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q2 42:01)
• Indianapolis Colts — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q2 34:06)
• Indianapolis Colts — B. Stokley (P. Manning pass) (Q3 29:13)
• Indianapolis Colts — B. Sanders (Q3 28:12)
• Houston Texans — D. Davis (Q3 17:32)
• Indianapolis Colts — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q3 16:50)
• Houston Texans — D. Davis (Q4 7:50)
• Indianapolis Colts — V. Hutchins (Q4 1:47)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 4 (Q1 52:57) — (7:57) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q1 52:52) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 5 (Q2 42:01) — (12:01) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 41:55) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 1 (Q2 34:06) — (4:06) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 34:02) — (Kick formation) 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. HOU - R.Smith (99) injured on play..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 21–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 69 (Q3 29:13) — (14:13) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 29:01) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 56 (Q3 28:12); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 28:01) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q3 17:32) — (2:32) 37-D.Davis left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 17:29) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 80 (Q3 16:50) — (1:50) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 16:36) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 7:50) — (7:50) 37-D.Davis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 7:47) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the IND 30 (Q4 1:47); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 1:35) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 58:19) — (13:19) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark to HOU 39 for 21 yards (52-K.Wong). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +2.26]
• Houston Texans (Q1 51:23) — (6:23) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass to 85-C.Bradford to HOU 37 for 19 yards (21-B.Sanders). PENALTY on IND-93-D.Freeney, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 37. [WPA +7.0% · EPA +3.85]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 56:10) — (11:10) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 81-M.Pollard to HOU 18 for 17 yards (56-J.Foreman). [WPA +5.3% · EPA +2.21]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 52:57) — (7:57) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.2% · EPA +2.44]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 48:39) — (3:39) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at IND 17 for -9 yards (52-K.Wong). FUMBLES (52-K.Wong), recovered by IND-83-B.Stokley at IND 12. 83-B.Stokley to IND 18 for 6 yards (93-J.Babin). Minus 8 sack yar [WPA -4.4% · EPA -2.53]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q4 1:47) — (1:47) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 27-V.Hutchins at IND 23. 27-V.Hutchins for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on IND-21-B.Sanders, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA -0.0% · EPA -9.70]
• Houston Texans (Q3 28:12) — (13:12) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr sacked at HOU 41 for -3 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by IND-21-B.Sanders at HOU 37. 21-B.Sanders for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Minus 7 sack yards. [WPA -0.3% · EPA -7.52]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 16:50) — (1:50) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.0% · EPA +7.18]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 29:13) — (14:13) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.2% · EPA +5.60]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Houston Texans) · 46 dropbacks · 47.8% completion · -0.47 EPA/play · -21.75 total EPA
• P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 30 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +0.48 EPA/play · +14.33 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.11 vs -0.25), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Houston Texans: 14 drives, -25.77 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +8.45 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 52:57 · HOU 4 · Score 0-6
   (7:57) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 52:52 · HOU 2 · Score 0-7
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 42:01 · HOU 5 · Score 0-13
   (12:01) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 41:55 · HOU 2 · Score 0-14
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 34:06 · HOU 1 · Score 0-20
   (4:06) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 34:02 · HOU 2 · Score 0-21
   (Kick formation) 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. HOU - R.Smith (99) injured on play.
7. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 29:13 · HOU 69 · Score 0-27
   (14:13) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 69 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 29:01 · HOU 2 · Score 0-28
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
9. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 28:12 · IND 56 · Score 0-34
   (13:12) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr sacked at HOU 41 for -3 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by IND-21-B.Sanders at HOU 37. 21-B.Sanders for 37 yard
10. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 28:01 · HOU 2 · Score 0-35
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
11. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 17:32 · IND 1 · Score 6-35
    (2:32) 37-D.Davis left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 17:29 · IND 2 · Score 7-35
    3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
13. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 16:50 · HOU 80 · Score 7-41
    (1:50) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 16:36 · HOU 2 · Score 7-42
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
15. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 7:50 · IND 1 · Score 13-42
    (7:50) 37-D.Davis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 7:47 · IND 2 · Score 14-42
    3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
17. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 1:47 · IND 30 · Score 14-48
    (1:47) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 27-V.Hutchins at IND 23. 27-V.Hutchins for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on IND-21-B.Sanders, Taunt
18. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 1:35 · HOU 2 · Score 14-49
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.