Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers: 2024 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-10-20, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 24–22 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 36 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Love (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +2.23 total EPA, and +6.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Doubs (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.28 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+35.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (:03) 17-B.McManus 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Doubs · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.28 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Kraft · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Love · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +2.23 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
4. 4 X. Hutchinson · Houston Texans · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Melton · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.54 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.54 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Reed · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.52 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Stover · Houston Texans · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Ogunbowale · Houston Texans · Rushing · +0.92 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — T. Kraft (J. Love pass) (Q2 43:20)
• Houston Texans — J. Mixon (Q2 41:56)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Wicks (J. Love pass) (Q2 38:57)
• Houston Texans — J. Mixon (Q2 31:16)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Jacobs (J. Love pass) (Q3 22:31)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q1 56:51)
• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 34:34)
• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q4 1:48)
• Green Bay Packers — B. McManus (Q4 0:03)
• Green Bay Packers — unlisted player (Q4 0:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 3–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the GB 5 (Q1 56:51).

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 22–14. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the HOU 14 (Q2 43:20) — (13:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 43:16) — 17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the GB 2 (Q2 41:56) — (11:56) (Shotgun) 28-J.Mixon left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 41:52) — 15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the HOU 30 (Q2 38:57) — (8:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 13-D.Wicks for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 38:51) — 17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the GB 34 (Q2 34:34) — (4:34) 15-K.Fairbairn 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the GB 4 (Q2 31:16) — (1:16) 28-J.Mixon left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the GB 2 (Q2 31:13).

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the HOU 8 (Q3 22:31) — (7:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 8-J.Jacobs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q3 22:25) — 17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 6–3. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the GB 17 (Q4 1:48) — (1:48) 15-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the HOU 26 (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 17-B.McManus 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal (Q4 0:00) — END GAME.

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 17-B.McManus 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. [WPA +35.2% · EPA +0.65]
• Houston Texans (Q2 42:41) — (12:41) 6-T.Townsend punts 55 yards to GB 14, Center-46-J.Weeks. 26-C.Ballentine MUFFS catch, touched at GB 11, RECOVERED by HOU-29-M.Stewart at GB 11. [WPA +19.9% · EPA +6.15]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:59) — (12:59) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right intended for 13-D.Wicks INTERCEPTED by 43-N.Hewitt (5-J.Pitre) at HOU 44. 43-N.Hewitt to GB 11 for 45 yards (75-S.Rhyan). [WPA -19.3% · EPA -7.24]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 34:24) — (4:24) 10-J.Love pass deep middle intended for 9-C.Watson INTERCEPTED by 21-C.Bullock [55-D.Hunter] at HOU 45. 21-C.Bullock to HOU 45 for no gain (9-C.Watson). [WPA -14.3% · EPA -3.61]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:53) — (:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love sacked at GB 31 for -8 yards (98-T.Settle). [WPA -11.4% · EPA -0.91]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:59) — (12:59) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right intended for 13-D.Wicks INTERCEPTED by 43-N.Hewitt (5-J.Pitre) at HOU 44. 43-N.Hewitt to GB 11 for 45 yards (75-S.Rhyan). [WPA -19.3% · EPA -7.24]
• Houston Texans (Q2 42:41) — (12:41) 6-T.Townsend punts 55 yards to GB 14, Center-46-J.Weeks. 26-C.Ballentine MUFFS catch, touched at GB 11, RECOVERED by HOU-29-M.Stewart at GB 11. [WPA +19.9% · EPA +6.15]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 34:24) — (4:24) 10-J.Love pass deep middle intended for 9-C.Watson INTERCEPTED by 21-C.Bullock [55-D.Hunter] at HOU 45. 21-C.Bullock to HOU 45 for no gain (9-C.Watson). [WPA -14.3% · EPA -3.61]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 38:57) — (8:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 13-D.Wicks for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.1% · EPA +3.53]

Quarterback report card

J.Love led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 38 dropbacks · 63.2% completion · +6.1% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.23 total EPA
• C.Stroud (Houston Texans) · 32 dropbacks · 31.2% completion · -14.8% CPOE · -0.28 EPA/play · -9.06 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Houston Texans +0.04, Green Bay Packers +0.03) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, +2.27 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Houston Texans: 12 drives, +3.17 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Doubs (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Love (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• C. Stroud (HOU) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 56:51 · GB 5 · Score 3-0
   (11:51) 15-K.Fairbairn 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend. PENALTY on GB-55-K.Enagbare, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enfor
2. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 43:20 · HOU 14 · Score 3-6
   (13:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 43:16 · HOU 15 · Score 3-7
   17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
4. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 41:56 · GB 2 · Score 9-7
   (11:56) (Shotgun) 28-J.Mixon left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 41:52 · GB 15 · Score 10-7
   15-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 38:57 · HOU 30 · Score 10-13
   (8:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 13-D.Wicks for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 38:51 · HOU 15 · Score 10-14
   17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
8. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 34:34 · GB 34 · Score 13-14
   (4:34) 15-K.Fairbairn 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
9. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 31:16 · GB 4 · Score 19-14
   (1:16) 28-J.Mixon left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 31:13 · GB 2 · Score 19-14
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-C.Stroud pass to 1-S.Diggs is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. PENALTY on GB-25-K.Nixon, Defensive Pass Interference, 1 yard, enforced
11. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 22:31 · HOU 8 · Score 19-20
    (7:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 8-J.Jacobs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 22:25 · HOU 15 · Score 19-21
    17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
13. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q4 1:48 · GB 17 · Score 22-21
    (1:48) 15-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-6-T.Townsend.
14. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 0:03 · HOU 26 · Score 22-24
    (:03) 17-B.McManus 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
15. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 0:00 · Score 22-24
    END GAME