FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 7 · October 23, 2022 · 11 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 7 Recap

Commanders defeat Packers 23–21 in Week 7

Curtis Samuel led Fantasy Impact as Commanders prevailed in a 21–23 Week 7 finish.

Green Bay Packers 21 3–4
Final 21–23
Washington Commanders 23 3–4 Winner
Winner
Washington Commanders
Final score
21–23
Halftime
Green Bay Packers 14–10 Washington Commanders
Top passer
Aaron Rodgers
FantasyHQ MVP
Curtis Samuel
Game date
October 23, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Andre Jones Jr.
    Andre Jones Jr. 9 REC · 53 YDS · 2 TD +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Allen Lazard
    Allen Lazard 6 REC · 55 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Am.Rodgers 2 REC · 20 YDS +0.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • Curtis Samuel
    Curtis Samuel 5 REC · 53 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Terry McLaurin
    Terry McLaurin 5 REC · 73 YDS · 1 TD +2.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Armani Rogers
    Armani Rogers 3 REC · 28 YDS +2.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Washington Commanders defeated the Green Bay Packers 23–21 in Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-10-23, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-24.4% win probability) came in the second quarter when Washington Commanders swung the momentum.

In Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-10-23, the Washington Commanders took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 23–21 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +0.18 total EPA, and -4.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Samuel (Washington Commanders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.23 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-24.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Washington Commanders changed the game: (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Campbell [52-R.Gary] at GB 37. 59-D.Campbell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Green Bay Packers7707021
Washington Commanders37103023

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Samuel · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +5.23 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.83 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. McLaurin · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.69 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Rogers · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.24 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Gibson · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.20 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  6. 6 B. Robinson · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +1.23 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Lazard · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.22 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Gibson · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +1.20 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Samuel — WAS · Receiving

C. Samuel posted the highest total EPA (+5.23) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Washington Commanders's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.65 EPA per play.

The signature play (-9.20 EPA) came from Washington Commanders: (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Campbell [52-R.Gary] at GB 37. 59-D.Campbell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 51:45)
  • Green Bay Packers — D. Campbell (Q2 43:42)
  • Washington Commanders — A. Gibson (T. Heinicke pass) (Q2 37:26)
  • Washington Commanders — T. McLaurin (T. Heinicke pass) (Q3 26:55)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 3:33)

Field goals

  • Washington Commanders — J. Slye (Q1 47:07)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Slye (Q3 15:11)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Slye (Q4 6:42)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the WAS 4 (Q1 51:45) — (6:45) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 33-A.Jones for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q1 51:38) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the GB 3 (Q1 47:07) — (2:07) 6-J.Slye 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 41 (Q2 43:42); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q2 43:29) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Washington Commanders found the end zone from the GB 9 (Q2 37:26) — (7:26) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short middle to 24-A.Gibson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 37:21) — 6-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way..

The third quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 10–0. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the GB 37 (Q3 26:55) — (11:55) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 26:49) — 6-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.; Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the GB 13 (Q3 15:11) — (:11) 6-J.Slye 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the GB 2 (Q4 6:42) — (6:42) 6-J.Slye 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the WAS 21 (Q4 3:33) — (3:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 33-A.Jones for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q4 3:26) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Washington Commanders (Q2 43:42) — (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Campbell [52-R.Gary] at GB 37. 59-D.Campbell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -24.4% · EPA -9.20]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:05) — (:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 85-R.Tonyan to WAS 33 for 21 yards. Lateral to 8-Am.Rodgers to WAS 38 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by GB-50-Z.Tom at WAS 39. 50-Z.Tom to WAS 41 fo [WPA -24.3% · EPA -0.21]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 0:29) — (:29) 5-T.Way punts 24 yards to GB 18, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, fair catch by 8-Am.Rodgers. [WPA -14.4% · EPA -0.26]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 37:26) — (7:26) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short middle to 24-A.Gibson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.4% · EPA +3.28]
  • Washington Commanders (Q3 26:55) — (11:55) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.1% · EPA +3.15]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Washington Commanders (Q2 43:42) — (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Campbell [52-R.Gary] at GB 37. 59-D.Campbell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -24.4% · EPA -9.20]
  • Washington Commanders (Q1 50:05) — (5:05) 5-T.Way punts 43 yards to GB 20, Center-54-C.Cheeseman. 8-Am.Rodgers MUFFS catch, touched at GB 18, RECOVERED by WAS-35-P.Butler at GB 17. [WPA +12.6% · EPA +5.39]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 10:10) — (10:10) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right to 10-C.Samuel pushed ob at GB 35 for 26 yards (21-E.Stokes). PENALTY on GB-21-E.Stokes, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at GB 35. [WPA +6.7% · EPA +3.82]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 32:52) — (2:52) 6-J.Slye 47 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way. [WPA -8.7% · EPA -3.55]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 40 dropbacks · 57.5% completion · -4.5% CPOE · +0.00 EPA/play · +0.18 total EPA
  • T.Heinicke (Washington Commanders) · 36 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · -2.4% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.21 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersWashington Commanders
Offensive EPA/play-0.058-0.018
Offensive success rate37.1%39.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.004-0.006
Rush EPA/play-0.177-0.062
Defensive EPA/play+0.018+0.058
Defensive success rate60.4%62.9%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Green Bay Packers -0.06, Washington Commanders -0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, -4.05 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 11 drives, -1.60 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Washington Commanders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • C. Samuel (Washington Commanders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 51:45 · WAS 4 · Score 6-0
    (6:45) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 33-A.Jones for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 51:38 · WAS 15 · Score 7-0
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  3. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q1 47:07 · GB 3 · Score 7-3
    (2:07) 6-J.Slye 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
  4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 43:42 · GB 41 · Score 13-3
    (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Campbell [52-R.Gary] at GB 37. 59-D.Campbell for 63 yards, TOUCHD
  5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 43:29 · WAS 15 · Score 14-3
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  6. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q2 37:26 · GB 9 · Score 14-9
    (7:26) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short middle to 24-A.Gibson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q2 37:21 · GB 15 · Score 14-10
    6-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
  8. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q3 26:55 · GB 37 · Score 14-16
    (11:55) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q3 26:49 · GB 15 · Score 14-17
    6-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
  10. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q3 15:11 · GB 13 · Score 14-20
    (:11) 6-J.Slye 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
  11. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q4 6:42 · GB 2 · Score 14-23
    (6:42) 6-J.Slye 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
  12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 3:33 · WAS 21 · Score 20-23
    (3:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 33-A.Jones for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 3:26 · WAS 15 · Score 21-23
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders?

The Washington Commanders beat the Green Bay Packers 23-21 in Week 7, 2022 on 2022-10-23.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 21, Washington Commanders 23 (GB 21-23 WAS) in Week 7, 2022 on 2022-10-23.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders?

Q1: Green Bay Packers 7, Washington Commanders 3; Q2: Green Bay Packers 7, Washington Commanders 7; Q3: Green Bay Packers 0, Washington Commanders 10; Q4: Green Bay Packers 7, Washington Commanders 3; Final: Green Bay Packers 21, Washington Commanders 23.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 51:45) Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Campbell (Q2 43:42) Washington Commanders touchdown — A. Gibson (T. Heinicke pass) (Q2 37:26) Washington Commanders touchdown — T. McLaurin (T. Heinicke pass) (Q3 26:55) Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 3:33) Washington Commanders field goal — J. Slye (Q1 47:07, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — J. Slye (Q3 15:11, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — J. Slye (Q4 6:42, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 57.5% completion, -4.5% CPOE, +0.00 EPA per dropback, +0.18 total passing EPA. T. Heinicke (Washington Commanders), 55.6% completion, -2.4% CPOE, -0.01 EPA per dropback, -0.21 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders?

C. Samuel (Washington Commanders) led the game in total EPA with +5.23 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-9.20 EPA): (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short right intended for 23-J.McKissic INTERCEPTED by 59-D.Campbell [52-R.Gary] at GB 37. 59-D.Campbell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -24.4%.

Was Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders a close game?

Yes — the margin was 2 points. Washington Commanders won 23-21 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 3-3 Now 3-4 L

Washington Commanders

Entered 2-4 Now 3-4 W