Game story
In Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-09-25, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 14–12 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -6.86 total EPA, and +4.9% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, R. Doubs (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.27 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-19.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-T.Brady pass to 17-R.Gage is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 R. Doubs · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.27 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
- 2 A. Lazard · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.11 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
- 3 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.52 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.26 EPA/play
- 4 J. Darden · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.37 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
- 5 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.34 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
- 6 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +1.16 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.03 EPA/play
- 7 T. Davis · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.00 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
- 8 K. Rudolph · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.77 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
R. Doubs — GB · Receiving
R. Doubs posted the highest total EPA (+5.27) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.66 EPA per play.
The signature play (-4.90 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (11:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 17-R.Gage to GB 49 for 5 yards (25-K.Nixon). FUMBLES (25-K.Nixon), RECOVERED by GB-90-J.Reed at 50.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Green Bay Packers — R. Doubs (A. Rodgers pass)
- Green Bay Packers — A. Lazard (A. Rodgers pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Gage (T. Brady pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 27 (Q1 54:10) — (9:10) 3-R.Succop 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q1 48:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-R.Doubs for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 48:01) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..
The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 6 (Q2 38:47) — (8:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 13-A.Lazard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 38:44) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 27 (Q3 21:27) — (6:27) 3-R.Succop 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 6–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 17-R.Gage for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:14) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-T.Brady pass to 17-R.Gage is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 17-R.Gage for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 57:36) — (12:36) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 15-C.Beasley to GB 38 for 4 yards (29-R.Douglas).
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 22:57) — (7:57) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 85-R.Tonyan INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan at GB 47. 26-L.Ryan to GB 47 for no gain (13-A.Lazard).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 54:54) — (9:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at GB 27 for -6 yards (97-K.Clark).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 26:25) — (11:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 17-R.Gage to GB 49 for 5 yards (25-K.Nixon). FUMBLES (25-K.Nixon), RECOVERED by GB-90-J.Reed at 50.
- Green Bay Packers (Q2 32:09) — (2:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 33-A.Jones to TB 2 for 3 yards (50-V.Vea; 54-L.David). FUMBLES (50-V.Vea), RECOVERED by TB-26-L.Ryan at TB 0. Touchback.
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 22:57) — (7:57) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 85-R.Tonyan INTERCEPTED by 26-L.Ryan at GB 47. 26-L.Ryan to GB 47 for no gain (13-A.Lazard).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 17-R.Gage for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 50 dropbacks · 62.0% completion · +4.9% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -6.86 total EPA
- A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 37 dropbacks · 73.0% completion · +10.9% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +1.16 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Green Bay Packers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.075 | -0.116 |
| Offensive success rate | 39.7% | 41.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.031 | -0.137 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.281 | -0.377 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.116 | +0.075 |
| Defensive success rate | 58.8% | 60.3% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Green Bay Packers -0.07, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.12) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, -5.82 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, -9.28 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- R. Doubs (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- T. Brady (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 54:10 · GB 27 · Score 0-3
(9:10) 3-R.Succop 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 48:07 · TB 5 · Score 6-3
(3:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-R.Doubs for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 48:01 · TB 15 · Score 7-3
2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 38:47 · TB 6 · Score 13-3
(8:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 13-A.Lazard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 38:44 · TB 15 · Score 14-3
2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 21:27 · GB 27 · Score 14-6
(6:27) 3-R.Succop 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 0:18 · GB 1 · Score 14-12
(:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 17-R.Gage for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Green Bay Packers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14-12 in Week 3, 2022 on 2022-09-25.
What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Green Bay Packers 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12 (GB 14-12 TB) in Week 3, 2022 on 2022-09-25.
What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Green Bay Packers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: Green Bay Packers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q3: Green Bay Packers 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Green Bay Packers 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6; Final: Green Bay Packers 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Green Bay Packers touchdown — R. Doubs (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 48:07) Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Lazard (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 38:47) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Gage (T. Brady pass) (Q4 0:18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q1 54:10, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q3 21:27, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 62.0% completion, +4.9% CPOE, -0.14 EPA per dropback, -6.86 total passing EPA. A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 73.0% completion, +10.9% CPOE, +0.03 EPA per dropback, +1.16 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
R. Doubs (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +5.27 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.90 EPA): (11:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 17-R.Gage to GB 49 for 5 yards (25-K.Nixon). FUMBLES (25-K.Nixon), RECOVERED by GB-90-J.Reed at 50.. The biggest win-probability swing was -19.5%.
Was Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 2 points. Green Bay Packers won 14-12 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Green Bay Packers
Entered 1-1 Now 2-1 W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 2-0 Now 2-1 L
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