Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2009 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-11-08, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 38–28 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with -5.34 total EPA, and -4.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Jones (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.52 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+22.8% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (5:58) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep left to 80-M.Clayton to GB 13 for 29 yards (31-A.Harris).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +7.52 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Ward · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.00 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.00 EPA/play
3. 3 K. Winslow · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.21 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Grant · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.98 total EPA · 21 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +2.97 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Stroughter · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.21 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Green · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.08 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
8. 8 G. Jennings · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — J. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 57:27)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Ward (J. Freeman pass) (Q1 53:52)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Grant (Q1 47:47)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Barber (Q2 42:09)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Driver (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 37:46)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Rodgers (Q4 13:04)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. Winslow (J. Freeman pass) (Q4 11:44)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — S. Stroughter (J. Freeman pass) (Q4 4:20)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — T. Jackson (Q4 0:52)

Field goals

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q2 30:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 74 (Q1 57:27) — (12:27) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 57:15) — (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q1 53:52) — (8:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 28-D.Ward for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 53:45) — (Kick formation) 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q1 47:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 25-R.Grant right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 47:39) — (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 59 (Q2 42:09); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 41:59) — (Kick formation) 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 32 (Q2 37:46) — (7:46) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 37:38) — (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 20 (Q2 30:11) — (:11) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 21–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 12 (Q4 13:04) — (13:04) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles left end for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 12:54) — (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 7 (Q4 11:44) — (11:44) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 82-K.Winslow for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 7 (Q4 4:20) — (4:20) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 18-S.Stroughter for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers registered a safety from the GB 2 (Q4 4:14) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Freeman pass to 80-M.Clayton is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 89 (Q4 0:52); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 0:35) — (Kick formation) 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 5:58) — (5:58) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep left to 80-M.Clayton to GB 13 for 29 yards (31-A.Harris). [WPA +22.8% · EPA +2.78]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 42:09) — (12:09) (Punt formation) 7-J.Kapinos punt is BLOCKED by 54-G.Hayes, Center-61-B.Goode, RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at GB 31. 20-R.Barber for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.7% · EPA -6.21]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 4:20) — (4:20) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 18-S.Stroughter for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.4% · EPA +4.21]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:27) — (12:27) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.1% · EPA +6.54]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:48) — (9:48) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle intended for 80-D.Driver INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at GB 44. 33-E.Mack to GB 8 for 36 yards (12-A.Rodgers). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -5.27]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:27) — (12:27) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.1% · EPA +6.54]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:52) — (:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 80-D.Driver INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson at GB 35. 36-T.Jackson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -5.5% · EPA -6.53]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 42:09) — (12:09) (Punt formation) 7-J.Kapinos punt is BLOCKED by 54-G.Hayes, Center-61-B.Goode, RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at GB 31. 20-R.Barber for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.7% · EPA -6.21]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:48) — (9:48) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle intended for 80-D.Driver INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at GB 44. 33-E.Mack to GB 8 for 36 yards (12-A.Rodgers). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -5.27]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 45 dropbacks · 37.8% completion · -4.7% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -5.34 total EPA
• J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 38 dropbacks · 36.8% completion · -7.2% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +2.97 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.11), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 16 drives, -10.11 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 16 drives, -2.22 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Jones (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• J. Freeman (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 57:27 · TB 74 · Score 6-0
   (12:27) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 57:15 · TB 2 · Score 7-0
   (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 53:52 · GB 6 · Score 7-6
   (8:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 28-D.Ward for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 53:45 · GB 2 · Score 7-7
   (Kick formation) 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 47:47 · TB 2 · Score 13-7
   (2:47) (Shotgun) 25-R.Grant right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 47:39 · TB 2 · Score 14-7
   (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 42:09 · TB 59 · Score 14-13
   (12:09) (Punt formation) 7-J.Kapinos punt is BLOCKED by 54-G.Hayes, Center-61-B.Goode, RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at GB 31. 20-R.Barber for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 41:59 · GB 2 · Score 14-14
   (Kick formation) 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 37:46 · TB 32 · Score 20-14
   (7:46) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 37:38 · TB 2 · Score 21-14
    (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn.
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:11 · GB 20 · Score 21-17
    (:11) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 13:04 · TB 12 · Score 27-17
    (13:04) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles left end for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 12:54 · TB 2 · Score 28-17
    (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-M.Flynn.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 11:44 · GB 7 · Score 28-23
    (11:44) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 82-K.Winslow for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 4:20 · GB 7 · Score 28-29
    (4:20) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 18-S.Stroughter for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Safety (+2) — Q4 4:14 · GB 2 · Score 28-31
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Freeman pass to 80-M.Clayton is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 0:52 · TB 89 · Score 28-37
    (:52) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 80-D.Driver INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson at GB 35. 36-T.Jackson for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 0:35 · GB 2 · Score 28-38
    (Kick formation) 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.