Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2006 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-12-10, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 30–19 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Favre (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +12.30 total EPA, and +4.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Driver (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.40 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+19.9% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (3:50) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 33.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Driver · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +14.40 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.60 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Favre · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +12.30 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
3. 3 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +5.84 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.95 EPA/play
4. 4 F. Gore · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.70 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Martin · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.69 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.84 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Jennings · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.58 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
7. 7 V. Morency · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +3.53 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Bryant · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.33 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — R. Martin (B. Favre pass) (Q1 51:03)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Green (Q2 36:48)
• San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (Q3 24:01)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Driver (B. Favre pass) (Q3 18:50)
• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (A. Smith pass) (Q4 5:27)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q1 53:06)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Rayner (Q2 44:53)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q2 31:05)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Rayner (Q4 14:20)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Rayner (Q4 8:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 6 (Q1 53:06) — (8:06) 6-J.Nedney 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 36 (Q1 51:03) — (6:03) 4-B.Favre pass deep left to 82-R.Martin for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 50:55) — 16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 5 (Q2 44:53) — (14:53) 16-D.Rayner 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q2 36:48) — (6:48) 30-A.Green left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 36:45) — 16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 18 (Q2 31:05) — (1:05) 6-J.Nedney 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q3 24:01) — (9:01) 21-F.Gore up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q3 23:50) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 68 (Q3 18:50) — (3:50) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 33.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 18:37) — 16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 26 (Q4 14:20) — (14:20) 16-D.Rayner 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 3 (Q4 8:50) — (8:50) 16-D.Rayner 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 52 (Q4 5:27) — (5:27) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 85-V.Davis for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at GB 46..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q3 18:50) — (3:50) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 33. [WPA +19.9% · EPA +6.51]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 54:51) — (9:51) 21-F.Gore left end pushed ob at GB 2 for 72 yards (31-A.Harris). [WPA +13.9% · EPA +5.08]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 45:36) — (:36) 21-F.Gore to SF 3 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by GB-21-C.Woodson at SF 8. 21-C.Woodson to SF 8 for no gain (71-L.Allen). F.Gore rushed for 0-yds, 4-yds of loose ball yardage. [WPA -12.8% · EPA -4.44]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 51:03) — (6:03) 4-B.Favre pass deep left to 82-R.Martin for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +4.17]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 19:05) — (4:05) 11-A.Smith pass short right intended for 85-V.Davis INTERCEPTED by 36-N.Collins at GB 27. 36-N.Collins to GB 32 for 5 yards (84-B.Gilmore). [WPA -9.5% · EPA -3.65]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q3 18:50) — (3:50) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 33. [WPA +19.9% · EPA +6.51]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 7:43) — (7:43) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle intended for 85-V.Davis INTERCEPTED by 50-A.Hawk at GB -4. 50-A.Hawk to GB 21 for 25 yards (84-B.Gilmore). A.J.Hawk intercepted pass 4-yds deep in end zone. [WPA -2.6% · EPA -5.13]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 54:51) — (9:51) 21-F.Gore left end pushed ob at GB 2 for 72 yards (31-A.Harris). [WPA +13.9% · EPA +5.08]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 5:27) — (5:27) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 85-V.Davis for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at GB 46. [WPA +3.2% · EPA +4.55]

Quarterback report card

B.Favre led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Favre (Green Bay Packers) · 36 dropbacks · 61.1% completion · +4.1% CPOE · +0.34 EPA/play · +12.30 total EPA
• A.Smith (San Francisco 49ers) · 31 dropbacks · 38.7% completion · -16.7% CPOE · -0.26 EPA/play · -8.15 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.10), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, +7.85 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, -7.38 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Driver (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Favre (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• A. Smith (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 53:06 · GB 6 · Score 0-3
   (8:06) 6-J.Nedney 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
2. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 51:03 · SF 36 · Score 6-3
   (6:03) 4-B.Favre pass deep left to 82-R.Martin for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 50:55 · SF 2 · Score 7-3
   16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
4. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 44:53 · SF 5 · Score 10-3
   (14:53) 16-D.Rayner 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 36:48 · SF 1 · Score 16-3
   (6:48) 30-A.Green left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 36:45 · SF 2 · Score 17-3
   16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 31:05 · GB 18 · Score 17-6
   (1:05) 6-J.Nedney 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
8. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 24:01 · GB 1 · Score 17-12
   (9:01) 21-F.Gore up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
9. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 23:50 · GB 2 · Score 17-13
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 18:50 · SF 68 · Score 23-13
    (3:50) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass deep right to 80-D.Driver for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF 33.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 18:37 · SF 2 · Score 24-13
    16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 14:20 · SF 26 · Score 27-13
    (14:20) 16-D.Rayner 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 8:50 · SF 3 · Score 30-13
    (8:50) 16-D.Rayner 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
14. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 5:27 · GB 52 · Score 30-19
    (5:27) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 85-V.Davis for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at GB 46.