FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 11 · November 15, 2018 · 12 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 11 Recap

Seahawks defeat Packers 27–24 in Week 11

Aaron Rodgers led Fantasy Impact as Seahawks prevailed in a 24–27 Week 11 finish.

Green Bay Packers 24 4–5
Final 24–27
Seattle Seahawks 27 5–5 Winner
Winner
Seattle Seahawks
Final score
24–27
Halftime
Green Bay Packers 21–17 Seattle Seahawks
Top passer
Aaron Rodgers
FantasyHQ MVP
Aaron Rodgers
Game date
November 15, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Aaron Rodgers
    Aaron Rodgers 21/36 · 314 YDS · 2 TD +10.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Davante Adams
    Davante Adams 10 REC · 166 YDS +9.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Robert Tonyan
    Robert Tonyan 1 REC · 54 YDS · 1 TD +5.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Seahawks

  • Russell Wilson
    Russell Wilson 21/36 · 217 YDS · 2 TD +8.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyler Lockett
    Tyler Lockett 5 REC · 71 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Daylen Baldwin
    Daylen Baldwin 7 REC · 52 YDS · 1 TD +4.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Seattle Seahawks defeated the Green Bay Packers 27–24 in Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-15, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+18.3% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers swung the momentum.

In Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-15, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 27–24 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +10.03 total EPA, and +7.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.03 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+18.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (11:23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to SEA 17 for 57 yards (26-LA.Griffin) [90-J.Reed].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Green Bay Packers14730024
Seattle Seahawks314100027

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +10.03 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +9.59 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +7.98 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  4. 4 R. Tonyan · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.59 total EPA · 1 snaps · +5.59 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Lockett · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +4.12 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Baldwin · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +4.01 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  7. 7 E. Dickson · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +3.55 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.55 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.18 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Rodgers — GB · Passing

A. Rodgers posted the highest total EPA (+10.03) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 36 counted snaps, they averaged +0.28 EPA per play.

The signature play (+5.59 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (3:21) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (Q1 58:51)
  • Green Bay Packers — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 48:21)
  • Seattle Seahawks — D. Baldwin (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 38:07)
  • Seattle Seahawks — C. Carson (Q2 33:25)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:51)
  • Seattle Seahawks — E. Dickson (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 5:11)

Field goals

  • Seattle Seahawks — S. Janikowski (Q1 51:04)
  • Seattle Seahawks — S. Janikowski (Q4 12:18)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 8:27)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 8 (Q1 58:51) — (13:51) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q1 58:46) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the GB 21 (Q1 51:04) — (6:04) 11-S.Janikowski 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 54 (Q1 48:21) — (3:21) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q1 48:10) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The second quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 14–7. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q2 38:07) — (8:07) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 89-D.Baldwin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 38:03) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q2 33:25) — (3:25) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 33:22) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 24 (Q2 30:51) — (:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 33-A.Jones for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q2 30:44) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The fourth quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 10–3. Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the GB 25 (Q4 12:18) — (12:18) 11-S.Janikowski 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 18 (Q4 8:27) — (8:27) 2-M.Crosby 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 15 (Q4 5:11) — (5:11) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 84-E.Dickson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 5:08) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 11:23) — (11:23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to SEA 17 for 57 yards (26-LA.Griffin) [90-J.Reed]. [WPA +18.3% · EPA +5.13]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q4 5:11) — (5:11) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 84-E.Dickson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +3.55]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q4 6:41) — (6:41) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 16-T.Lockett to GB 16 for 34 yards (38-T.Williams). GB-97-K.Clark was injured during the play. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +1.97]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q2 34:47) — (4:47) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep right to 16-T.Lockett (36-R.Greene). PENALTY on GB-36-R.Greene, Defensive Pass Interference, 48 yards, enforced at SEA 30 - No [WPA +13.0% · EPA +3.15]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q2 30:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at SEA 36 for -7 yards (51-K.Fackrell). [WPA -12.5% · EPA -0.69]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 48:21) — (3:21) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.2% · EPA +5.59]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 32-C.Carson up the middle to SEA 27 for 2 yards (52-C.Matthews). FUMBLES (52-C.Matthews), RECOVERED by GB-38-T.Williams at SEA 29. 38-T.Williams to SEA 29 for no gain (64-J.Sweezy). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -5.45]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 11:23) — (11:23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to SEA 17 for 57 yards (26-LA.Griffin) [90-J.Reed]. [WPA +18.3% · EPA +5.13]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:51) — (10:51) 2-M.Crosby 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott. [WPA -5.7% · EPA -3.95]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 36 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · +7.4% CPOE · +0.28 EPA/play · +10.03 total EPA
  • R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 36 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · +12.4% CPOE · +0.22 EPA/play · +7.98 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersSeattle Seahawks
Offensive EPA/play+0.065+0.056
Offensive success rate43.9%42.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.279+0.222
Rush EPA/play-0.165-0.105
Defensive EPA/play-0.056-0.065
Defensive success rate57.1%56.1%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Green Bay Packers +0.07, Seattle Seahawks +0.06) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, +4.28 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Seattle Seahawks: 12 drives, +5.12 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • R. Wilson (SEA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 58:51 · SEA 8 · Score 6-0
    (13:51) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 58:46 · SEA 15 · Score 7-0
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  3. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q1 51:04 · GB 21 · Score 7-3
    (6:04) 11-S.Janikowski 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 48:21 · SEA 54 · Score 13-3
    (3:21) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 48:10 · SEA 15 · Score 14-3
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  6. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 38:07 · GB 6 · Score 14-9
    (8:07) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 89-D.Baldwin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 38:03 · GB 15 · Score 14-10
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  8. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 33:25 · GB 1 · Score 14-16
    (3:25) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 33:22 · GB 15 · Score 14-17
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:51 · SEA 24 · Score 20-17
    (:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 33-A.Jones for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:44 · SEA 15 · Score 21-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  12. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q4 12:18 · GB 25 · Score 21-20
    (12:18) 11-S.Janikowski 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 8:27 · SEA 18 · Score 24-20
    (8:27) 2-M.Crosby 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  14. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 5:11 · GB 15 · Score 24-26
    (5:11) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 84-E.Dickson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 5:08 · GB 15 · Score 24-27
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks?

The Seattle Seahawks beat the Green Bay Packers 27-24 in Week 11, 2018 on 2018-11-15.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 24, Seattle Seahawks 27 (GB 24-27 SEA) in Week 11, 2018 on 2018-11-15.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks?

Q1: Green Bay Packers 14, Seattle Seahawks 3; Q2: Green Bay Packers 7, Seattle Seahawks 14; Q4: Green Bay Packers 3, Seattle Seahawks 10; Final: Green Bay Packers 24, Seattle Seahawks 27.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Jones (Q1 58:51) Green Bay Packers touchdown — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 48:21) Seattle Seahawks touchdown — D. Baldwin (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 38:07) Seattle Seahawks touchdown — C. Carson (Q2 33:25) Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:51) Seattle Seahawks touchdown — E. Dickson (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 5:11) Seattle Seahawks field goal — S. Janikowski (Q1 51:04, 3 pts) Seattle Seahawks field goal — S. Janikowski (Q4 12:18, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 8:27, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 58.3% completion, +7.4% CPOE, +0.28 EPA per dropback, +10.03 total passing EPA. R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks), 58.3% completion, +12.4% CPOE, +0.22 EPA per dropback, +7.98 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +10.03 on passing plays. across 36 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.59 EPA): (3:21) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +18.3%.

Was Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Seattle Seahawks won 27-24 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 4-4 Now 4-5 L

Seattle Seahawks

Entered 4-5 Now 5-5 W