Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles: 2016 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-11-28, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Philadelphia Eagles, pulling away with a 27–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Wentz (Philadelphia Eagles) paced the passing game, with +0.35 total EPA, and +1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +26.80 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.0% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (11:20) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to PHI 22 for 50 yards (21-L.McKelvin).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +26.80 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +10.28 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.71 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +8.71 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.37 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Green-Beckham · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Matthews · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +2.50 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Janis · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.74 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
8. 8 W. Smallwood · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +0.73 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 54:55)
• Philadelphia Eagles — C. Wentz (Q1 48:49)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 45:00)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Ripkowski (Q4 13:56)

Field goals

• Philadelphia Eagles — C. Sturgis (Q2 30:29)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 23:51)
• Philadelphia Eagles — C. Sturgis (Q3 20:26)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 2:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the PHI 12 (Q1 54:55) — (9:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the PHI 15 (Q1 54:51) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.; Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q1 48:49) — (3:49) 11-C.Wentz scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 48:40) — 6-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the PHI 20 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the PHI 15 (Q2 44:53) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.; Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the GB 30 (Q2 30:29) — (:29) 6-C.Sturgis 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the PHI 15 (Q3 23:51) — (8:51) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.; Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the GB 32 (Q3 20:26) — (5:26) 6-C.Sturgis 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the PHI 1 (Q4 13:56) — (13:56) (Shotgun) 22-A.Ripkowski up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the PHI 15 (Q4 13:53) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the PHI 14 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 2-M.Crosby 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q3 26:20) — (11:20) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to PHI 22 for 50 yards (21-L.McKelvin). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +3.55]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q3 26:28) — (11:28) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 86-Z.Ertz INTERCEPTED by 21-H.Clinton-Dix at GB 16. 21-H.Clinton-Dix to GB 28 for 12 yards (18-D.Green-Beckham). [WPA -7.7% · EPA -3.70]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q2 31:48) — (1:48) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz scrambles right end ran ob at PHI 43 for 17 yards. [WPA +7.1% · EPA +1.43]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q2 30:29) — (:29) 6-C.Sturgis 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones. [WPA +7.0% · EPA +1.06]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q3 22:07) — (7:07) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 86-Z.Ertz to GB 44 for 16 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +6.9% · EPA +2.22]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Philadelphia Eagles (Q3 26:28) — (11:28) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 86-Z.Ertz INTERCEPTED by 21-H.Clinton-Dix at GB 16. 21-H.Clinton-Dix to GB 28 for 12 yards (18-D.Green-Beckham). [WPA -7.7% · EPA -3.70]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 26:20) — (11:20) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to PHI 22 for 50 yards (21-L.McKelvin). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +3.55]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 3:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson ran ob at PHI 14 for 21 yards. [WPA +0.4% · EPA +3.18]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 5:45) — (5:45) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson to 50 for 22 yards (26-J.Watkins). [WPA +1.9% · EPA +2.93]

Quarterback report card

C.Wentz led all passers in efficiency for Philadelphia Eagles, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Wentz (Philadelphia Eagles) · 45 dropbacks · 53.3% completion · +1.9% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.35 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 44 dropbacks · 68.2% completion · +12.5% CPOE · +0.61 EPA/play · +26.80 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.26 vs +0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Green Bay Packers: 8 drives, +22.57 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Philadelphia Eagles: 7 drives, +2.80 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 54:55 · PHI 12 · Score 6-0
   (9:55) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 54:51 · PHI 15 · Score 7-0
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
3. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q1 48:49 · GB 1 · Score 7-6
   (3:49) 11-C.Wentz scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q1 48:40 · GB 15 · Score 7-7
   6-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · PHI 20 · Score 13-7
   (15:00) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 44:53 · PHI 15 · Score 14-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
7. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q2 30:29 · GB 30 · Score 14-10
   (:29) 6-C.Sturgis 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.
8. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 23:51 · PHI 15 · Score 17-10
   (8:51) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
9. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q3 20:26 · GB 32 · Score 17-13
   (5:26) 6-C.Sturgis 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 13:56 · PHI 1 · Score 23-13
    (13:56) (Shotgun) 22-A.Ripkowski up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 13:53 · PHI 15 · Score 24-13
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 2:00 · PHI 14 · Score 27-13
    (2:00) 2-M.Crosby 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.