Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2024 Week 17 Recap

Game story

In Week 17 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-12-29, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 27–25 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. Darnold (Minnesota Vikings) paced the passing game, with +12.10 total EPA, and +8.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, S. Darnold (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.10 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (7:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short middle to 11-J.Reed.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 S. Darnold · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +12.10 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Nailor · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +8.20 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Doubs · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.14 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Addison · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +3.55 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Wicks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.24 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Kraft · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.24 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Jefferson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +2.75 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Jones · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +2.48 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Minnesota Vikings — J. Nailor (S. Darnold pass) (Q2 41:58)
• Minnesota Vikings — J. Addison (S. Darnold pass) (Q3 24:50)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Jacobs (Q3 20:11)
• Minnesota Vikings — C. Akers (S. Darnold pass) (Q3 15:57)
• Green Bay Packers — unlisted player (Q4 6:15)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Heath (J. Love pass) (Q4 2:20)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — B. McManus (Q1 46:50)
• Minnesota Vikings — W. Reichard (Q2 32:19)
• Minnesota Vikings — W. Reichard (Q2 30:00)
• Minnesota Vikings — unlisted player (Q2 30:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 4 (Q1 46:50) — (1:50) 17-B.McManus 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The second quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 16–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 31 (Q2 41:58) — (11:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 83-J.Nailor for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 41:52) — 16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the GB 7 (Q2 32:19) — (2:19) 16-W.Reichard 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the GB 32 (Q2 30:00) — (:00) 16-W.Reichard 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal (Q2 30:00) — END QUARTER 2.

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 14–7. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 18 (Q3 24:50) — (9:50) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 3-J.Addison for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 24:44) — 16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 2 (Q3 20:11) — (5:11) (No Huddle) 8-J.Jacobs left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q3 20:07) — 17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 9 (Q3 15:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 27-C.Akers for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 15:51) — 16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 15–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 5 (Q4 6:15) — (6:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 31-Em.Wilson left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers registered a safety from the MIN 2 (Q4 6:12) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-J.Love pass to 87-R.Doubs is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 3 (Q4 2:20); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q4 2:18) — 17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 37:33) — (7:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short middle to 11-J.Reed. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -3.83]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:16) — (12:16) 8-J.Jacobs right guard to MIN 41 for 7 yards (99-J.Tillery). FUMBLES (99-J.Tillery), RECOVERED by MIN-24-C.Bynum at MIN 38. [WPA -11.8% · EPA -5.17]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q2 41:58) — (11:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 83-J.Nailor for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.8% · EPA +3.46]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q1 51:07) — (6:07) 16-W.Reichard 57 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Crossbar, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright. [WPA -8.9% · EPA -3.03]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 3:04) — (3:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 13-D.Wicks to MIN 1 for 18 yards (1-S.Griffin). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +2.20]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Minnesota Vikings (Q3 22:15) — (7:15) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left intended for 87-T.Hockenson INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Valentine at MIN 49. 24-C.Valentine to MIN 18 for 31 yards (83-J.Nailor). FUMBLES (83-J.Nailor), recovered [WPA -4.9% · EPA -6.18]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:16) — (12:16) 8-J.Jacobs right guard to MIN 41 for 7 yards (99-J.Tillery). FUMBLES (99-J.Tillery), RECOVERED by MIN-24-C.Bynum at MIN 38. [WPA -11.8% · EPA -5.17]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q4 9:22) — (9:22) 16-W.Reichard 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright. [WPA -1.8% · EPA -3.89]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 37:33) — (7:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short middle to 11-J.Reed. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -3.83]

Quarterback report card

S.Darnold led all passers in efficiency for Minnesota Vikings, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• S.Darnold (Minnesota Vikings) · 46 dropbacks · 71.7% completion · +8.5% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +12.10 total EPA
• J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 37 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · +1.8% CPOE · +0.04 EPA/play · +1.50 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Green Bay Packers -0.03, Minnesota Vikings -0.03) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, -2.58 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Minnesota Vikings: 11 drives, -2.45 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• S. Darnold (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• S. Darnold (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 46:50 · MIN 4 · Score 3-0
   (1:50) 17-B.McManus 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
2. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 41:58 · GB 31 · Score 3-6
   (11:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 83-J.Nailor for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 41:52 · GB 15 · Score 3-7
   16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
4. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 32:19 · GB 7 · Score 3-10
   (2:19) 16-W.Reichard 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
5. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · GB 32 · Score 3-13
   (:00) 16-W.Reichard 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
6. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · Score 3-13
   END QUARTER 2
7. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 24:50 · GB 18 · Score 3-19
   (9:50) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 3-J.Addison for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 24:44 · GB 15 · Score 3-20
   16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 20:11 · MIN 2 · Score 9-20
   (5:11) (No Huddle) 8-J.Jacobs left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 20:07 · MIN 15 · Score 10-20
    17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
11. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 15:57 · GB 9 · Score 10-26
    (:57) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 27-C.Akers for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 15:51 · GB 15 · Score 10-27
    16-W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-17-R.Wright.
13. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 6:15 · MIN 5 · Score 16-27
    (6:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 31-Em.Wilson left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Green Bay Packers Safety (+2) — Q4 6:12 · MIN 2 · Score 18-27
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-J.Love pass to 87-R.Doubs is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
15. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 2:20 · MIN 3 · Score 24-27
    (2:20) (No Huddle) 10-J.Love pass short left to 18-M.Heath for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIN, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined.
16. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 2:18 · MIN 15 · Score 25-27
    17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.