FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 31, 2023 · 11 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2023 Week 17 Recap

Packers defeat Vikings 33–10 in Week 17

Julian Love led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 33–10 Week 17 finish.

Green Bay Packers 33 8–8 Winner
Final 33–10
Minnesota Vikings 10 7–9
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
33–10
Halftime
Green Bay Packers 23–3 Minnesota Vikings
Top passer
Julian Love
FantasyHQ MVP
Julian Love
Game date
December 31, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Julian Love
    Julian Love 24/33 · 256 YDS · 3 TD +14.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Reed
    Joe Reed 6 REC · 89 YDS · 2 TD +7.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Bo Melton
    Bo Melton 6 REC · 105 YDS · 1 TD +5.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • Ty Chandler
    Ty Chandler 3 REC · 24 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Alexander Mattison
    Alexander Mattison 3 CAR · 17 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Josh Oliver
    Josh Oliver 1 REC · 17 YDS +0.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Minnesota Vikings 33–10 in Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-31, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-13.2% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Minnesota Vikings swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-31, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Minnesota Vikings, pulling away with a 33–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Love (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +14.01 total EPA, and +6.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Love (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.01 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Minnesota Vikings changed the game: (6:04) (Shotgun) 16-J.Hall pass short middle intended for 86-J.Mundt INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Ballentine at MIN 33. 35-C.Ballentine to MIN 33 for no gain (86-J.Mundt).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Green Bay Packers101373033
Minnesota Vikings0307010

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Love · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +14.01 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Reed · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +7.70 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Melton · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.49 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +4.90 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  5. 5 S. Clifford · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +2.14 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.14 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Kraft · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.78 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Heath · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.69 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Love — GB · Passing

J. Love posted the highest total EPA (+14.01) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 33 counted snaps, they averaged +0.42 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.73 EPA) came from Minnesota Vikings: (15:00) 14-R.Wright punts 55 yards to GB 20, Center-42-A.DePaola. 83-S.Toure MUFFS catch, touched at GB 20, RECOVERED by MIN-11-N.Thompson at GB 7.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — J. Reed (J. Love pass) (Q1 50:15)
  • Green Bay Packers — J. Love (Q2 34:02)
  • Green Bay Packers — J. Reed (J. Love pass) (Q2 30:17)
  • Green Bay Packers — B. Melton (J. Love pass) (Q3 15:54)
  • Minnesota Vikings — J. Mundt (N. Mullens pass) (Q4 14:10)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q1 51:47)
  • Minnesota Vikings — G. Joseph (Q2 39:30)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q4 6:15)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 16 (Q1 51:47) — (6:47) 17-A.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 33 (Q1 50:15) — (5:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 11-J.Reed for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 50:10) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–3. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the GB 36 (Q2 39:30) — (9:30) 1-G.Joseph 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 2 (Q2 34:02) — (4:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q2 33:59) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 25 (Q2 30:17) — (:17) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 11-J.Reed for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 9 (Q3 15:54) — (:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 80-B.Melton for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q3 15:49) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The fourth quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 7–3. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q4 14:10) — (14:10) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass short left to 86-J.Mundt for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-P.Smith].; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 14:06) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 18 (Q4 6:15) — (6:15) 17-A.Carlson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 51:04) — (6:04) (Shotgun) 16-J.Hall pass short middle intended for 86-J.Mundt INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Ballentine at MIN 33. 35-C.Ballentine to MIN 33 for no gain (86-J.Mundt). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -5.07]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 30:32) — (:32) (Shotgun) 16-J.Hall sacked at MIN 37 for -9 yards (91-P.Smith). FUMBLES (91-P.Smith) [91-P.Smith], touched at MIN 38, RECOVERED by GB-94-K.Brooks at MIN 37. [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.20]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 50:15) — (5:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 11-J.Reed for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.7% · EPA +3.64]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:01) — (9:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 80-B.Melton to MIN 37 for 12 yards (24-C.Bynum, 40-I.Pace). [WPA +8.5% · EPA +1.84]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 39:30) — (9:30) 1-G.Joseph 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright. [WPA +7.4% · EPA +1.84]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 14-R.Wright punts 55 yards to GB 20, Center-42-A.DePaola. 83-S.Toure MUFFS catch, touched at GB 20, RECOVERED by MIN-11-N.Thompson at GB 7. [WPA +0.1% · EPA +6.73]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 51:04) — (6:04) (Shotgun) 16-J.Hall pass short middle intended for 86-J.Mundt INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Ballentine at MIN 33. 35-C.Ballentine to MIN 33 for no gain (86-J.Mundt). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -5.07]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 43:24) — (13:24) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep left to 80-B.Melton. [WPA -4.0% · EPA -4.24]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 30:32) — (:32) (Shotgun) 16-J.Hall sacked at MIN 37 for -9 yards (91-P.Smith). FUMBLES (91-P.Smith) [91-P.Smith], touched at MIN 38, RECOVERED by GB-94-K.Brooks at MIN 37. [WPA -11.1% · EPA -4.20]

Quarterback report card

J.Love led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 33 dropbacks · 72.7% completion · +6.7% CPOE · +0.42 EPA/play · +14.01 total EPA
  • N.Mullens (Minnesota Vikings) · 25 dropbacks · 52.0% completion · -6.3% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -3.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersMinnesota Vikings
Offensive EPA/play+0.193-0.180
Offensive success rate52.3%35.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.475-0.463
Rush EPA/play+0.100+0.030
Defensive EPA/play+0.180-0.193
Defensive success rate64.3%47.7%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.19 vs -0.18), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, +16.62 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 11 drives, -12.60 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Love (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Love (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • N. Mullens (MIN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 51:47 · MIN 16 · Score 3-0
    (6:47) 17-A.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  2. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 50:15 · MIN 33 · Score 9-0
    (5:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 11-J.Reed for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 50:10 · MIN 15 · Score 10-0
    17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  4. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 39:30 · GB 36 · Score 10-3
    (9:30) 1-G.Joseph 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 34:02 · MIN 2 · Score 16-3
    (4:02) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 33:59 · MIN 15 · Score 17-3
    17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  7. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:17 · MIN 25 · Score 23-3
    (:17) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 11-J.Reed for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 15:54 · MIN 9 · Score 29-3
    (:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 80-B.Melton for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 15:49 · MIN 15 · Score 30-3
    17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  10. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q4 14:10 · GB 6 · Score 30-9
    (14:10) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass short left to 86-J.Mundt for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [91-P.Smith].
  11. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q4 14:06 · GB 15 · Score 30-10
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 6:15 · MIN 18 · Score 33-10
    (6:15) 17-A.Carlson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings 33-10 in Week 17, 2023 on 2023-12-31.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 33, Minnesota Vikings 10 (GB 33-10 MIN) in Week 17, 2023 on 2023-12-31.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

Q1: Green Bay Packers 10, Minnesota Vikings 0; Q2: Green Bay Packers 13, Minnesota Vikings 3; Q3: Green Bay Packers 7, Minnesota Vikings 0; Q4: Green Bay Packers 3, Minnesota Vikings 7; Final: Green Bay Packers 33, Minnesota Vikings 10.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Reed (J. Love pass) (Q1 50:15) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Love (Q2 34:02) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Reed (J. Love pass) (Q2 30:17) Green Bay Packers touchdown — B. Melton (J. Love pass) (Q3 15:54) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — J. Mundt (N. Mullens pass) (Q4 14:10) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q1 51:47, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — G. Joseph (Q2 39:30, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q4 6:15, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

J. Love (Green Bay Packers), 72.7% completion, +6.7% CPOE, +0.42 EPA per dropback, +14.01 total passing EPA. N. Mullens (Minnesota Vikings), 52.0% completion, -6.3% CPOE, -0.13 EPA per dropback, -3.20 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

J. Love (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +14.01 on passing plays. across 33 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.73 EPA): (15:00) 14-R.Wright punts 55 yards to GB 20, Center-42-A.DePaola. 83-S.Toure MUFFS catch, touched at GB 20, RECOVERED by MIN-11-N.Thompson at GB 7.. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.2%.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 7-8 Now 8-8 W

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 7-8 Now 7-9 L