FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 12 · November 25, 2018 · 11 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2018 Week 12 Recap

Vikings defeat Packers 24–17 in Week 12

Kirk Cousins led Fantasy Impact as Vikings prevailed in a 17–24 Week 12 finish.

Green Bay Packers 17 4–6
Final 17–24
Minnesota Vikings 24 6–4 Winner
Winner
Minnesota Vikings
Final score
17–24
Halftime
Tied 14–14 at halftime
Top passer
Kirk Cousins
FantasyHQ MVP
Kirk Cousins
Game date
November 25, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • E.St.Brown +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Jimmy Graham
    Jimmy Graham 2 REC · 34 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Davante Adams
    Davante Adams 5 REC · 69 YDS · 1 TD +1.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • Kirk Cousins
    Kirk Cousins 29/43 · 341 YDS · 3 TD +10.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Adam Thielen
    Adam Thielen 8 REC · 125 YDS · 1 TD +8.9 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Rudolph 7 REC · 63 YDS +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Green Bay Packers 24–17 in Week 12 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-25, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+12.8% win probability) came in the second quarter when Minnesota Vikings swung the momentum.

In Week 12 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-25, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 24–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) paced the passing game, with +10.36 total EPA, and +6.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.36 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+12.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Minnesota Vikings changed the game: (11:07) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Green Bay Packers7703017
Minnesota Vikings77100024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 K. Cousins · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +10.36 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Thielen · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +8.89 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
  3. 3 K. Rudolph · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +4.61 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Cook · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +4.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play
  5. 5 E.St. Brown · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.04 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
  6. 6 S. Diggs · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.61 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Graham · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.24 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  8. 8 S. Diggs · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +1.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

K. Cousins — MIN · Passing

K. Cousins posted the highest total EPA (+10.36) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Minnesota Vikings's efficiency. Across 43 counted snaps, they averaged +0.24 EPA per play.

The signature play (+4.27 EPA) came from Minnesota Vikings: (6:00) 6-M.Wile punts 21 yards to GB 16, Center-47-K.McDermott. 38-T.Williams MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIN-35-M.Sherels at GB 15.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 51:01)
  • Minnesota Vikings — D. Cook (K. Cousins pass) (Q1 48:00)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (Q2 44:21)
  • Minnesota Vikings — S. Diggs (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 41:07)
  • Minnesota Vikings — A. Thielen (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 15:36)

Field goals

  • Minnesota Vikings — D. Bailey (Q3 18:31)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 2:25)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 15 (Q1 51:01) — (6:01) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 50:54) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 26 (Q1 48:00) — (3:00) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 33-D.Cook for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-29-K.Brice was injured during the play.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 47:53) — 5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 6 (Q2 44:21) — (14:21) 33-A.Jones left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q2 44:16) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 30 (Q2 41:07) — (11:07) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 41:01) — 5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 10–0. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the GB 19 (Q3 18:31) — (3:31) 5-D.Bailey 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 14 (Q3 15:36) — (:36) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 19-A.Thielen for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 15:27) — 5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 20 (Q4 2:25) — (2:25) 2-M.Crosby 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 41:07) — (11:07) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.8% · EPA +2.98]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 48:00) — (3:00) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 33-D.Cook for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-29-K.Brice was injured during the play. [WPA +9.5% · EPA +2.42]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 19:14) — (4:14) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at GB 19 for -9 yards (97-K.Clark). [WPA -8.9% · EPA -1.80]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 35:28) — (5:28) 25-L.Murray up the middle to GB 30 for -1 yards (90-M.Adams; 97-K.Clark). [WPA -7.6% · EPA -1.83]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 34:40) — (4:40) 5-D.Bailey 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile. [WPA -7.5% · EPA -3.76]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 6:00) — (6:00) 6-M.Wile punts 21 yards to GB 16, Center-47-K.McDermott. 38-T.Williams MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIN-35-M.Sherels at GB 15. [WPA +3.4% · EPA +4.27]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 34:40) — (4:40) 5-D.Bailey 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile. [WPA -7.5% · EPA -3.76]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 22:28) — (7:28) 33-A.Jones up the middle to GB 44 for no gain (22-H.Smith). [WPA -2.5% · EPA -3.24]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 4:54) — (4:54) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 14-S.Diggs (93-R.Gilbert). [WPA -1.2% · EPA -3.06]

Quarterback report card

K.Cousins led all passers in efficiency for Minnesota Vikings, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • K.Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) · 43 dropbacks · 67.4% completion · +6.2% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +10.36 total EPA
  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 34 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -3.3% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -1.84 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersMinnesota Vikings
Offensive EPA/play-0.128-0.025
Offensive success rate43.7%43.7%
Pass EPA/play-0.054+0.241
Rush EPA/play-0.176-0.335
Defensive EPA/play+0.025+0.128
Defensive success rate56.3%56.3%

By the numbers

Minnesota Vikings held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.13), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, -9.12 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 12 drives, -2.14 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • K. Cousins (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 51:01 · MIN 15 · Score 6-0
    (6:01) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 50:54 · MIN 15 · Score 7-0
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  3. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q1 48:00 · GB 26 · Score 7-6
    (3:00) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 33-D.Cook for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-29-K.Brice was injured during the play.
  4. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q1 47:53 · GB 15 · Score 7-7
    5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 44:21 · MIN 6 · Score 13-7
    (14:21) 33-A.Jones left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 44:16 · MIN 15 · Score 14-7
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  7. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 41:07 · GB 30 · Score 14-13
    (11:07) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 41:01 · GB 15 · Score 14-14
    5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  9. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q3 18:31 · GB 19 · Score 14-17
    (3:31) 5-D.Bailey 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  10. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 15:36 · GB 14 · Score 14-23
    (:36) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 19-A.Thielen for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 15:27 · GB 15 · Score 14-24
    5-D.Bailey extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-6-M.Wile.
  12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 2:25 · MIN 20 · Score 17-24
    (2:25) 2-M.Crosby 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Green Bay Packers 24-17 in Week 12, 2018 on 2018-11-25.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 17, Minnesota Vikings 24 (GB 17-24 MIN) in Week 12, 2018 on 2018-11-25.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

Q1: Green Bay Packers 7, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q2: Green Bay Packers 7, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q3: Green Bay Packers 0, Minnesota Vikings 10; Q4: Green Bay Packers 3, Minnesota Vikings 0; Final: Green Bay Packers 17, Minnesota Vikings 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 51:01) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — D. Cook (K. Cousins pass) (Q1 48:00) Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Jones (Q2 44:21) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — S. Diggs (K. Cousins pass) (Q2 41:07) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — A. Thielen (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 15:36) Minnesota Vikings field goal — D. Bailey (Q3 18:31, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 2:25, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings), 67.4% completion, +6.2% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +10.36 total passing EPA. A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 50.0% completion, -3.3% CPOE, -0.05 EPA per dropback, -1.84 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?

K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) led the game in total EPA with +10.36 on passing plays. across 43 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.27 EPA): (6:00) 6-M.Wile punts 21 yards to GB 16, Center-47-K.McDermott. 38-T.Williams MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by MIN-35-M.Sherels at GB 15.. The biggest win-probability swing was +12.8%.

Was Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Minnesota Vikings won 24-17 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 4-5 Now 4-6 L

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 5-4 Now 6-4 W