Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2015 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-22, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Minnesota Vikings, pulling away with a 30–13 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 12 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Bridgewater (Minnesota Vikings) paced the passing game, with -0.72 total EPA, and +3.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+16.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (1:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 83-J.Janis. PENALTY on MIN-23-T.Newman, Defensive Pass Interference, 50 yards, enforced at GB 15 - No Play.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +15.30 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +10.08 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Wright · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +5.20 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Rudolph · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +4.95 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.33 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Starks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.09 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.09 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.27 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Peterson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +0.53 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Minnesota Vikings — K. Rudolph (T. Bridgewater pass) (Q1 48:11)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:10)
• Minnesota Vikings — A. Peterson (Q3 17:42)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 15:00)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 49:54)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 46:42)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 40:22)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 25:18)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 4:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 24 (Q1 49:54) — (4:54) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 47 (Q1 48:11) — (3:11) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep left to 82-K.Rudolph for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-33-M.Hyde was injured during the play.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 29 (Q1 46:42) — (1:42) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 22 (Q2 40:22) — (10:22) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 10 (Q2 30:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q2 30:06) — (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 24 (Q3 25:18) — (10:18) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q3 17:42) — (2:42) 28-A.Peterson left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 17:37) — 3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 11–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 27 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers registered a safety from the MIN 2 (Q4 14:51) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Rodgers pass to 89-J.Jones is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 34 (Q4 4:19) — (4:19) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 31:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 83-J.Janis. PENALTY on MIN-23-T.Newman, Defensive Pass Interference, 50 yards, enforced at GB 15 - No Play. [WPA +16.0% · EPA +3.52]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q1 48:11) — (3:11) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep left to 82-K.Rudolph for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-33-M.Hyde was injured during the play. [WPA +14.8% · EPA +4.38]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 48:01) — 3-B.Walsh kicks 69 yards from MIN 35 to GB -4. 83-J.Janis to MIN 34 for 70 yards (32-A.Exum). [WPA +12.2% · EPA +3.18]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 53:30) — (8:30) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 89-J.Jones to MIN 39 for 25 yards (22-H.Smith). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.89]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.99]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Minnesota Vikings (Q4 13:31) — (13:31) 28-A.Peterson up the middle to GB 22 for 10 yards (42-M.Burnett). FUMBLES (42-M.Burnett), RECOVERED by GB-37-S.Shields at GB 21. 37-S.Shields to GB 21 for no gain (79-M.Harris). [WPA -7.6% · EPA -4.46]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q1 48:11) — (3:11) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep left to 82-K.Rudolph for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-33-M.Hyde was injured during the play. [WPA +14.8% · EPA +4.38]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.4% · EPA +4.25]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.99]

Quarterback report card

T.Bridgewater led all passers in efficiency for Minnesota Vikings, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Bridgewater (Minnesota Vikings) · 48 dropbacks · 52.1% completion · +3.1% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.72 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 42 dropbacks · 38.1% completion · -10.3% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +15.30 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs -0.10), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +14.21 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Minnesota Vikings: 12 drives, -8.54 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Bridgewater (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 49:54 · MIN 24 · Score 3-0
   (4:54) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
2. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q1 48:11 · GB 47 · Score 3-6
   (3:11) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep left to 82-K.Rudolph for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-33-M.Hyde was injured during the play.
3. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 46:42 · MIN 29 · Score 6-6
   (1:42) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
4. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 40:22 · MIN 22 · Score 9-6
   (10:22) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:10 · MIN 10 · Score 15-6
   (:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:06 · MIN 15 · Score 16-6
   (Kick formation) 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
7. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 25:18 · MIN 24 · Score 19-6
   (10:18) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
8. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 17:42 · GB 6 · Score 19-12
   (2:42) 28-A.Peterson left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 17:37 · GB 15 · Score 19-13
   3-B.Walsh extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · MIN 27 · Score 25-13
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers Safety (+2) — Q4 14:51 · MIN 2 · Score 27-13
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Rodgers pass to 89-J.Jones is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 4:19 · MIN 34 · Score 30-13
    (4:19) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.