Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2004 Week 3 Recap

Game story

In Week 3 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-09-26, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 45–31 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 35 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Favre (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +17.46 total EPA.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +26.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+15.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (6:54) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +26.55 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Favre · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +17.46 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +13.80 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Walker · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +13.32 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Stokley · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +11.61 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Driver · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.80 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Harrison · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.27 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
8. 8 W. Henderson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q1 58:20)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Walker (B. Favre pass) (Q1 53:46)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Harrison (P. Manning pass) (Q1 52:04)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Walker (B. Favre pass) (Q1 51:54)
• Indianapolis Colts — B. Stokley (P. Manning pass) (Q1 49:16)
• Indianapolis Colts — B. Stokley (P. Manning pass) (Q2 43:49)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Mungro (P. Manning pass) (Q2 31:02)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Walker (B. Favre pass) (Q3 25:03)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Driver (B. Favre pass) (Q4 13:18)
• Indianapolis Colts — E. James (Q4 1:55)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — R. Longwell (Q2 39:38)
• Indianapolis Colts — M. Vanderjagt (Q4 13:39)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 21–14. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the GB 36 (Q1 58:20) — (13:20) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the GB 12 (Q1 58:15) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the IND 36 (Q1 53:46) — (8:46) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 53:39) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the GB 28 (Q1 52:04) — (7:04) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 51:59) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the IND 79 (Q1 51:54) — (6:54) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 51:43) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the GB 34 (Q1 49:16) — (4:16) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 49:11) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–3. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the GB 27 (Q2 43:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 43:43) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the IND 19 (Q2 39:38) — (9:38) 8-R.Longwell 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q2 31:02) — (1:02) 18-P.Manning pass to 23-J.Mungro for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 30:57) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the IND 12 (Q3 25:03) — (10:03) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 24:59) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the GB 27 (Q4 13:39) — (13:39) 13-M.Vanderjagt 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the IND 27 (Q4 13:18) — (13:18) 4-B.Favre pass to 80-D.Driver for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 13:12) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q4 1:55) — (1:55) 32-E.James right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 1:49) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 51:54) — (6:54) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.4% · EPA +6.85]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 53:46) — (8:46) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.0% · EPA +4.73]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 6:28) — (6:28) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker to GB 49 for 6 yards (42-J.David). FUMBLES (42-J.David), RECOVERED by IND-25-N.Harper at IND 47. 25-N.Harper to GB 36 for 17 yards (65-M.Tauscher). [WPA -12.6% · EPA -5.26]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 43:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.8% · EPA +4.35]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 49:16) — (4:16) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +3.77]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 51:54) — (6:54) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.4% · EPA +6.85]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 6:28) — (6:28) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker to GB 49 for 6 yards (42-J.David). FUMBLES (42-J.David), RECOVERED by IND-25-N.Harper at IND 47. 25-N.Harper to GB 36 for 17 yards (65-M.Tauscher). [WPA -12.6% · EPA -5.26]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 53:46) — (8:46) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.0% · EPA +4.73]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 43:49) — (13:49) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.8% · EPA +4.35]

Quarterback report card

B.Favre led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Favre (Green Bay Packers) · 47 dropbacks · 63.8% completion · +0.37 EPA/play · +17.46 total EPA
• P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 44 dropbacks · 63.6% completion · +0.60 EPA/play · +26.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.26 vs +0.21), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +19.62 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +24.62 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 58:20 · GB 36 · Score 0-6
   (13:20) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 58:15 · GB 12 · Score 0-7
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 53:46 · IND 36 · Score 6-7
   (8:46) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 53:39 · IND 2 · Score 7-7
   8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 52:04 · GB 28 · Score 7-13
   (7:04) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 51:59 · GB 2 · Score 7-14
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
7. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 51:54 · IND 79 · Score 13-14
   (6:54) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 51:43 · IND 2 · Score 14-14
   8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
9. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 49:16 · GB 34 · Score 14-20
   (4:16) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 49:11 · GB 2 · Score 14-21
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
11. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 43:49 · GB 27 · Score 14-27
    (13:49) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 43:43 · GB 2 · Score 14-28
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 39:38 · IND 19 · Score 17-28
    (9:38) 8-R.Longwell 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
14. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 31:02 · GB 1 · Score 17-34
    (1:02) 18-P.Manning pass to 23-J.Mungro for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 30:57 · GB 2 · Score 17-35
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
16. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 25:03 · IND 12 · Score 23-35
    (10:03) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 24:59 · IND 2 · Score 24-35
    8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
18. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 13:39 · GB 27 · Score 24-38
    (13:39) 13-M.Vanderjagt 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
19. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 13:18 · IND 27 · Score 30-38
    (13:18) 4-B.Favre pass to 80-D.Driver for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
20. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 13:12 · IND 2 · Score 31-38
    8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
21. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 1:55 · GB 1 · Score 31-44
    (1:55) 32-E.James right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
22. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 1:49 · GB 2 · Score 31-45
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.